All Fixed Income articles – Page 32
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White papers
What’s next for the Swiss economy?
Inflation is slowing in Switzerland but the economy remains subject to a great degree of uncertainty. What does the latest Swiss National Bank policy meeting tell us about the outlook?
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White papers
Inflation: Mapping the impact of the global rate hiking cycle
After a sustained era of cheap money, an abrupt and unprecedented shift in the global interest rate hiking cycle was ushered in, as the world’s major central banks sought to stave off surging inflation.
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White papers
Three Fixed Income Market Scenarios
With roughly 500 basis points of rate hikes in the rearview mirror, the Federal Reserve has enjoyed significant progress in curbing U.S. inflation. However, reducing core inflation remains a challenge and many developed market central banks have recently taken a more hawkish tone. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England, in particular, may have more work to do.
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White papers
Long the Strong
The prolonged adjustment to higher rates is just beginning, and we think it will likely be more painful for some than others.
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White papers
Swiss credit: approximating bond returns
What ingredients go into calculating expected bond returns? Quite a few it turns out. Using a practitioner’s method, we outline one approach to approximating returns for bonds and bond portfolios.
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White papers
2023 4Q GIC outlook: Stay in the game
Global Investment Committee: Bringing together the most senior investors from across our platform of core and specialist capabilities, including all public and private markets
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White papers
Identifying ‘rising stars’ amid a darkening fundamental outlook
Despite the uncertainty facing corporate credit investors, several bright spots remain. So-called ‘rising stars’ – where credit quality and ratings are transitioning from high yield to investment grade – are undoubtedly viewed as such, and at this stage of the cycle, this is an area of the fixed income spectrum which could provide an important source of alpha for investors.
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Podcast
The Investment Podcast: The state of play in European private credit
Risk assets have repriced over the past year due to financial-market volatility and higher-than-usual levels of uncertainty surrounding issues such as terminal rates, inflation, geopolitics and economic growth. Consequently, we believe private credit currently offers unusually high potential returns while retaining its traditional defensive characteristics of low duration and security.
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White papers
Asia is dominating the electric vehicle battery market
Car electrification is an unstoppable structural trend. We are past the inflection point of this revolution, often understood to be when a new technology reaches 5% of total industry sales.
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Podcast
Riding the Curve: A Sprint or a Marathon?
Recorded on August 23, 2023, this conversation centers on the parallels between the world of running and how investors might consider positioning themselves across the yield curve today to run a successful race. Danny Sarnowski, portfolio specialist for the Plus Fixed Income team with Allspring Global Investments, and Abby Becker, consultant relations associate manager, share their thoughts.
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White papers
Political Gridlock but Fiscal Largesse
How political dysfunction undermines debt sustainability and helps embed structurally higher inflation.
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Podcast
Bonds and Beyond in Today’s Fixed Income Markets
A shift into higher rates globally over the latter part of 2023 has created a new investment regime in the fixed income markets; prompting investors to reassess their strategic asset allocation. Despite the reset of fixed income yields to much higher levels, making the asset class look attractive, how can investors be prepared for potential rate cuts while balancing the exciting opportunities that the market is presenting as we make our way through the current market cycle?
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White papers
Fed Meeting Impact: Is It More Than You Realize?
This paper discusses how Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings have a significant impact on options pricing, creating risks and opportunities for investors employing options-based strategies.
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White papers
The BoE’s “Table Mountain” Approach Sees Rates Highest for Longest
The Bank of England kept its Bank Rate on hold at 5.25% on September 21, 2023. The UK’s economic backdrop is weak, so we believe that the BoE will keep interest rates at this level for the near future.
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White papers
Can investment-grade credit provide resilience amid uncertainty
An uncertain economic outlook and high interest rates are generally not viewed as a positive backdrop for investment-grade (IG) corporate bonds (rated BBB/Baa and above). Yet, a confluence of supportive factors is underpinning this asset class. These include relatively good credit quality, high average starting yields above 5.5%, an overall duration of about seven years and stabilisation of the banking sector.
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White papers
The Fed’s Higher-for-Longer Mantra is OK for Bonds
The Federal Reserve indicated that policy rates will likely remain elevated for some time and that neutral policy may indeed be higher than previously projected at its September 20, 2023 meeting.
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White papers
Africa’s Investment Outlook Depends on Macroeconomic Adjustments
Performance within Sub-Saharan Africa credits so far in 2023 has largely been driven by positioning and technicals which presents investors with opportunities.
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White papers
ESG in private credit: A key differentiator?
Although ESG integration is still relatively nascent in the private debt sphere, advances are being made as lenders take into account the long-term risks entailed with debt issuance.
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White papers
Peter Harrison: The City needs to embrace risk
Proposals to overhaul listings rules are a step in the right direction but much more work needs to be done.
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Video
Bonds are Back And so is Risk
The search for yield is over. The risk-management challenge has just begun.