All Fixed Income articles – Page 82
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White papersOmicron, Pi, Rho…
Omicron will not be the last variant that surfaces, especially with about half the Greek alphabet still unused. Much is still unknown about the risks, but they add another level of complexity to the outlook.
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White papersFed officials’ discomfort is growing with the inflation overshoot: why it will remain cautious
US consumer prices jumped by 6.2% in October, their highest level in 30 years! Deteriorating inflation data have pushed markets towards forecasting a faster pace of tapering and a more rapid removal of accommodation in 2022. We expect the Fed to act gradually as Covid remains a major risk and as the Fed would like to see a higher participation rate.
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White papersESG bond market bound to deliver another record year of growth
Global ESG bond markets are bound to deliver another record year of new issuance volumes, led by broad-based dynamic activity in all its major segments. In the first nine months of the year, combined global issuance of green, social, sustainability and sustainability-linked bonds were already equal to 145% of global ESG bond supply in full year 2020.
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White papersOur best investment ideas
Broadly speaking, valuations across public equities around the world appear full, but we see opportunities across sectors and markets. We expect valuations to be relatively flat next year.
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White papersFocusing on the evidence: 360°, Q4 2021
What is our current view of fixed income markets? And where do we see the best relative value? In our latest edition of 360°, Andrew ‘Jacko’ Jackson and his team of specialist investors consider the areas that have the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns.
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White papersWhat Rhymes With “Transitory”?
The search continues for a word that describes inflation that will not derail the recovery.
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White papersDoes the end of China’s love affair with property spell heartbreak for investors?
Beneath the surface of the world’s most important industry sector, all is not well, and investors – directly or indirectly exposed – will be profoundly impacted by what the Chinese property sector does next, writes Robin Usson, CFA, Credit Analyst
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White papersMacroeconomic Outlook 2022: Compression, decompression, absorption
2020 was a year of massive compression of economic activity. 2021 was a year of fast decompression, with demand catching up quickly as we were reopening, exerting significant pressure on supply, triggering a rise in consumer prices unseen in decades.
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White papersInvestment Strategy outlook 2022: Coping with modest rate increases
As we head towards the second anniversary of the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic the disease remains one of the key worries for investors. It continues to have the ability to disrupt demand and supply and for this to be reflected in bouts of “risk-off” behaviour in financial markets.
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White papersLessons from COP26 ‘We have to realise that we can’t enjoy everything the way we have in perpetuity’
Covid may well have set back the march toward a greener planet, says Mitch Reznick, CFA, Head of Research and Sustainable Fixed Income.
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PodcastIt’s Quitting Time: Exploring Labor Market Dynamics
After a record-breaking 4.3 million Americans quit their jobs in August, many have had their eyes on the labor market at large. Known as “The Great Resignation” or “The Big Quit”, this phenomenon has turned the heads of employers and employees alike. But how long might this trend last? What has kept people out of the workforce? And what sectors might be able to meet the demand of rising wages?
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White papersLessons from COP26 Net-zero pathway a boon to fixed income
Having more data to discuss with corporates is helping to rewrite the framework for investment, says Andrew Jackson, Head of Fixed Income
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White papers5 reasons to invest in high yield corporate bonds in the current market environment
The high-yield market has historically produced positive results over a full cycle, but it tends to do particularly well during the recovery phase of the business cycle as default rates fall, spreads tighten from wide levels and volatility trends lower.
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White papersEM inflation elevated but still relatively contained; local markets could offer relative value
The gap between emerging market (EM) inflation over developed market (DM) inflation has remained contained this time, in part due to weak economic conditions, muted domestic credit creation and proactive EM central banks. Tighter EM financial conditions should anchor longer term EM inflation expectations.
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White papersRisk and opportunity in Asia credit: Chinese property, regulatory shifts, inflation
We believe at the point of Evergrande default, the contagion are, less financial and more real economy in nature. This is because the overall exposure of the financial system to Evergrande from a top-down perspective is much more manageable albeit there are risks around selected financial institutions with higher exposures to Evergrande.
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VideoSolving for 2022
The heads of our investment platforms identified the key themes they anticipate will guide investment decisions in 2022.
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White papersSocial bonds – A tool to effect positive social change
Social bonds have been the fastest growing segment of the market for thematic bonds. Numerous factors are driving their popularity, including their use to address gender inequality and to support pandemic relief.
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White papersThe role bonds play in a portfolio
Building a resilient and balanced portfolio should be a priority for many investors in today’s environment of heightened financial market uncertainty and volatility across a range of asset classes, including equities.
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: Is the inflation genie out of the bottle?
With higher inflation now a global phenomenon, the extent of its pick-up varies from country to country. David Parsons and Miles Tym from M&G Investments, explore the localised responses, whether Gen X will be Gen debt and above all – whether inflation is here to stay.
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White papersIs the U.K. the Newest Leading Indicator?
An upside surprise in U.K. inflation and improving employment trends reinforced markets pricing a 10–15 bps rate hike by the BoE in December, while energy prices eased following the announcements from China, which could provide downside pressure to market inflation expectations.
