All Strategies articles – Page 25
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White papers2025 Emerging market debt outlook: Stick to income and relative value in a disruptive year
As 2024 is now behind us, we are reflecting on a year of political and geopolitical upheaval which culminated in the election of Donald Trump in the U.S., whose disruptive agenda hangs over emerging market (EM) investors’ heads. In this outlook, we flesh out our current view of the world, as seen from an EM lens, and highlight a few key investment themes.
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White papersStrategy Outlook: Unified Global Alternatives - Hedge Funds First Quarter 2025
Unified Global Alternatives Hedge Funds (UGA HF) Broad Based Diversified (BBD) and Broad Based Neutral (BBN) portfolios generated positive results in Q4, experiencing profits across our four main strategies (Equity Hedged, Trading, Credit / Income, and Relative Value).
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White papersFinding Growth in US Stocks Beyond the Technology Sector
Technology stocks have been the poster child for growth in recent years. Other sectors deserve a closer look today.
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White papersWhen Does the Cutting Cycle Become an Easing Cycle?
Over the past years, the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking cycle has been unique, marked by looser financial conditions, termed “the hiking cycle that was not a tightening”. Currently, we are witnessing “a cutting cycle that is not an easing“ with financial conditions tightening despite rate cuts, affecting future growth outlooks and posing risks for investors.
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White papersArtificial intelligence – Still positive after the sell-off
In the week ending 24 January, a previously unknown Chinese start-up presented an artificial intelligence large language model apparently showing a performance comparable to that of the leading US models. The unexpected development could disrupt the paradigm of a quasi-monopolistic position for leading US chip manufacturer. This concern led to a major fall in valuations of some prominent tech companies. Markets have since recovered most of their poise. Here we give our view on these developments.
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White papersNotes From the Road: Investor Views at the Start of ‘25
We started this year by engaging in discussions with a large number of CIOs and allocators. In this short note, we reflect on key common messages that came out of those discussions, points of consensus and important open questions for the outlook.
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White papersA Choppy Start to a Year of Uncertainties
The first two weeks of 2025 perfectly illustrate why we see a wide dispersion of potential outcomes for the year, and advocate staying nimble and diversified.
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White papersPrivate Equity and Rates, Part I: The Theoretical Framework
Why we think declining rates should raise private equity valuations, and help unblock deal activity and fund distributions.
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White papersAsset Allocation Committee Outlook, 1Q 2025 - A Delicate Balance
“Overall, we anticipate a supportive backdrop for risk assets, as reflected in our broad asset-class views… The balance is delicate, however, and the risks are piled up on both sides.”
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White papersBrightening Capex: A Value Tailwind?
Global industrial activity appears to be gathering steam, potentially spurring capital expenditures, which could favor value stocks and small caps.
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White papersHow Chinese companies craft their own future
Excerpts from the “China outlook 2025” session at the Greater China Conference 2025
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White papersHedge Fund Outlook H1 2025
HF to lure more interest after a strong 2024 vintage for alpha
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White papersTrump’s first 100 days: Five policies shaping markets in 2025
With an ambitious policy agenda, President Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office will provide an early indication of his ability to sustain momentum in delivering on his promises. Wasting no time, Trump has unleashed a whirlwind of executive actions across a variety of policy focus areas, though many are likely to be challenged in court.
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White papersIn the Balance
We think easing inflation and a pro-business policy environment will support above-trend growth in 2025, but the balance is delicate with risks piled up on both sides.
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White papersVolatility, velocity and vigilantes
Volatility is how markets express uncertainty, and 2024 offered its share of ups and downs.
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White papers2025 investment landscape: Q&A with our CIOs
The December CPI print delivered a much-needed downside surprise, relieving some of the market anxiety that the U.S. economy is at the beginning of a second inflation wave. Annual headline inflation picked up to 2.9%, but, more importantly, annual core CPI dipped to 3.2%, with the pace of monthly core inflation slowing for the first time since May last year. For the Fed, today’s print is certainly not enough to prompt a January cut. But, it does keep hopes alive that the Fed’s cutting cycle still has some room to run.
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White papersDecember CPI: Keeping rate cut hopes alive
The December CPI print delivered a much-needed downside surprise, relieving some of the market anxiety that the U.S. economy is at the beginning of a second inflation wave. Annual headline inflation picked up to 2.9%, but, more importantly, annual core CPI dipped to 3.2%, with the pace of monthly core inflation slowing for the first time since May last year. For the Fed, today’s print is certainly not enough to prompt a January cut. But, it does keep hopes alive that the Fed’s cutting cycle still has some room to run.
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White papersLDI 2025: A roadmap for European asset owners
The evolving market dynamics of 2025 are set to redefine the landscape for insurance portfolios, with diverging monetary policies, rising geopolitical risks, and the increasing importance of energy transition risk at the forefront. In this outlook, Generali Asset Management’s LDI investment team explores strategic approaches to address these challenges, from optimizing duration and spread management under Solvency II to leveraging private assets for enhanced yields and stability.
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White papersBuilding value in a ‘brave new world’
Financial markets are adjusting to a new era defined by macroeconomic volatility and elevated uncertainty. We call it the ‘brave new world’. In this new regime, investors can no longer solely rely on high levels of real growth or low interest rates to drive returns. For private markets, this shift emphasizes the importance of value creation through asset transformation and identifying investment themes supported by long-term secular trends. In this paper, we examine the factors influencing our perspective on the evolving macroeconomic landscape and individual asset classes, which inform our relative value investment strategy in this ‘brave new world’.
