All Fixed Income articles – Page 42
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2022
We believe the Fed would keep rates in restrictive territory in the near term. This, coupled with concerns over earnings, allows us to stay cautious on risk assets but with select opportunities in US equities, businesses with strong balance sheets, and quality, value and dividend oriented stocks.
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Macro outlook – The clouds around the inflation peak
The inflation shock has defined 2022. Not primarily because as usual, by eroding purchasing power and corporate margins it has hampered consumption and investment – private spending has been remarkably resilient actually in the developed world given the circumstances – but because it has marked the end of an era for monetary policy.
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2023 European fixed income outlook: Inflation likely to remain elevated
Europe faces a shallow recession, which markets have mainly priced in, but bond yields are likely to rise further before they stabilize, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income’s Head of European Fixed Income, David Zahn. However, he continues to believe that shrewd investors can find compelling opportunities among European bonds.
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How is private credit positioned to circumnavigate the challenges ahead?
In the current inflationary, rising rate environment, private credit may be well-placed to help steer through the various challenges ahead due to its largely floating-rate nature, as well as other attractive structural features.
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The Market Effect of Acute Biodiversity Risk: the Case of Corporate Bonds
In this paper, we investigate the relationship between biodiversity and companies, through the lens of corporate bonds. We focus on acute biodiversity events and address biodiversity as a risk, considering its looming losses.
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Gaining exposure to inflation: linkers versus swaps
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we explore the different options for hedging inflation via fixed income products and outline why we believe investors should favour inflation swaps.
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CIO views: adapting to a new rates regime in 2023
If 2022 was a year of regime change for investors, what comes next in 2023? A new rates reality is taking shape, with implications for everything from company earnings to debt serviceability to correlations between asset classes. Our CIOs consider the transition to higher rates as a key driver for their outlook next year.
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Global Investment Views - December 2022
Markets have seen some relief in a year that overall is likely to be remembered as among the most challenging for investors. But the negative trend reverted somewhat with gains for the S&P 500 and select Treasury Indices.
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Investing in 2022, a year of regime change
Like financial risk, change can also cluster. Revisiting our CIO views published over 2022, we consider the seismic shifts in the investment landscape and how our strategies adapted dynamically to the new environment to make the best of it for investors.
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Economic trends and investment themes for 2023 and beyond
Our Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team recently brought together experts from across Franklin Templeton’s various investment groups for their fourth annual Investment Symposium event.
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Three things to watch in European high yield fixed income
European high yield bonds are warranting a closer look by investors given the significant re-pricing of fixed income markets during 2022.
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EMD outlook for 2023: local currency yields offer protection in volatile conditions
Global factors weighing on emerging market debt (EMD) in 2022 look likely to continue in 2023, with three main driving forces within this: tighter financial conditions led by the US, a stronger US dollar and weak global growth.
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White papers
Net Zero Investment Portfolios - Part 1. The Comprehensive Integrated Approach
The emergence of net zero emissions policies is currently one of the most important topics among asset owners and managers. In this research paper, we investigate the integrated approach, which is implemented by equity and fixed-income mutual funds and ETFs.
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Investment Outlook 2023 – Investing in an age of transformation
In our 2023 Investment Outlook, we seek to guide investors at a pivotal moment for the global economy. Surging inflation and fundamental geopolitical shifts have led to rising demands on governments.
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UK Fiscal Budget: main political, social and market implications
The UK fiscal budget main political implications: The budget is designed to improve public finances, regain market trust, and help the Conservative government regain some ground ahead of the next election.
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Divergences and Pivots
The exuberant response to last Thursday’s inflation data suggests markets are primed for the “pivot”—but could they be extrapolating too far?
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Solving for 2023: Back to the “Old Normal”
Our investment leaders identify 10 key themes that they believe will be prominent in the markets over the next 12 months.
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Credit markets? They’re too cheap to ignore
The market environment this year has proven tricky to navigate, but today’s credit market offers a compelling entry point into global credit for investors focused on long-term, fundamentally driven analysis.
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Markets bounce on hopes US inflation has peaked
The US inflation rate cooled to 7.7% in October, weaker than many forecasts, to hit its lowest level since January.
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Ahead of the Curve, Q4 2022
In our quarterly macroeconomic update, Silvia Dall’Angelo, Senior Economist, provides her outlook for the global economy amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, inflationary pressures and mounting fears of a recession. Is there still ground for optimism? Read our update to find out more.