All Fixed Income articles – Page 79
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Returns and real impact: the green-bond opportunity
The Generali Investments SICAV Euro Green & Sustainable Bond – one year on
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Global Investment Views - March 2021
If the start of 2021 led markets to question the no inflation forever mantra, the debate has been hotting up in February, with the US 10Y inflation breakeven reaching its highest level since 2014, pricing in higher inflation expectations. We are also seeing pricing pressure on the food and energy side.
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Tracking ECB’s Communication: Perspectives And Implications For Financial Markets
This article assesses the communication of the European Central Bank (ECB) using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. We show the evolution of discourse over time and capture the main themes of interest for the central bank that go beyond its traditional mandate of maintaining price stability, enlightening main concerns and themes of discussion among board members.
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Mario Draghi: Deus Ex Machina or Knight of the Apocalypse?
The Future of Italy and Implications for Europe.
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Distressed Debt: The Opportunities Surfacing in COVID’s Wake
Barings’ Stuart Mathieson and Bryan High provide insight into today’s distressed debt market, including their expectations for defaults, an overview of the competitive landscape, and where the next opportunities may emerge across the U.S. and Europe.
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Coronavirus highlights fixed income’s potential for impact investing
Investors such as pension funds are increasingly seeking investments with a positive impact, and the surge in Covid-19 bond issuance in 2020 indicates that fixed income is the asset class well-positioned to deliver positive social outcomes.
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Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities
Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021
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What will be the key factors driving EM debt markets in 2021?
In spite of the 2020 rally, there are still attractive opportunities across different parts of the investment universe
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A changing climate in fixed income: 360°, Q1 2021
What is our current view of fixed income markets? And where do we see the best relative value?
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The latest evolution of distress language in CLO documentation
With greater flexibility afforded to the manager, what can debt investors reasonably expect from changes made to documentation for collateralised loan obligations (CLOs)?
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Bank bonds and the uncertainty principle: why financial analysts must look outside the box
Bank bond analysts could once ply their craft among the two well-defined research fields of macro-economics and financial accounts. But, as Fiorino discovers, understanding financial institution fixed income securities now requires analysis that stretches across traditional boundaries of knowledge.
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Lots of Stimulus, Not Much Inflation
Weak U.S. jobs data fuels debate for further fiscal stimulus but some worry inflation may overshoot the Fed’s target this year. In China, the PBOC is tapering monetary stimulus. In Europe, the Q4 contraction was less severe than initially thought, but the recovery looks delayed.
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What do the unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures mean for inflation?
As the largest vaccination programme in history commences, risk markets appear to be ignoring the logistical challenges or near-term downside growth risks from tighter lockdowns imposed after infection rates in Northern Hemisphere countries soared over the winter.
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*Fixed income outlook – From despair to hope*
In the US, reflation on the back of fiscal stimulus and the exit from lockdowns should lead to modestly higher inflation expectations and nominal bond yields.
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For diversification and returns: private debt and real assets
Investing in private debt and real assets can offer investors benefits such as attractive risk-adjusted return potential and real diversification, setting these ‘alternative’ markets apart from their traditional public counterparts.
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Supply vs demand of EMU EGB in 2021
Euro area sovereign debt issuance vs. ECB purchase dynamics look favourable in 2021. On the supply side, net issuance should decrease vs 2020, thanks to lower aggregated numbers of budget deficits, incoming support from EU funds, and for some countries, the use of increased cash accounts and higher bond redemptions.
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Why we don’t expect the Fed to taper its bond buying programme this year
In a world where sovereign bond yields are in the hand of central banks, the recent upward revisions of growth expectations for the US economy raised questions about the outlook for the Fed’s monetary policy. Growth is expected to rebound in H2 and very accommodative monetary policy is not a free lunch. The difficulty for the Fed is estimating how sustainable this expected improvement in growth and inflation will be in H2 2021.
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Taper or not taper: a key issue for markets
The Fed is committed to maintaining very accommodative monetary conditions and unchanged interest rates until the economy has returned to full employment and inflation has stabilised above its 2.0% target. But the Fed has so far been vague on what determines the pace of its asset purchases. It is clear that these will have to decline long before it raises its key rates. But when and on what basis?
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The greenness of the EU budget: implications for fixed income and industry
The EU’s significant budget allocations to address the climate crisis supports the decarbonisation of the economy whilst also securing the permanence of sustainable fixed income.
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Catastrophe Bonds: Natural Diversification
Following another eventful year in reinsurance, we offer a primer on catastrophe bonds—a growing and genuinely diversifying asset class that we believe is attractively valued.