Real Estate Research – Page 2
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White papers
Turning the Corner? Commercial Real Estate Themes for 2025
As major central banks lower interest rates, is the prolonged and painful downturn in commercial real estate (CRE) finally coming to an end? Yes, at least in some sectors, according to senior investors from PIMCO’s commercial real estate platform. In a recent roundtable discussion, they emphasized that recovery will likely be slow and uneven, requiring a strategic focus on specific geographies and sectors, along with a considered choice between debt and equity investments.
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Why Australia: A Growth Inflection Point
This is the second edition of Charter Hall’s Why Australia report, a leading thought leadership paper published annually.
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2025 Global Real Estate Outlook: Is property at a turning point?
As we look towards what 2025 holds and the opportunities it will afford in real estate, it is worth first reflecting on the past 12 months. We have seen elections in major economies around the world and changes in human behaviour in response to evolving structural thematics, all of which have and will continue to impact in a plethora of ways. We saw inflation spiral, and the heightened cost of debt held back investment activity as ‘bid:ask’ spreads widened and real estate prices fell.
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European Real Estate: Prime’s Time?
A cooling economic backdrop in Europe and prospects for further monetary policy easing favor core property—given its bond-like investment attributes—over secondary assets.
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U.S. Real Estate: A Modest Start to the Recovery
The first major real estate downturn since the GFC is almost over. Demand is rebounding modestly across most of the U.S. real estate market while supply continues to pull back. This backdrop is presenting select opportunities in the asset class—but near-term risks remain.
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White papers
Global Real Estate Outlook 2025: A new chapter begins
Appetite for real estate investments is continuing to rise, given most global markets have reached a turning point, with capital values largely stabilised and some having begun their recovery phase. As we enter a new cycle, we believe lower entry prices, coupled with strengthening rental growth, make for attractive return potential.
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2025 Outlook: Global Real Estate Roundtable
In an environment characterized by change, our real estate debt and equity experts weigh in on the challenges and opportunities investors are likely to encounter across the global real estate markets in the year ahead.
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Global Retail Attractiveness Index: New high in European retail markets
The positive trend in European retail markets is becoming more entrenched. In the third quarter of 2024, the Global Retail Attractiveness Index (GRAI) for Europe stood at 114 points, 1 point higher than in the previous year (Q3 2023: 113 points). In eight of the European markets covered by the Union Investment and GfK retail index, the index showed moderate to strong gains.
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White papers
Exploring emerging trends in the logistics and light industrial sector
“Progress is impossible without change, and those who cannot change their minds cannot change anything.” As George Shaw rightly pointed out, continuous rethinking and development of strategies is essential for growth. In recent seasons, we have explored key megatrends like Industry 4.0, urban logistics, the rise of e-commerce, and de-globalisation. While the first three remain important components of the sector and continue to develop and shape the market, some megatrends are changing, thus offering opportunities and challenges alike.
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White papers
Praemia REIM gears up for new cycle
Praemia REIM, formerly known as Primonial REIM, is sharpening its focus as it enters a new phase in the real estate market. As a European leader in healthcare real estate—the cornerstone of its strategy—the firm is doubling down on social infrastructure while seeking new opportunities. As the market shifts, Praemia REIM is exploring growth areas beyond its traditional strongholds, including potential expansion into the UK and Central Europe, and diversifying into emerging asset classes such as real estate debt focused on green infrastructure.
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White papers
Is real estate in recovery mode?
Following two years of cumulative losses, global real estate returns turned positive in the second quarter, suggesting a budding recovery in the asset class. In the era of low interest rates, real estate values were flying high. Globally, quarterly total returns reached 5.0% in Q4 of 2021 and 17.8% year-over-year in the subsequent quarter, according to the MSCI Global Quarterly Property Index – figures that were well above long-term averages. The tightening cycle that followed more than unwound those gains, with values now back to 2018 levels.
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White papers
In Plain Sight: The Core Plus real estate investment opportunity that every investor should know about
In today’s commercial real estate environment, a new paradigm is reshaping the way BGO is approaching the market. Structural shifts in capital flows, transformative demographic trends, and evolving tenant behaviors are driving waves of change that have further strengthened our resolve and the rationale for Core Plus investing. We are in a higher cost of capital world, not only with interest rates but also with insurance costs and operating environments. Further, secular shifts have changed the way the built environment is utilized globally.
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White papers
Trumponomics and European real estate
The incoming US administration isn’t all bad news for Europe’s real estate investors
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Outlook 2025-2027: Attention to health care real estate
Attention health care real estate! The asset class is moving up the political agenda and attention to new care facilities is growing. Supply and demand prices are becoming more balanced, while institutional investors’ interest in sustainable real estate continues to grow. In the Outlook 2025-2027, Achmea Real Estate is therefore optimistic about investments in health care real estate.
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White papers
ISA Outlook 2025: Asia Pacific – The dawn of a new real estate cycle
The current real estate cycle in Asia Pacific is not a simple repetition of a typical cycle. While Asia Pacific economies have not been immune to supply chain disruptions and elevated inflation, interest rates and construction cots, real estate capital market liquidity in the region (with the exception of China and Hong Kong) has fared much better than in other parts of the world. In our view, the varying and sometimes contrasting cyclical patters among major real estate sectors within each country set the region apart from global trends.
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White papers
ISA Outlook 2025: Global – The dawn of a new real estate cycle
Almost three years after interest rates began to spike leading into the Great Tightening Cycle, the first light of a new real estate cycle is clearly visible on the horizon. As with the start of every new day, however, opportunities and challenges lie ahead.
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Korean wave: build-to-rent opportunities in Seoul
What lies ahead for housing in Seoul? We discuss the evolving opportunities for renters and landlords.
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A thematic framework for investing in the nature and climate transition
We’ve identified five broad investment themes that comprehensively address the challenges of climate change and nature loss.
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Schroders Capital Investment Outlook: Real Estate H2 2024
Our latest outlook shares findings from our proprietary valuation framework, which suggests that the sequential opportunity to access the long-term benefits of real estate on an attractive entry basis is now live across key geographies and sectors.
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White papers
ISA Briefing: The “Red Sweep” and real estate: has the outlook changed?
The impacts of US presidential elections on financial markets and especially real estate are often overstated, as we have pointed out previously (see our ISA Briefing, “Elections everywhere, all at once”). An excessive focus on the news cycle can distract from important ongoing trends that are not ‘new news’, such as a broad global trend toward cooling inflation. Headlines also tend to accentuate differences, rather than commonalities, between outcomes. For example, regardless of the election result, trends favored greater nearshoring, and both US political parties are hawkish on China.