All Fixed Income articles – Page 70
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Podcast
EM Debt: How ESG & Economics Are Shaping the Outlook
Ricardo Adrogue and Kawtar Ed-Dahmani see room for positive economic surprises in emerging markets despite concerns from COVID to higher interest rates to inflation.
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White papers
The inflation moment - Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
As the global economy emerges from its worst slump since the 1930s, we envisage plenty of inflation fertilisers at stake, especially in the United States. Inflationary trends could emerge due to a combination of factors, including the cyclical recovery as countries try to get the pandemic under control and gradually lift mitigation measures
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White papers
Do Surging Public Debt levels bring Higher (or lower) Bond Yields?
The narrative that rising public debt levels bring higher interest rates, as well as risks of economic and financial disruptions, is a foundation of classical economics.
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White papers
Views from the credit desk: Bullish and Bearish Cases
2021 has seen a wide dispersion in asset price returns, driven by a more inflationary environment. Commodities, stocks and high-yield are up, but investment-grade and government bonds are down.
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White papers
Insurers’ portfolios: re-load the income engine, go beyond the traditional investment universe
US long-term yields have risen in recent months on expectations of strong economic growth fueled by fiscal stimulus. Eurozone long-term government yields have followed this movement in a limited way, as Eurozone economies have been hit hard by the Covid-19 crisis. The pandemic has increased economic fragmentation across European countries, putting pressure on the ECB to pursue its highly accommodative policy.
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White papers
Filtering Shades of Green through our Green Bond Framework
Green Bond issuance is surging, but not all Green Bonds are equal. Some carry a much greater ESG impact than others.
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White papers
Infinity and beyond banks: the never-ending battle between old money and big tech
This month, Fiorino examines the tussle between banks and the increasingly belligerent Big Tech sector.
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White papers
A post-Covid structural change in developed markets: the strong political will to invest in the US
What matters to fixed income investors is the macro-financial environment that will prevail after the strong rebound in growth and inflation expected in H2.
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White papers
NGEU soon to be rolled out: the EU has (almost) done its part; now comes the member-states’ turn
In leading the way to NGEU, the Covid crisis may have marked a crucial milestone in European construction. The amounts involved are high enough to play a decisive role, both in accelerating the cyclical recovery (especially in “peripheral” countries) and in providing a supply-side improvement. Member-states, however, will face a major challenge in absorbing them rapidly and productively.
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White papers
Looking below the surface of fixed income markets: 360°, Q2 2021
What is our current view of fixed income markets? And where do we see the best relative value?
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White papers
China in the global inflation scare
Markets are worrying about rising inflation, but to date, there has been no evidence yet of ‘demand-pull’ inflation amplifying cost-push pressures, especially in Asia. There is also no sign of a global wage-price spiral. Nevertheless, we believe there are reasons to be concerned.
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White papers
Emerging Market Debt: Strong, Mature and Core
Investors who have long considered emerging market (EM) debt to be ancillary to their core portfolio may want to give the asset class another look.
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White papers
Global Investment Views - June 2021
Inflation has remained dormant for a long time, with years of below-target and weak inflation, but we are now reaching a delicate juncture where inflation is taking the driver’s seat in financial markets.
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White papers
Inflation, Expectations & Listening to Your Parrot
“Catch a parrot,” goes the old adage, “teach him to say ‘supply and demand’ and you have an excellent economist.”
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White papers
Our thoughts on inflation – And why we just don’t buy it!
In our view, in the wake of the sell-off and reset in valuations for environmental sector stocks in the first half of the year, the fundamentals have never looked more attractive.
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White papers
Sustainability-linked LBO loans - fad or future?
The ‘green’ finance revolution shows no signs of slowing down, with sustainable debt issuance continuing to set new records.
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White papers
Global corporate bonds Q&A with Damir Bettini: selectivity remains key
A year on from the height of the COVID-19 crisis, credit spreads have returned to their pre-pandemic tight levels. Does this present an asymmetric return profile for corporate bonds?
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White papers
Running Out of People
Understanding the forces that will one day fuel persistent price increases helps clarify why inflation is less of a problem now.
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White papers
Webinar - Inflation: Back on the Agenda
It has been a long time since investors had to worry about rising inflation and interest rates at the global level. Over recent months, however, the prospect of a strong economic recovery from the coronavirus crisis, compounded by unprecedented fiscal stimulus and accommodative monetary policy, has sent bond market inflation expectations soaring.
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Podcast
The Investment Podcast: The folly of forecasting – finding value in an uncertain world
There has been significant positive momentum in credit markets since the Covid crisis began, underpinned by unprecedented levels of government and central bank support. However, despite market expectations of a sharp rebound in economic activity, there remain significant risks to this view.