All Fixed Income articles – Page 20
-
White papersDe-Siloing Your Fixed Income Portfolio
The potential benefits of multi-asset over siloed fixed income management, and why we think asset allocation should be a bottom-up as much as a top-down process.
-
White papersThe U.S.-China Competition Through Four Lenses
Not all Great Power Competitions lead to military confrontations. Explore the U.S.-China relationship through four lenses and whether the current global order faces the risk of confrontation.
-
White papersAn introduction to real estate debt
Over the last several years, we have seen an increase in the number of institutional investors around the world interested in adding real estate debt to their portfolios.1 In some instances, this is to replace an allocation to traditional fixed income, while in others it is both an enhancement and a way to further diversify their current level of real estate holdings.
-
White papersStock-Bond Correlation: Theory & Empirical Results
Stock-bond correlation is an important component of portfolio allocation. It is widely used by institutional investors to determine strategic asset allocation, and is carefully monitored by multi-asset fund managers to implement tactical asset allocation. Over the past 20 years, the correlation between stock and bond returns in the US has been negative, while it was largely positive prior to the dot-com crisis.
-
White papersIrish banks: a classic turnaround tale… and opportunity
In April, with little fanfare, AIB (Allied Irish Bank) became the first Irish bank to issue a 10-year dollar senior benchmark bond.It was popular with investors: the bank borrowed $1 billion with orders of $7 billion. It was priced at 160bps over Treasuries – a similar level at which we would expect the larger UK and French banks to issue. This confirms that Irish banks are back to their rightful place in the eyes of credit investors.
-
White papersFixed Income – A new era for bonds
Surging inflation brought an end to the decade-long era of low bond yields. In the decade ahead, we believe bond yields will not return to the near-zero levels of the recent past or see the steady capital appreciation which marked the prior 30 years. Instead, our view is that inflation and real yields are more likely to remain closer to their long-term averages, supported by central bank policy, changing supply/demand dynamics, and the risk that inflation could spike again.
-
White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - May 2024
Monthly Cross Asset - Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts
-
White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2024
“We expect 75 bps of rate cuts in 2024 as monetary policy remains restrictive, growth will slow down, and inflation data do not alter our projections.”
-
White papersIMF spring meeting take-aways: short-term resilience, but no reacceleration in the mid term
In recent months, the IMF and other economic forecasters have raised their growth projections for 2024. The April World Economic Outlook showed revisions (+0.3% Global) that primarily affected the US, China and Emerging Markets (EM). These revisions were based on expectations of less economic scarring from the recent crisis, insufficient fiscal adjustment supporting short-term growth and less effective monetary policy transmission compared to the past.
-
White papersM&A wave could enhance convertible bond returns in 2024
Takeover activity was strong in 2023, both among private equity and strategic buyers. The outlook for this year looks just as promising, in our view, reflecting the recent improvements in liquidity and economic conditions. There is a large amount of dry powder to be deployed, and the hope that interest rates are stabilising should build market confidence, although the Federal Reserve has been unwilling to provide reassurances on this.
-
White papersHigh yield: differentiation returns to drive the next leg of performance
European high yield has outperformed the US this year, which in itself is a pretty rare occurrence. But things get even more interesting when you look at what’s driving those returns.
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2024
Topic of the Month: IMF spring meeting take-aways: short-term resilience, but no reacceleration in the mid term
-
PodcastPart 1: Navigating the Low Carbon Transition with Temperature
Examining how temperature alignment is helping to reshape climate-conscious investment strategies.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views - May 2024
Recent inflation and growth data from the US indicates continued strength in the economy, leading us and various institutions including the IMF to revise up US growth. We see the current strong momentum to continue into Q2 but expect a deceleration in H2, without negative growth in any quarter.
-
White papersEmerging market debt: the strong recovery continues
After a difficult couple of years for the asset class, emerging market debt (EMD) is one of the fastest growing parts of the wider fixed-income universe.
-
White papersShort duration credit: ride the wave
The Euro Kurzlaufer Strategy’s global short duration approach allows it to respond and maximise overall returns based on the relative value of assets, whatever the direction of yields.
-
PodcastMapping Geopolitics in Emerging Markets
Exploring the intersection of geopolitics and emerging markets, analyzing risks and impacts amid global uncertainties.
-
White papersAn Ocean of Difference
‘Copy and paste’ your U.S. inflation outlook onto Europe and you may miss the opportunity in core European bonds.
-
White papersHigher Yields Burnish IG Credit’s Luster
Spreads continue to grind tighter—but current elevated yields, combined with the potential for attractive total returns, continue to draw investors into IG credit.
-
White papersEM Debt: Reasons for Optimism, But Risks Remain
The upbeat note on which EM debt entered the year continues to prevail. While tailwinds exist, there is also a myriad of potential risks to navigate in the coming months.
