All Risk Management articles – Page 7
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White papersMarkets rebound as geopolitical shocks follow a familiar script
Global equity markets have staged a sharp rebound in recent weeks, delivering their strongest monthly performance in several years. The S&P 500 rose 10.5% in total return terms in April, its best month since November 2020. Additionally, despite persistent pessimism around Europe, the Stoxx 600 gained almost 6%, its strongest month since January 2025, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index soared 15%, its best performance since November 2022.
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VideoPrivate Credit Roundtable (2/3): How investors are assessing today’s credit cycle
Recent defaults have raised questions about the state of the credit cycle. In part 2 of the private credit roundtable series, our investors discuss whether these are early warning signs or simply pockets of dislocation.
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White papersReal estate fundamentals remain intact amid geopolitical noise
Geopolitical risk has intensified, but markets are signaling volatility rather than systemic stress, which matters for commercial real estate. So far, the impact has flowed through commodity prices, not a repricing of long-term rates or broader financial conditions, helping preserve valuation support for income-oriented assets.
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White papersApril ECB meeting: In a good position to make the right decision
As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) held policy rates steady today, extending its pause for a seventh straight meeting in the current easing cycle. Rates on the deposit facility, main refinancing operations, and the marginal lending facility remain at 2.00%, 2.15%, and 2.40%, respectively.
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White papersCLOs: Opportunity Amid Growing Dispersion
Dispersion and volatility have reshaped relative value across the CLO market. Structural protections and floating‑rate exposure remain supportive, but outcomes increasingly depend on credit underwriting, manager discipline and an ability to navigate a more selective opportunity set.
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White papersConsumer delinquencies pose limited risks to financial stability
The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a renewed surge in gasoline prices, adding pressure to U.S. consumers already facing the highest credit delinquency rates since the Global Financial Crisis. Combined with a steady rise in consumer credit stress, these developments have heightened concerns that systemic financial vulnerabilities may be emerging, particularly in securitized credit markets. Investor worries have been further heightened by recent high-profile bankruptcies, including U.K. lender MFS in February, and First Brands and Tricolor in 2025.
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InsightThe battery storage revolution builds economic resilience
Volatility has become a defining feature of global energy markets. From the Strait of Hormuz to Ukraine, geopolitical tensions are driving price instability, inflation, and industrial disruption, forcing a re-think of how energy systems are built. In the current landscape of disruption and uncertainty, simply building more renewable capacity isn’t enough. The real challenge is creating energy systems that are not just green, but truly resilient, flexible and less exposed to geopolitical shocks.
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White papersGCC Banks: A Five-Layer Defense for the Current Environment
A combination of strong fundamentals and sovereign support should help key financial institutions weather the storm.
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White papersCIO Weekly: Japan Shows Resilience
Japan’s energy import dependence makes it one of the conflict’s more exposed markets. Yet its short-term resilience is high, and the longer-term investment case remains attractive.
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White papersConsensus Indicators signal a K-shaped recovery in both Europe and the U.S.
InREV, the European Association for Investors in Non-Listed Real Estate Vehicles, recently published their Consensus Indicator for March 2026, revealing that sentiment remains positive but is moderating amid rising geopolitical and interest rate pressures.
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White papersLooking beyond conflict: Viewing volatility as opportunity
Investors are climbing a high wall of worries in 2026. With wars in the Middle East and Ukraine, messy trade disputes in the world’s major economic regions, growing fears over the impact of artificial intelligence, and deep political divisions in the United States and elsewhere, it can be difficult to remove emotions from practical investment decisions.
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White papersAddressing and Demystifying Risk in Senior Construction Lending
Although real estate construction lending is sometimes perceived as one of the riskier segments within the credit markets, we believe well structured and properly monitored senior construction loans tend to exhibit strong risk mitigating features.
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VideoMulti-Asset Views: Potential opportunities through diversification
Laurent Clavel discusses the effects of current geopolitical volatility on markets and how diversifying across asset classes could offer investors better risk-adjusted returns.
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White papersFactory Reset: U.S. Manufacturing Turns Up
The manufacturing industry has been struggling since the pandemic. Various metrics, including industrial production and the ISM Manufacturing index, have been in contraction or decline for years.
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White papersQ1 2026 Short Duration Commentary
Geopolitical and macro risks dominated headlines and the market landscape as the first quarter ended, driven by the Israeli and U.S attacks on Iran and their aftermath, including Iran’s response and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of the…
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White papersInvestment Grade Private Credit: A Growing Force in Diversified Portfolios
Investment Grade Private Credit is becoming a strategically important and permanent part of asset allocations among both liability-driven and total return investors.
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Asset Manager NewsResponse to inflation pressures - Kempen SDG Farmland Fund
The shift away from decades of low-inflation and a highly globalised economy represents a structural change in the macro-economic environment.
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White papersThe Fed under pressure: Politics, power and the future of monetary policy
Before the war in Iran erupted, markets were occupied with the likely impact of Trump’s appointment of a potentially dovish loyalist as the new Chair of the Federal Reserve (Fed). While this conversation has faded somewhat into the background, it is arguably as important as ever.
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White papersWhere real estate meets infrastructure: The evolution of data center investing
Discover our examination of how data centers have evolved from a niche real estate sector into a critical, infrastructure‑like asset class, driven by cloud computing, AI, and global digitalization. Our analysis highlights the structural demand tailwinds, power and supply constraints, and investment implications shaping data center markets today.
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White papersUnderstanding the history of private credit
The private credit story may be more nuanced than the headlines suggest, and the history behind it matters more than most investors realize. In this installment of The Lead Left, Churchill Asset Management’s Randy Schwimmer traces the real origins of private credit, from seasoned bank credit professionals building disciplined lending platforms after the GFC to the structural forces that shaped the market we know today. For financial professionals looking to guide client conversations with conviction, understanding this history is not optional context. It is the foundation. Read the full piece to see why the distinction between core middle market managers and their large market peers may be one of the most important portfolio positioning questions in private credit right now.
