All Risk Management articles – Page 10
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White papersCredit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques
The most common models to assess asset returns are a linear combination of risk factors. We have employed tree-based machine learning algorithms to capture nonlinearities and detect interaction effects among risk factors in the EUR and USD credit space. We have built a nonlinear credit pricing model and compared it to our baseline linear credit pricing model using error metrics on training and testing sets and during different periods.
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White papersDisruptive technology – Maintaining course in volatile markets
The high-tech sector has seen a dramatic correction and high market volatility in recent months. We believe it is now appropriate to review the outlook for disruptive tech thematic investing. We are confident in the long-term outlook for this secular growth theme as we see many opportunities to invest in companies that are leading – and benefiting from – digital transformation.
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White papersTake note: Finding opportunity in mispriced corporate hybrids
In our latest white paper, Robin Usson, senior credit analyst, asks: Is there scope to extract structural alpha from misunderstood extension risk?
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White papersWant to De-Risk? Look to High Yield
Looking for a tactical way to de-risk your portfolio? You might consider rotating a portion of your equity allocation into high-yield bonds.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - May 2022
We keep the narratives and the probabilities of our central and alternative scenario unchanged versus last month. However, the war in Ukraine could evolve in several ways (see Ukraine crisis tree) with significant implications on economic and financial markets. The new wave of Covid-19 in China is another source of uncertainty over the short-term.
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White papersJapan Is Back on the Risk Radar
Japan and the extreme moves in its currency are among the most important dynamics in capital markets right now—here’s why we think they should loom much larger in investors’ minds.
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White papersQ&A: Investing amid geopolitical uncertainty
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has intensified focus on geopolitical risks. However, investing amid geopolitical uncertainty is not new. Seasoned portfolio managers Kirstie Spence and Victor Kohn discuss how they approach geopolitical risk in emerging markets.
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People NewsChange in the Management Board of PATRIZIA AG
Christoph Glaser becomes new CFO - Karim Bohn leaves amicably after six years in office.
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White papersRunning dry: How water risk can threaten a company’s bottom line
Climate change is forcing investors to evaluate two new types of risk: transition risk, the cost of transitioning to low-carbon operations, and physical risk, the cost of increased drought, floods, severe weather, and a rising sea level. Water stress is one of the most pronounced physical risks from climate change that investors must consider.
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White papersHow to Get the Most From Private Placement Debt
Private Placements can offer fixed income investments with enhanced diversification, risk-adjusted yield and downside mitigation, and as demand grows, we believe investors could benefit from an independent route into the market that is better aligned with their needs.
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White papersShifts & Narratives #15 - The Green risk premium and the performance(s) of ESG investing
The question of the green risk premium and ESG performance is on everyone’s lips.
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VideoIntroduction to the Neuberger Berman Commodities Fund
In this short video, Hakan Kaya introduces the Neuberger Berman Commodities Fund and gives an overview of the role commodities could play within portfolios.
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White papersThe Fog of War Clouds Economic Outlooks
The war in Ukraine continues to dominate market moves, leading to volatility in risk assets, and the safe haven bid is still in focus amid a stronger U.S. dollar and higher precious metal prices. Commodities are soaring, with BBG Commodity Index on track for the biggest gain since 1960.
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White papersEquity Convexity and Unconventional Monetary Policy
In this paper, we intend to gain an understanding of the drivers of stock convexity, also known as gamma.
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White papersChina’s debt vulnerability – Defying dire predictions
Despite rising corporate defaults, China’s overall debt dynamics have not deteriorated. Its economic fundamentals appear strong enough to contain a debt-currency crisis.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - February 2022
We are marginally adjusting the narrative to take into account the recent economic news flow and the impact of the Omicron variant, but are keeping the probabilities of the scenarios unchanged.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - February 2022
In 2022, the US economy will face a progressive deceleration in economic activity, hovering above trend first and eventually converging to potential in 2023. Activity indicators are pointing to a notable deceleration at the end of Q4 and start of Q1 (in part Covid-related), which we expect to be short-lived.
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White papersBolstering Asset Allocation Defenses Against COVID-19
The surge of the coronavirus omicron variant has implications not only for broader asset-class allocations but also for macro exposures within asset classes. We believe that modestly capping exposure to certain COVID-19-sensitive assets can enhance risk management.
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White papersWhy sustainability requires a modern approach to reputation risk management
Reputation and brand have long been understood to be major drivers of a firm’s long-term value – the 2021 UK Reputation Dividend report estimates corporate reputation contributes a third of FTSE-350 market capitalisation.
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White papersSimple Equity Themes for Complex Times
Here’s why we think value and income can offer equity investors both a buffer against uncertainty and an attractive opportunity in an ongoing reflationary expansion.
