All Fixed Income articles – Page 73
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White papersCoiled Spring
Exceptional garden pinks and yellows mark the arrival of seasonal spring, but the world’s economic data outline a “coiled spring”.
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White papersInflation: Preparing your portfolio for the surge
After falling to almost zero during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate of U.S. inflation is on the rise. To navigate the current market environment, today’s investor must understand how quickly the United States economic recovery will generate inflation, how long that inflation will be sustained, and what investment implications follow.
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White papers2021 Recovery to continue and beat potential
We confirm the financial “recovery regime” as a central scenario (with a 70% probability) for the next 12 to 18 months, with growth and macro determinants remaining paramount.
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White papersThe end of the Great Moderation and the return of volatility
Since the mid-1980s, the macroeconomic volatility has declined to a postwar low.
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White papersAbsolute return – An absolute must in fixed income
Classical fixed income is already a source of ‘return-free risk’ in this post-pandemic economy awash with central bank stimulus. Reflationary expectations have expedited the rise in interest rates and aggravated the challenges faced by traditional fixed income strategies and indices.
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White papersFive key themes in energy credit
In credit markets, energy was one of the most volatile sectors in 2020, with oil futures trading in negative territory for some time.
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White papersA Few Sparks & Lots of Smoke—But Still No Sign of a Fire
As investors search for signs of uncontrolled inflation, it’s hard to see anything more than you’d expect in a strong cyclical recovery.
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White papersStill Searching for (Lasting) Inflation
Markit flash PMIs suggest European economies are improving. In the U.S., stimulus and reopenings drove the composite PMI to a record high, and consumer confidence is rising sharply. Elsewhere, the BOJ revised growth projections higher amid strong external demand.
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White papersDoomsday at the bank: a spoonful of measures helps the resolution go down
The global financial crisis proved bank failure was not just ancient history or fictional fodder. Fiorino explains why post-crisis measures to fend off future financial meltdowns may have changed the odds but left the possibility of ‘doomsday’ intact.
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White papersUnderstanding Your Bond Portfolio’s Carbon Footprint
Transitioning to a net-zero carbon economy* is vitally important, and to support that journey sustainable investors should monitor the carbon impact of the corporate bonds in their portfolios. But there’s a lot more to understanding a bond portfolio’s carbon footprint than conventional metrics can show.
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White papersFed to keep policy easy despite arrival of economic boom
Evidence continues to mount that a combination of vaccinations and stimulus are creating some of the strongest economic growth data in decades. Even so, the Fed remains committed to easy monetary policy until unemployment falls further and inflation materializes.
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White papersCLOs: What’s Driving the Opportunity Today?
Co-Heads of Structured Credit, Melissa Ricco and Taryn Leonard provide insight into last year’s ‘rollercoaster ride’ in CLOs, and explain why both fundamental and technical factors appear to be aligning to create a strong backdrop for the asset class moving forward.
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White papersSDG Engagement High Yield Credit Annual 2020 Report
Seeking twin objectives of strong financial performance and positive social and environmental impacts that contribute to achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), we launched SDG Engagement High Yield Credit in October 2019.
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White papersShifts & Narratives #2 - Inflation: something deep awakens
One year ago, as the Covid-19 crisis had just begun, we wrote about its potential inflation implications from both a cyclical and a structural standpoint. Cyclically, the crisis was already generating a combination of demand and supply shocks that could only increase short-term inflation volatility and sectoral fragmentation.
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White papersUnveiling the outlook behind China’s distorted Q1 GDP report
China’s economy grew robustly in the first quarter of 2021, at least on the face of it. However, underlying growth momentum has slowed. This should reduce any risk of monetary tightening that investors are worried about.
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White papersBond investors beware – US rates may rise sooner than thought
US bond markets have begun pricing in higher interest rates, specifically two 25 basis point (bp) increases in the benchmark fed funds rate by 2023.
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White papersTime to Start Thinking About Thinking
The Fed doesn’t need to act anytime soon, but Powell needs to reassure investors that he sees the same strong data they do.
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White papersBack to the future: The predicative power of science-based targets
Astute use of evidence from the past and present to make informed predictions about future performance has always been the key to investment success.
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White papersShoppers Are Back—Spending is the New Saving
Europe remains on track for a delayed recovery as consumers weathered winter lockdowns fairly well. In the U.S., retail sales and inflation data popped up in March. Elsewhere, credit growth in China slowed as policymakers remain confident in the economic recovery.
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White papersFrom Rising Rates to Rising Stars: What’s Ahead for IG Credit?
Rising rates can bring challenges to IG corporate credit, but opportunities are emerging as well—particularly given the supportive fundamental and technical backdrop.
