All Fixed Income articles – Page 24
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White papersPolitical Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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PodcastBonds and Beyond in Today’s Fixed Income Markets
A shift into higher rates globally over the latter part of 2023 has created a new investment regime in the fixed income markets; prompting investors to reassess their strategic asset allocation. Despite the reset of fixed income yields to much higher levels, making the asset class look attractive, how can investors be prepared for potential rate cuts while balancing the exciting opportunities that the market is presenting as we make our way through the current market cycle?
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White papersFed Meeting Impact: Is It More Than You Realize?
This paper discusses how Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings have a significant impact on options pricing, creating risks and opportunities for investors employing options-based strategies.
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White papersThe BoE’s “Table Mountain” Approach Sees Rates Highest for Longest
The Bank of England kept its Bank Rate on hold at 5.25% on September 21, 2023. The UK’s economic backdrop is weak, so we believe that the BoE will keep interest rates at this level for the near future.
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White papersCan investment-grade credit provide resilience amid uncertainty
An uncertain economic outlook and high interest rates are generally not viewed as a positive backdrop for investment-grade (IG) corporate bonds (rated BBB/Baa and above). Yet, a confluence of supportive factors is underpinning this asset class. These include relatively good credit quality, high average starting yields above 5.5%, an overall duration of about seven years and stabilisation of the banking sector.
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White papersThe Fed’s Higher-for-Longer Mantra is OK for Bonds
The Federal Reserve indicated that policy rates will likely remain elevated for some time and that neutral policy may indeed be higher than previously projected at its September 20, 2023 meeting.
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White papersAfrica’s Investment Outlook Depends on Macroeconomic Adjustments
Performance within Sub-Saharan Africa credits so far in 2023 has largely been driven by positioning and technicals which presents investors with opportunities.
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White papersESG in private credit: A key differentiator?
Although ESG integration is still relatively nascent in the private debt sphere, advances are being made as lenders take into account the long-term risks entailed with debt issuance.
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White papersPeter Harrison: The City needs to embrace risk
Proposals to overhaul listings rules are a step in the right direction but much more work needs to be done.
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VideoBonds are Back And so is Risk
The search for yield is over. The risk-management challenge has just begun.
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White papersEuro-denominated short duration – only upside from here?
The ECB is at or near the end of its historic monetary tightening cycle. From this point, we believe investors in euro-denominated short duration debt may well stand to benefit – whatever happens next.
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White papersThe Sprint to Year-End
As the September starting gun sounds, here’s what we are looking out for on the track ahead.
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White papersThe ECB Delivers a (Final?) Dovish Hike
The ECB raised its deposit rate to 4.0% today, an all-time high since the launch of the euro. It cited uncomfortably high headline inflation of more than 5% as the key driver of its decision. Higher interest rates signal concern among ECB policymakers that underlying inflation could become embedded. That would make it harder to get back to the Bank’s 2% target.
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White papersWhy ABS could be an attractive option for European insurers
A fundamental shift in the UK defined benefit (DB) pension market, sparked in September 2022 by the government’s ‘mini budget’, opened the doors to potential opportunities across the balance sheet for insurance companies. Here we explore how European insurers may be in a position to take advantage of the compelling risk adjusted returns on offer in the European ABS market.
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White papersGo global for higher income
There is a new reality taking shape in global markets and investors may need to reset their expectations.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Divergences persist as we head into autumn
For many, September has a back to school feel about it after a long break and is often the chance for a bit of a refresh. This summer, markets certainly weren’t on holiday, as August saw corrections and volatility, whilst there was also further softening in economic data, particularly in Europe and China.
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White papersConsidering potential opportunities in Significant Risk Transfer
A Significant Risk Transfer (SRT) transaction is a first or second loss protection purchased by a bank on a diversified pool of core lending assets, for example, loans to large corporations, as well as SMEs. Although the origins of the SRT market date back to the 1990s, it has only existed as recognised today since the introduction of Basel II in 2007. Here, we explore why now could be a good moment for patient investors to consider SRT transactions, and why this potentially compelling opportunity could be short-lived given where we are in the economic cycle.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2023
”The current asymmetric risk/return profile doesn’t call for increasing risks. Instead, investors should stay balanced and search for signals regarding confirmation of the economic direction.”
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White papersNavigating by Flashes of Lightning
Central banks may be reluctant to hike further, but as long as they tie themselves to incoming data their hands may be forced.
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White papersCIO views: ideas for ‘back-to-school’ returns
As Q3 progresses and many children return to classrooms after the holidays, our CIOs present their ‘back-to-school’ investment outlooks. Even as long-term investment trends continue to play out – the environmental transition, higher-for-longer interest rates, a greater cost of capital and demographic change – there is client demand for performance in the shorter term. What tactical exposures can investors implement to improve returns in the next six months?
