All Risk Management articles – Page 7
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White papersUK Equities: Where Next?
Despite the pressures on household finances, there are encouraging signs for continued UK economic growth—and attractive market valuations.
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White papersEquity Convexity and Unconventional Monetary Policy
In this paper, we intend to gain an understanding of the drivers of stock convexity, also known as gamma.
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White papersChina’s debt vulnerability – Defying dire predictions
Despite rising corporate defaults, China’s overall debt dynamics have not deteriorated. Its economic fundamentals appear strong enough to contain a debt-currency crisis.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - February 2022
We are marginally adjusting the narrative to take into account the recent economic news flow and the impact of the Omicron variant, but are keeping the probabilities of the scenarios unchanged.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - February 2022
In 2022, the US economy will face a progressive deceleration in economic activity, hovering above trend first and eventually converging to potential in 2023. Activity indicators are pointing to a notable deceleration at the end of Q4 and start of Q1 (in part Covid-related), which we expect to be short-lived.
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White papersBolstering Asset Allocation Defenses Against COVID-19
The surge of the coronavirus omicron variant has implications not only for broader asset-class allocations but also for macro exposures within asset classes. We believe that modestly capping exposure to certain COVID-19-sensitive assets can enhance risk management.
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White papersWhy sustainability requires a modern approach to reputation risk management
Reputation and brand have long been understood to be major drivers of a firm’s long-term value – the 2021 UK Reputation Dividend report estimates corporate reputation contributes a third of FTSE-350 market capitalisation.
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White papersSimple Equity Themes for Complex Times
Here’s why we think value and income can offer equity investors both a buffer against uncertainty and an attractive opportunity in an ongoing reflationary expansion.
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White papersQuick Thoughts: Addressing Undiversified Risk
Our Chief Market Strategist, Stephen Dover, and Katrina Dudley, Investment Strategist for Franklin Templeton Mutual Series, discuss diversification risks.
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White papersBanks in the post-Covid-19 world
We thought the banking sector was forever changed by the Global Financial Crisis (GFC): e.g., lower leverage, better risk management, greater transparency, etc.
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White papersThe “great acceleration” intensifies pressure on insurers
While the world is recovering from 2020’s massive shock, it accentuated the challenges facing insurers. There is now greater urgency to adapt business models and portfolios while looking afresh at asset-liability management.
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White papersBig Tech Stocks: How to gauge regulatory risk
When it comes to America’s biggest technology companies, it seems like regulatory risk has never been higher. Most large technology platforms are facing pressure from US and European authorities, while lawmakers on Capitol Hill seem more inclined to doing something — rather than nothing.
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White papersBuilding Short-Term Resilience Into Long-Term Premia
Strategies designed to deliver risk premia over time need help to survive potential potholes and hairpin corners along the way.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - May 2021
We note progress on the vaccine front despite logistics and side effects issues. In our central scenario, equities outperform on the back of abundant liquidity, improving fundamentals and accommodative monetary policy.
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White papersPausing for Breath on ‘Peak Growth’
Rates of change in economic data may be hitting their peaks, but that need not preclude more long-term upside for risky assets.
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White papersLow-volatility investing, here for the long run
A decade ago, after undertaking comprehensive proprietary research into the characteristics of low-risk stocks, we launched our global low-volatility equity strategy.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - February 2021
This month, we maintain the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios. We confirm our constructive medium-term view on the “financial recovery regime”, with more caution in the short-term on financial markets, given the virus-dependent news flow.
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White papersThe Market Measure Of Carbon Risk And Its Impact On The Minimum Variance Portfolio
Like ESG investing, climate change is an important concern for asset managers and owners, and a new challenge for portfolio construction. Until now, investors have mainly measured carbon risk using fundamental approaches, such as with carbon intensity metrics. Nevertheless, it has not been proven that asset prices are directly impacted by these fundamental-based measures.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - January 2021
This month, we update the probabilities and narrative of our central and alternative scenarios, taking into account 4Q20 developments in vaccinations, fiscal and monetary policies, and (geo)politics. We have a higher conviction on our central scenario and we are raising its probability from 65% to 75%. We are lowering the probability of our downside scenario from 25% to 15%, which remains above historical levels.
