All Fixed Income articles – Page 19
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White papers
Outlook 2024: Prepare for changes in the investing climate
Heading into 2024, it is difficult to remember another time when the outlook was so uncertain. Recession or expansion? Inflation or deflation? Higher interest rates for longer or central banks preparing to pivot? Take your pick and you will find a pundit arguing for each scenario as if it was a foregone conclusion.
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White papers
Fixed-Income Outlook 2024: Bonds Roar Back
The tide has turned for bonds. Here’s what we think is in store for 2024.
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White papers
The what, why and how of the global fixed income and municipal markets
The evolving fixed income market environment - Key 2023 themes
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White papers
Taxable Municipal bonds: yields moving higher
The taxable municipal bond market experienced negative third quarter returns in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. With the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) nearing the end of its rate hike cycle, higher yields have increased future expected returns, given yields are now at levels not seen over the last decade. We believe portfolios should be rewarded by assuming a modestly longer duration profile while adding credit risk.
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White papers
The Monroe Doctrine at 200: Its New Implications for LatAm Assets
We explore the potential evolution of the relationships between Latin American countries and the U.S.
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Podcast
Fixed on ESG, Ep. Ep. 20 – COP28: Dissecting Climate Progress and Pledges
A review of the takeaways from COP28, the United Nations Climate Change Conference, hosted in Dubai, UAE.
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Podcast
All the Credit, Ep. 47 - Holiday Indigestion: The Investment Implications of GLP-1s
Exploring the investment implications of GLP-1s across fixed income markets and industries.
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White papers
Time for credit – why we like investment grade
To better understand the impact of potential macroeconomic scenarios on the asset class, we have undertaken a sensitivity analysis of the global investment grade corporate bond market. This sensitivity analysis points to one clear implication: the importance of investing in fixed income despite ongoing uncertainty. We believe fixed income, in particular credit markets, have become a much more attractive proposition for investors.
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White papers
‘Peak rates’ and opportunities for credit selection in 2024
After two years of declines, 2023 proved to be another tough year for bond investors. However, a powerful rebound towards year end helped the global bond index end the year in positive territory for the first time in three years. Below, Jim Leaviss, CIO Fixed Income at M&G Investments, shares his views on the prospects for bond markets in today’s ‘peak rates’ environment, while senior credit portfolio manager Richard Ryan looks at the opportunities presented by fundamental credit selection.
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White papers
Resilient private credit fills a growing need across U.S. and Europe
The U.S. and European private credit markets have been a significant success story of asset management for the last decade.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: What stands out amongst the Santa Rally?
In our last Convictions podcast of the year, Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, sat down last week to discuss whether any of the recent policy comments or economic data publications might have impacted our main calls for 2024.
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White papers
Bond Portfolio Optimisation and Mixed Integer Programming
While portfolio optimisation is commonplace in equities, it is more complex in the fixed-income space, partly because of trading lot sizes. Implementing the portfolio composition by converting weights into holdings is easy for equities due to small lot sizes.
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White papers
ECB on hold supportive for Euro credit markets and govies
Key takeaways from the European Central Bank’s meeting
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White papers
Fed and ECB: towards rate cuts in 2024
”Markets expect Central Banks to cut rates in early 2024. This is too optimistic, but falling inflation is good news for investors.”
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
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White papers
Key Investments themes 2024: views from around the Generali Investments ecosystem
The global economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, avoiding the sharp recession that was widely expected at the start of the year.
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White papers
Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
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White papers
Higher rates will start to bite the corporate sector in 2024
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited. However, refinancing needs will rise in 2024 Small and medium sized companies and lower rated HY issuers will be most impacted. The spillover from higher rates will be more limited for IG companies.
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White papers
Dovish Fed contemplates rate cuts: risks to weaker US growth persist
The Fed kept its benchmark overnight borrowing federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50% for the third consecutive meeting, that is, a period now spanning almost five months. The FOMC statement and press conference were more dovish than we – and the market – expected. This was exemplified in Chair Jerome Powell’s comment that the Fed believes interest rates are at or near their peak in this cycle.
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White papers
Powell pivots policy: moving closer to rate cuts
The U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its December meeting, as expected, and updated projections signal even more rate cuts in 2024 than previously expected.