All Commentary articles – Page 77
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White papersReal-Time Macro Information and Bond Return Predictability: A Weighted Group Deep Learning Approach
This paper proposes a weighted group neural network model and reexamines whether treasury bond returns are predictable when real-time, instead of fully-revised, macro information is used. Real-time macro vintage data and news-based topic attention are taken into account.
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White papersMaking Up Lost Ground
Another 75bps and more hawkish talk from Jerome Powell. Markets reacted swiftly to signals that more large increases are coming—more than they had priced in. See how this frontloading by central banks aligns with our central scenarios and expectations for the coming year.
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White papersESG Viewpoint – Should ‘doing good’ pay out? Linking executive pay to ESG metrics
ESG metrics in pay matter. We explain why, outline our expectations for companies in this area and detail our engagement efforts and the progress made.
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White papersThe lifeline of connectivity
In the digital age almost half the world’s population are still offline. The UN has warned that without decisive action, “the digital divide will become the new face of inequality.” But we believe investing with an impact lens can help provide a pathway to social inclusion through services for millions of people, address the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and embrace “double materiality” along the way.
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White papersAltruism or Self-Interest? ESG and Participation in Employee Share Plans
We ask how the ESG performance of firms affects the asset allocation of a large sample of French employees between their employer’s stock and alternative investments in firm sponsored savings plans. After ESG incidents, employees are less likely to invest and they invest smaller amounts in their company’s stock.
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White papersNo boom, but no crash either
Due to the rise in interest rates, transaction momentum in the real estate investment markets is declining. However, letting markets remain stable. The current environment offers opportunities for investors with a strong equity base.
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White papersBridging the infrastructure investment gap
The world has a tremendous need for infrastructure, a hunger that governments alone cannot meet. Private investment will be essential for communities to ensure they can meet the challenges of this century, explains Wolfgang Egger, CEO and Founder of PATRIZIA.
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White papersDeep roots and new branches
The universal drive for sustainability and the high inflationary backdrop has helped grow the investment case for timberland investing.
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White papers*Learning from the past, looking into the future*
When evaluating future long-term investment opportunities, it is vital to consider the past as well as the present. Examining the interconnections between the drivers of previous industrial revolutions, and technological advances, can help us assess the role and value of those of today: are they independent quick fixes or vital components in a new environmental infrastructure?
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White papersPrivate debt prepares to ride out the storm
Churchill’s Jason Strife participates in a Private Debt Investor roundtable discussion with other leaders in the U.S. private debt industry.
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White papersThe ups and downs of elevator maintenance
Elevator maintenance can be costly and disruptive. Predictive maintenance using artificial intelligence can provide a less expensive, more responsive lift maintenance service. The approach can be applied across many asset services.
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PodcastInside the Psyche of the Connected Consumer
With the impact of the current inflationary environment at hand, we look at the latest cohort of consumers: Generations Y and Z. These two baby boomer-sized generations have given us insights into how consumerism has evolved today. What else might investors want to know as they continue to incorporate today’s top brands into their portfolios?
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White papersWhere Will Job Markets Be Tightest?
Waiting for the U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate to rebound? Demographic trends and the graying population will likely make a full return difficult to achieve.
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White papersThe Bull Case for Next Year: It Won’t be Worse Than This Year
It’s not a pretty outlook, but it’s important to keep thinking at least one or two moves ahead.
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White papersReassessing the view on Europe: hot questions for investors
Is stagflation a highly likely scenario, or will the European economy enter a recession this year? How will governments respond?
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White papersLatAm elections cycles wrapping up: politics and policy transitions in full swing of uncertainty
LatAm’s dramatic elections calendar that landed three leftist presidents in the Andean region might be two-thirds over, but the political and policy uncertainty created by these election results is far from it. Chile and Colombia are expanding the size and role of the state, while intense political and macro conditions have forced yet another and a big-time government reshuffle in Peru and Argentina, respectively.
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White papersQ2 earnings season – strong results helped support the summer rally
The Q2 earnings season was again stronger than expected and contributed to the equity market rally up to mid-August. However, the results are of ‘low quality’ and are not a reason to turn bullish on equities. Ultimately, margins coming down from very high levels should drive the earnings downturn in our view.
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White papersMunicipal bond sectors: resilient in times of uncertainty
Many investors are concerned about the potential for a prolonged economic downturn. If that were to happen, municipal credit should show resilience, due to unprecedented federal pandemic stimulus support, strong reserves and revenue collections, and the ability to adjust budgets.
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White papersWhy ‘green’ hydrogen is the energy pathway of the future
‘Green’ hydrogen – made from renewable energy sources – is seen more and more as the holy grail in the transition to a carbon-neutral economy. With a wide range of applications, green hydrogen could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by a third in the coming decades at a reasonable cost, making it an attractive investment option. Thibaud Clisson and Julien Bouyssou explain.
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White papersEuropean Real Estate Debt: Why Now?
Against a backdrop of decades-high inflation and rising rates, real estate debt is worth considering—especially given the potential for attractive returns, duration risk mitigation, and diversification.
