All Fixed Income articles – Page 21
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July-August 2025
“While the OBBBA’s tax cuts may stimulate the US economy in the short run, rising trade tariffs this summer could limit gains. The bill also heightens medium-term growth risks.”
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White papersThe Hidden Edge: Why Granular European Assets Hold the Key to Outperformance
In today’s complex and fragmented European real estate market, opportunities are available if you are able to recognise them and are willing to do the hard work. But to see and recognise them you need to have your “boots on the ground,” your “hands on the data,” and your “head in the realities of the local market’s engine rooms.” In Germany, particularly, I’ve come to see that the greatest value is not just found but created, through rigorous granular origination and disciplined active asset management. That is the strategy we’ve embraced at Arrow Global, and it’s one I believe that offers the best chances of value creation.
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White papersHigh Yield: Keep Calm & “Carry” On
The global economic landscape remains in flux as investors navigate a complex mix of resilient data, policy uncertainty, and geopolitical tension. In the U.S., recession probabilities have receded but not disappeared. While hard data—such as employment and consumption—has held up, soft indicators continue to flash caution. Inflation remains sticky in places, and the full impact of recently introduced tariffs has yet to be felt. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve appears content to remain on hold, awaiting further clarity before adjusting policy.
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White papersPrivate credit: how technology can drive efficiencies
We’ve seen the growth in the private credit market, what are some of the key drivers?
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White papersThe changing world of institutional credit
The traditional boundaries between public and private lending are rapidly dissolving, creating new opportunities – and new challenges – for investors.
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White papersA Weaker Dollar? It May Be Time to Get Used to It
Policy shifts may create an incentive to diversify.
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White papersGlobal Corporate Bonds: A good time to bolster defensive allocations
This year, financial markets have often seemed like a rollercoaster. Prices have whipsawed as investors have attempted to price heightened geopolitical risk and President Donald Trump’s America first approach to global trade.
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White papersEnvisioning a post-Powell Fed: What comes next?
With characteristic directness, President Trump has expressed dissatisfaction in recent weeks with the job performance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Serious or not, this kind of talk has investors speculating on what’s next for the US central bank and what a changing of the guard could mean for the economy and markets — whether that change comes at the end of Powell’s term as chair in May 2026 or sooner.
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White papers2025 Alternative Credit insights: Advancing diversification
The alternative credit market has seen significant growth since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), and the increasing appetite for asset classes beyond direct lending demonstrates investors looking for similar growth stories in other markets.
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White papersEuropean Bonds – Still More to Give
Benign inflation, a dovish central bank and healthy yields have helped boost the global attraction of European government bond and credit markets. With further monetary easing expected, European fixed income continues to look selectively compelling.
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White papersThe strategic value of allocating to high yield
Financial markets have navigated an exceptionally turbulent period over the past five years. Severe shocks have included the global pandemic in 2020, aggressive rate hikes by central banks in 2022 and the imposition of tariffs in 2025. Despite these significant disruptions, the high-yield (HY) market has demonstrated remarkable resilience, emerging as the best-performing fixed income sector by a substantial margin.
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White papersSigns of a growing deficit attention disorder
Short-term risk-on distractions should give way to long-term economic reality.
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White papersEuropean IG Credit: Opportunity in a Shifting Landscape
Appealing fundamentals, elevated yields and active management opportunities are drawing investors to European investment grade credit.
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White papersSolving for 2025: Mid-Year Scorecard
At the end of 2024, our CIOs sat down to discuss the five key themes they expected to impact markets. At mid-year, we assess how those have played out so far.
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White papersShifting Dynamics in the CRE Lending Market
We see an array of differentiated opportunities across the commercial real estate credit market.
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White papersCLOs: Navigating a Bifurcated Market
The CLO market remains well-supported, but caution is warranted as the path forward will likely be shaped by both macroeconomic forces and deal-specific characteristics.
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White papersUS fixed income – Reasons for concern
Developed market interest rates remained generally range bound in the second quarter. The US economy can be expected to pivot towards higher inflation and slower growth. Such a trajectory may well lead the US Federal Reserve to loosen monetary policy in the third quarter, writes Olivier De Larouziere.
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White papersQ2 Pension Funding Status
MetLife Investment Management (MIM), the institutional asset management business of MetLife, Inc., estimates that, as of June 30, 2025, the average U.S. corporate pension funded status rose to 105.1%. This was up 2.1% from 103.0% as of March 31. MIM manages approximately $600 billion in total assets under management, including over $30 billion of long duration and liability driven investments.
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White papersStocks and bonds rally despite trade turmoil: Q2 roundup
Global stocks advanced in a volatile quarter marked by erratic trade policy, surging technology stocks and a ceasefire in the Iran-Israel war. The quarter opened with a wave of new U.S. tariffs, sending stocks sharply lower, and ended with a powerful rally as some levies were paused and global trade negotiations progressed.
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White papersWhy the dollar deserves more credit
In a recent paper, we argued that sustained weakness in the US dollar would require clear evidence of narrowing real interest rate or growth differentials between the US and its major trading partners—conditions that have yet to fully materialise. Since then, the narrative around the weak dollar has continued to gain traction, but much of the perceived dollar weakness is actually a reflection of euro strength, which may now be overextended.
