All Strategies articles – Page 27
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Savings behaviour in a low rate world: what can we learn from Japan?
We examine whether Japanese households have taken on more risk in search of higher returns, and consider the implications for other developed markets.
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Some great companies and attractive valuations offer opportunities in Europe
Following strong performance in 2017, European markets retreated in 2018 – a sell-off that was markedly similar to the 2015-16 downturn, when industrials, miners, banks, commodities and emerging markets plummeted by 30% or more
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Riding the shared economy wave
Pioneers of peer-to-peer economies such as Uber and Airbnb are changing consumer behaviours and disrupting industries from travel to finance. There will be winners and losers
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Lessons from a decade of bank bailouts
Both the US and the UK moved fast to clean up bank balance sheets – Europe, however, delayed and so will face the next downturn from a weaker position
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Europe’s ‘shrinking state’ offers investor opportunities
Private sector efficiency can result in a good deal for both the public and investors
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Brexit And UK Defined Benefit Funding
Immediately following the EU referendum, financial markets downgraded medium-term growth expectations for the UK. Sterling weakened, long-dated government bond yields fell, and UK equity assets fell relative to international equities. Two-and-a- half years on we can see that this weakness has not unwound.
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Responsible Investment Quarterly
The contents of this issue, covers Q4 2018.
Foreword from Iain Richards, Head of Responsible Investment
Portfolio Manager Viewpoint – Investing for a changing world: a sustainable equities outlook, by Pauline Grange, Portfolio Manager, and Rose Beale, Thematic Analyst.
A new age of infrastructure, by Ingrid Edmund, Senior Portfolio Manager
Airports flying high: a social perspective, by Ben Kelly, Senior Thematic Analyst
SASB update: codification of standards, by Mac Ryerse, Lead Analyst (US), and Chris Anker, Lead Analyst (EMEA) -
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What rapidly ageing populations mean for investors
This issue will not just affect older people – all of society will be impacted by a shrinking workforce and a dominant older demographic.
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Market Perspectives Spring fever
It’s winter still, but the weather has been exceptionally warm; markets too have got spring fever. After a dismal last quarter 2018, global equities have recouped most of their losses. And thanks to a dovish U-turn by the Fed and falling core yields, fixed income assets have done rather well, too, despite the sharp rebound in risk sentiment.
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Southeast Asia poised to gain from trade wars
Domestic manufacturers in Southeast Asia are likely winners in the trade war and from a trend among multinationals towards reducing dependence on China.
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New technology is reshaping Asia beyond China
Innovation is rapidly transforming the economies of Southeast Asia and the behaviour of its young and increasingly wealthy populations.
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The Importance of Diversity in Asset Management
Asset management has long been a male-dominated industry–but things are beginning to change. That’s because the best managers are devoting considerable time and resources to changing the situation.
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European equities: targeting positive returns in an uncertain climate
A decade after the financial crisis, the uncertain economic conditions it ushered in are starving Europe’s investors of returns.
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In Credit - Life in the slow lane
Government bonds remain supported by evidence of a slowing in the global economy. This was reflected in the decline in Machine Tool Orders in Japan (See chart of the week), which were lower by 29% on an annual basis at the most recent reading. The US market outperformed last week with yields falling by 4bps for 10-year bonds.
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Get active about your passive
The evidence is mounting that investors have given up on trying to beat the market in US large caps. For example, Bloomberg recently reported that passively managed large cap US equity fund assets overtook actively managed large cap US equity fund assets at the end of 2018.
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Default Probability Measure
In a world of integrated global financial markets, accurately predicting company default risk is important not only in traditional fixed income credit analysis but also more broadly across the financial industry.
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Q1 2019 - Global Asset Class Spotlights: Top Down Quarterly Assessment
The combination of monetary policy stances (more patient and flexible everywhere), encouraging tariff negotiations, Chinese authorities proving successful in their resolution to support the economic cycle are all potential triggers (and risks when mirrored) to risk assets and might help produce a positive short lasting reaction.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - March 2019
If an investor had woken up today after three months and looked at the markets, he/she could reasonably say that not much had changed. The year started on strong footing and risk assets experienced a massive rebound in the first weeks of 2019, erasing most of the losses experienced in one of the most awful Decembers in history. As a result some valuation gaps have been closed somewhat, though not exhausted. Markets switched rapidly from a “fear” to a “greed” mood. Catalysts of the renewed optimism have included the dovish shift in the Federal Reserve’s strategy, and increasing signs of progress in the trade negotiations between the US and China.
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Financial Applications of Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Optimization
In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and Bayesian optimization. Gaussian processes can be seen as a generalization of Gaussian random vectors and are associated with the development of kernel methods.
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Chinese consumers: your country needs you
Consumption now accounts for over half China’s economy, but spending is decreasing