All Fixed Income articles – Page 35
-
VideoWhat’s behind the boom in direct lending?
In our latest video insight, Laura Vaughan, Head of Direct Lending, looks at the surge in demand for private credit in recent years and outlines where she believes the best opportunities lie for investors.
-
PodcastA New Era for Private Credit
The recent buzz around private credit has captured the attention of investors worldwide. It has also demonstrated remarkable resilience amid economic uncertainties.
-
White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Eurozone: Looking ahead to ECB action
Consumer and business confidence appear to be taking a turn for the better in the eurozone as inflation falls and expectations for interest rate cuts rise. These could help the economy avoid a significant recession.
-
White papersTreasury yields mixed on strong economic data
U.S. Treasury yields were mixed last week and spread sectors outperformed as fourth quarter U.S. GDP exceeded expectations. The market continues to price in a 50% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut by March, and around five total cuts for this year.
-
White papersBullish on bonds
”This cycle of rate hikes may be over, but we don’t anticipate seeing cuts until closer to midyear.”
-
White papersRed Sea disruptions: small impact so far, but a risk to watch
”The impact of Red Sea traffic suspensions is more regional than global, but duration will be the key factor to watch. At this stage, it is no game-changer for our outlook.”
-
White papersIs the “Vibe-cession” for US Consumers on Its Way Out?
Falling inflation hasn’t yet translated into good feelings among US consumers. Based on the latest data, that might be changing.
-
White papersInfrastructure debt – Financing a sustainable future
Private capital can be vital in meeting net zero emissions goals. This includes infrastructure debt which can be an attractive way for investors to achieve their long-term return and income objectives and at the same time help finance the assets needed urgently to support the transition to a low-carbon economy.
-
White papersIt’s Time to Say Goodbye to ‘T-Bill and Chill’
Investors who wait too long to get off the sidelines may find they’ve missed out.
-
White papersHistory lessons for Europe’s central bankers
Consensus is suggesting Europe has solved its inflation problems and substantial rate cuts are imminent – but is this realistic given how far economists and markets underestimated the recent price surge and policy tightening?
-
White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q1 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
-
White papersGeopolitics in an election-heavy year
”We are witnessing a global realignment towards a multi-polar world, and geopolitics will be a crucial factor to watch for investors in 2024.”
-
White papersFixed Income Quarterly – Crosscurrents in the US outlook
For 2024, we foresee several crosscurrents that could influence the outlook for US growth and inflation. Before we discuss those, let’s look at the demand and supply-side factors behind the remarkable resilience of the US economy in 2023.
-
White papersTokenisation: The next frontier for investing?
We investigate recent technological advances in the bond markets and examine what impact tokenisation and digital currencies might have on investing in the future.
-
White papersEuropean structured credit review and outlook: From strength to strength
Structured Credit, and the European ABS market in particular, performed strongly during 2023, aided by attractive valuations, robust underlying collateral performance – despite higher borrowing costs for consumers and corporates – and significant income generation, attributes which have only become more compelling given the uncertain economic outlook.
-
White papersThe Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
-
White papersEmerging-Market Debt Outlook 2024: Turning the Corner
We expect a favorable environment for emerging-market bonds in 2024, provided investors stay selective.
-
White papersNow may be the time for core bonds: Five themes for 2024
With inflation falling and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) signalling an end to its historic tightening cycle, the landscape for bond investors is beginning to look much clearer. Even after a sharp rally in late 2023, yields still look more attractive than they have in a decade.
-
White papersWill Hawks Still Rule the Roost at Europe’s Central Banks?
As European inflation rates converge with targets, markets expect rate cuts. But central banks are set on a decisive victory over inflation.
-
White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - First Quarter 2024
After two years of aggressive tightening, global central banks pivoted in December. We expect some growth in the coming quarters, albeit subdued compared to history. With inflation easing, most global economies are off to a good start for the year. Yet, things can, and do, change quickly.
