All Fixed Income articles – Page 38
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White papers10 investment themes for 2023
Although many investors are expecting a return to normal after inflation subsides and central banks stop raising interest rates, we believe markets are undergoing significant changes and it might be necessary to reset expectations in this new environment.
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White papersClimate Transition: Burning Questions for Credit Strategies
Transitioning the global economy to net-zero emissions presents a significant challenge, but it also offers an opportunity for fixed income investors—in energy, utilities, and beyond.
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White papersIs 2023 the year of value-add?
These are, it has to be said, dramatic times. No sooner than most of the world was starting to emerge from the long shadow of the COVID-19 pandemic, it was confronted with another crisis.
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White papersUkraine: one year on but no end in sight
After 12 months of fighting further action is needed from the west to prevent a balance-of-payments crisis and to support the reconstruction costs faced by Ukraine
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White papersRoving recession to staggered recovery?
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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White papersNew data hints rate hiking is far from over
Plans for the European Central Bank (ECB) to continue to hike interest rates gain momentum following better-than-expected economic data releases.
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White papersNotes from the Road: Inflation, Private Assets and a Cautious Consensus
The beginning of the year always offers a chance to catch up with a broad range of clients who are in the mode of thinking about the big picture outlook: pension funds, insurers, consultants and sovereign wealth funds across Australia, Asia, Europe and North America. This note reflects on the key issues that clients have wanted to talk about in the early months of this year. Collectively, these topics give us a picture of what’s on investors’ minds.
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White papersStagflation Haze
The world is grappling with a combination of once in a generation shocks, producing an uncertain and complex economic landscape.
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White papersEquity-bond correlations: was 2022 an outlier?
Should we be shocked? Negative equity and bond returns in 2022 provided further evidence that annual performance by the asset classes is not as uncorrelated as commonly believed. How frequently do these so-called ‘outlier’ years occur, and how can investors with long-beta portfolios be better prepared?
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: European High Yield – changing perceptions
To what extent do European High Yield markets represent good value at the moment and is now an attractive entry point?
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White papersAhead of the Curve, Q1 2023
Read the latest views from our Chief Economist Silvia Dall’Angelo as she outlines three scenarios that could influence markets in the coming months.
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BlogGreen Bank Bonds: Abuse of Proceeds?
We see three reasons why investors should treat Green, Social, and Sustainability (GSS) bonds’ claims to ESG eligibility with skepticism.
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PodcastAll The Credit, Ep. 36 - Navigating Default Lines
Insights on credit fundamental trends and vulnerabilities across the asset class, along with outlooks on defaults and loss expectations.
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PodcastFixed on ESG, Ep. 11 - We Have Ignition
What is nuclear fusion and can it solve the climate crisis?
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White papersMulti-sector fixed income 2023
2022 was a year for the record books in U.S. fixed income markets. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index (“the Agg”) celebrates its 50th anniversary in 2023. In those 50 years, 2022’s calendar year total return of -13.01% was unprecedented. The prior record was 1994 (-2.92%); in fact, the cumulative total return of the previous four negative years (1994, 1999, 2013, and 2021) was only -7.30%
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - March 2023
“The dichotomy between the real economy and markets is increasing even as the earnings outlook is getting weak, leading us to be sceptical of the risk rally.”
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White papers360° fixed income report Q1 2023: Inflation, disinflation, inflection
In the latest edition of our 360° report, the team reflect on what has been a promising start for fixed income in 2023. Can the rally sustain, has too much of the good news already been priced in, and what will shape the narrative over the course of this year?
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White papersPolitics, Deficits and the Debt Limit
We firmly believe that Congress will ultimately raise the debt limit, but it’s worth remembering that political drama affects markets.
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White papersHigh yield bonds vs. leveraged bank loans: Is now the time to rotate?
Over the last two years, leveraged U.S. bank loans (“loans”) have outperformed their high yield bond counterparts; however, we believe this trend may be coming to an end. The relative outperformance of loans during this period was primarily a function of duration, or more notably in 2022, the lack of duration.
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White papersEliminating the Improbable
With a fresh surge of inflation increasingly unlikely, the market outlook is far better than it was a year ago.
