Outlooks
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White papersWe Got the Beat
Allspring’s investment experts take the pulse on 2026, revealing strategic investment opportunities amid shifting global dynamics.
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White papersCould US GDP growth hit 5% this year?
The resilience of the US economy never fails to amaze me. Despite all the turmoil in the world, the US economy somehow manages to look past it, power through it, and come out stronger on the other side.
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White papersIndia and EU trade deal: a look beyond financial benefits
On 27 January 2026, the European Union and India have formally concluded negotiations on a landmark free trade agreement (FTA), marking a major milestone nearly two decades in the making. Legal vetting—or “textual scrubbing”—is now underway, with both sides aiming to complete the process and sign the agreement within five to six months. Once ratified, the deal is expected to enter into force in early 2027.
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White papersWinners and Losers at the All-K Corral
Economic growth through the third quarter of 2025 came in above expectations and will likely end the year on a strong note. At the same time, the K-shaped economy is more present than ever: even outside the consumer. Most of our recent productivity gains have been concentrated in the information sector while others remain stagnant. Services industries continue to grow, but manufacturing has been in contraction for 34 out of the last 36 months. Large firms are also seeing strong profits, but small firms continue to struggle.
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White papersHow US midterm elections affect the markets
With everything happening in the world — from the US push to annex Greenland, to new tariffs against Europe, to military intervention in Venezuela — investors may not be focused on the US midterm elections just yet. But this pivotal contest is just 10 months away, and the campaign starts in earnest next month when President Donald Trump delivers the State of the Union Address.
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White papersGeopolitics, tariffs and market volatility
Markets were volatile in the past few days following a weekend escalation centred on President Trump’s threats to impose additional tariffs on eight NATO members unless the US was allowed to purchase Greenland from Denmark.
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White papersFrom hazard to value: turning climate science into financial insights
Climate risk is now a strategic priority: Climate risk is shifting from a peripheral concern to a core strategic priority. Volatile extreme weather, tightening regulation, and rising scrutiny around resilience are reshaping investment expectations.
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White papersJourney to the Center of Additionality
Roughly 1½ years ago | visited forests in the Northern part of Finland with a client. After walking for just a quarter of an hour we saw two grouses, a hare, and heard plenty of birds singing. Suddenly our guests spoke out: “there is so much more biodiversity here compared to our planted forests.”
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White papersCapMan Natural Capital – shaping the future of European natural capital investments
CapMan Natural Capital is a specialist natural capital asset manager focused on sustainable forestry investments across Europe. The investment team acquires and actively manages forest and land assets at scale with the objective of delivering long-term, risk-adjusted market returns alongside measurable environmental outcomes, including climate benefits and biodiversity enhancement.
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White papersQ4 2025 repo update
In the fourth quarter of 2025, fiscal risks took precedence over monetary policy moves which, due to clear forward guidance, didn’t offer many surprises. In the UK, much of the final quarter was dominated by Budget leaks and speculation, as the Government prepared it over a period of 12 weeks.
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White papersAsset Allocation Committee Outlook: 1Q 2026
The Asset Allocation Committee (AAC) continues to see opportunity in growth and risk assets over the medium term, even as elevated risks and increasingly divergent policy paths make the investment landscape more complex. We believe this environment rewards disciplined, selective risk-taking.
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White papersRipping up the rule book: politics, power and portfolios in 2026
Geopolitics has long been treated as an episodic risk, something that flares up, disrupts markets briefly and then fades into the background. Yet recent years have challenged that assumption. As power dynamics shift and long-standing beliefs about global stability erode, investors face a more complex environment, in which geopolitical, political and fiscal risks are no longer easily separated.
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White papersTreasury yields reflect a curious equilibrium to start the year
As we begin the new year, actual and implied volatilities in the US Treasury market have fallen to four-year lows, returning to levels that were common before the pandemic. Of course, the last four years included a number of disruptors: the inflation surge to multi-decade highs; the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rapid tightening to suppress inflation; the Silicon Valley Bank crisis; President Donald Trump’s tariffs announcement; and the eventual Fed easing in response to weakening job creation.
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White papersWorld markets review — Fourth quarter 2025
Global stocks rose modestly, supported by solid corporate earnings and better-than-expected U.S. economic growth. Investor worries about high valuations among artificial intelligence (AI) stocks were offset by stellar quarterly earnings reports from AI-linked companies, including Alphabet, NVIDIA and Microsoft.
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White papersFive keys to investing in 2026
After three straight years of double-digit returns for the S&P 500 Index, investors are entering 2026 with equal parts confidence and caution.
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White papersFixed income opportunities, a positive start for equities
Corporate bond returns are comprised of a risk-free yield and a credit spread, which compensate investors for taking on more risk relative to government bonds.
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White papersGeopolitics: power as policy
Geopolitics: it’s now all about power and might, but core interests will hold
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2026
Topic of the Month - Geopolitics: power as policy
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White papersValue add infrastructure: Moving up the curve in an era of expanding possibilities
The infrastructure revolution is underway in private markets, opening up new possibilities in the value add space.
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White papersThe great portfolio reset: How alternatives are changing the face of finance
As traditional 60/40 portfolios struggle in an era of persistent inflation and market volatility, institutional and private investors are turning to alternative assets as an additional source of returns and diversification. Jerry Pascucci and Johannes Roth examine the drivers and implications of this structural shift.
