All Strategies articles – Page 23
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White papersIn Credit - Life in the slow lane
Government bonds remain supported by evidence of a slowing in the global economy. This was reflected in the decline in Machine Tool Orders in Japan (See chart of the week), which were lower by 29% on an annual basis at the most recent reading. The US market outperformed last week with yields falling by 4bps for 10-year bonds.
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White papersGet active about your passive
The evidence is mounting that investors have given up on trying to beat the market in US large caps. For example, Bloomberg recently reported that passively managed large cap US equity fund assets overtook actively managed large cap US equity fund assets at the end of 2018.
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White papersDefault Probability Measure
In a world of integrated global financial markets, accurately predicting company default risk is important not only in traditional fixed income credit analysis but also more broadly across the financial industry.
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White papersQ1 2019 - Global Asset Class Spotlights: Top Down Quarterly Assessment
The combination of monetary policy stances (more patient and flexible everywhere), encouraging tariff negotiations, Chinese authorities proving successful in their resolution to support the economic cycle are all potential triggers (and risks when mirrored) to risk assets and might help produce a positive short lasting reaction.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2019
If an investor had woken up today after three months and looked at the markets, he/she could reasonably say that not much had changed. The year started on strong footing and risk assets experienced a massive rebound in the first weeks of 2019, erasing most of the losses experienced in one of the most awful Decembers in history. As a result some valuation gaps have been closed somewhat, though not exhausted. Markets switched rapidly from a “fear” to a “greed” mood. Catalysts of the renewed optimism have included the dovish shift in the Federal Reserve’s strategy, and increasing signs of progress in the trade negotiations between the US and China.
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White papersFinancial Applications of Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Optimization
In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and Bayesian optimization. Gaussian processes can be seen as a generalization of Gaussian random vectors and are associated with the development of kernel methods.
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White papersChinese consumers: your country needs you
Consumption now accounts for over half China’s economy, but spending is decreasing
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White papersHow Airports Are Flying High: A Social Perspective
Holding airport bonds in our social strategies often raises questions. But aviation brings huge social and economic benefits, and is making great environmental strides
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White papersCross-Asset Investment Strategy: Is Turkey really out of the woods?
After having narrowly escaped a balance of payments crisis last spring, there are questions surrounding the Turkish economy, not to mention the many (geo)political tensions. Throughout this period, the currency has continued to experience strong downward pressures, leading to a surge in inflation. Recently, the markets seem to be recovering hope.
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White papersNormalising economies may mean moderate returns
After 10 good years, the markets appear to be finally getting back to pre-crisis norms. Our analysis suggests that this normalisation may result in investment returns becoming much more modest than they have been over the years since the financial crisis, when extraordinarily loose monetary policy has boosted asset prices.
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White papersGlobal equities: identifying tomorrow’s ‘superstars’
After a bearish end to 2018, financial market participants are preoccupied with the question of whether a global downturn is imminent. Yet they should be asking a different question: have they accounted for the way that technology and other factors are transforming business models?
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White papersA tale of two worlds: a robust business cycle in the US and a draining of liquidity in the rest of the world
After President Trump signed the ‘Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’ into law on 22 December 2017, we expected corporate earnings growth to be strong in 2018. In fact, it has been far stronger, as the direct effect of the tax cut on corporate earnings was further magnified by the acceleration in economic growth.
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White papersFinding opportunity in Europe’s volatility
Looking back at 2018, it was a year when European corporate earnings continued to grow, while market volatility was surprisingly high. The volatility was a result of both political noise and the fear of a slowdown in global growth.
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White papersMarket Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
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White papersAntecedent Analysis: Navigating A Troop of Gorillas
With the birth of the so-called “Greenspan Put,” the 800-pound gorilla of U.S. monetary policy unleashed itself on capital markets. Today, there is not just one 800-pound gorilla harassing capital markets; there is a troop of gorillas.
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White papersDeep dive in factor definitions and behaviors to better combine them
Anticipating the economic and financial environment evolution and its impact on equity market is not easy.
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White papersFactor Investing and Smart Beta Solutions
Smart Beta & Factor Investing strategies have been developed to address the two main limits of traditional market capitalization weighted indices.
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White papersSICAV (GIS) SRI Ageing Population Celebrating 3 years of success!
What have been the most important lessons learned in terms of the performance to be obtained from this investment theme, SRI approach (Socially Responsible Investment), and stock-picking strategy, since GIS SRI Ageing Population (the Fund) was launched three years ago?
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White papersLate cycle features at play: more pain, but not the end of the game
Market sell-off: a late cycle feature where uncertainty due to tariffs, rates and oil prices are sending some red signals.
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White papersTail Risk Adjusted Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe Ratio has become a standard measure of portfolio management performance, taking into account the risk side. In that framework, the consideration of risk is reduced to returns volatility. The Sharpe Ratio does not encompass extreme risk, especially on the downside.
