All Fixed Income articles – Page 30
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White papers360°, Q2 2024: Can strong technicals lead to stronger fundamentals?
2024 has, so far, been broadly defined by idiosyncratic events, volatility and dispersion. For that reason, in our latest 360° report, our credit team emphasise the importance of credit selection from here.
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White papersEmerging Market Green Bonds - Report 2023
Sustainable finance, the capital market used by borrowers to fund projects and initiatives with sound environmental and social credentials, is booming in developing economies.
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White papersFixed income: What’s the issue with the new issue premium?
Amid surging demand for investment grade (IG) corporate bonds, the new issue premium typically offered by companies turned negative in the first quarter of 2024. This comes as investors seek to lock in higher yields before potential central bank interest rate cuts and demonstrates the weight of capital seeking to enter the market.
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White papersUS consumer price pressures are subsiding
“Declining US inflation is positive for US bonds, and investors should also keep a global approach to potentially benefit from attractive yields elsewhere, including in emerging markets.”
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White papersThe case for resilient high yield private credit
With inflation lingering and rates moving at a much slower pace than expected, infrastructure debt, particularly in the higher-quality sub-investment grade space, offers attractive returns and resilience for investors seeking a safe haven in a changeable market, explain Infranity experts.
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White papersAsset-Based Finance: Private Credit’s Key Diversifier
Private capital is increasingly being used to finance consumer spending.
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VideoMeet the European direct private debt team
SME management teams generally have a stronger “affectio societatis” and are truly motivated to make a sustainable impact with their companies, say the direct private debt team at Generali Asset Management in this new video.
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White papersGreen and Sustainable Bonds: Five Key Questions
With strong sustainable EU initiatives, plus the conclusion of the hiking cycle, attractive carry in interest rate curves, and the likelihood of lower interest rates amid evolving monetary policies, the outlook for green and sustainable bonds is promising, explain the portfolio managers of the Generali Investments SICAV (GIS) SRI Euro Green Bond subfund.
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White papersUK outlook brightens as rate cuts loom
The Bank of England held rates at 5.25% this week, but its accompanying statement made clear that, given the broader outlook for inflation, the prospect of rate cuts this summer has increased.
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White papersGreen bonds boom boosts case for credit engagement
EOS has engaged with companies on behalf of bondholders for many years, recognising that credit portfolios can be hard hit in the wake of serious controversies. Ross Teverson explains how we have evolved our engagement approach as the size of the sustainable bond market has grown.
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White papersMeta shifts the narrative on dividends in the world of Big Tech
Meta’s dividend initiation this year appears to have changed the payout paradigm for Big Tech companies. Soon after, Alphabet and Salesforce followed suit, announcing dividends for the first time.
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White papersEconomic Monthly: Flying Blind
The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) has reduced the pace of quantitative tightening (QT), the European Central Bank (ECB), and potentially even the Bank of England (BoE), could begin cuts as soon as next month, and the dot plot shows the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cutting rates later this year.
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White papersDe-Siloing Your Fixed Income Portfolio
The potential benefits of multi-asset over siloed fixed income management, and why we think asset allocation should be a bottom-up as much as a top-down process.
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White papersAn introduction to real estate debt
Over the last several years, we have seen an increase in the number of institutional investors around the world interested in adding real estate debt to their portfolios.1 In some instances, this is to replace an allocation to traditional fixed income, while in others it is both an enhancement and a way to further diversify their current level of real estate holdings.
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White papersStock-Bond Correlation: Theory & Empirical Results
Stock-bond correlation is an important component of portfolio allocation. It is widely used by institutional investors to determine strategic asset allocation, and is carefully monitored by multi-asset fund managers to implement tactical asset allocation. Over the past 20 years, the correlation between stock and bond returns in the US has been negative, while it was largely positive prior to the dot-com crisis.
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White papersIrish banks: a classic turnaround tale… and opportunity
In April, with little fanfare, AIB (Allied Irish Bank) became the first Irish bank to issue a 10-year dollar senior benchmark bond.It was popular with investors: the bank borrowed $1 billion with orders of $7 billion. It was priced at 160bps over Treasuries – a similar level at which we would expect the larger UK and French banks to issue. This confirms that Irish banks are back to their rightful place in the eyes of credit investors.
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White papersFixed Income – A new era for bonds
Surging inflation brought an end to the decade-long era of low bond yields. In the decade ahead, we believe bond yields will not return to the near-zero levels of the recent past or see the steady capital appreciation which marked the prior 30 years. Instead, our view is that inflation and real yields are more likely to remain closer to their long-term averages, supported by central bank policy, changing supply/demand dynamics, and the risk that inflation could spike again.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - May 2024
Monthly Cross Asset - Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts
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White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - May 2024
“We expect 75 bps of rate cuts in 2024 as monetary policy remains restrictive, growth will slow down, and inflation data do not alter our projections.”
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White papersIMF spring meeting take-aways: short-term resilience, but no reacceleration in the mid term
In recent months, the IMF and other economic forecasters have raised their growth projections for 2024. The April World Economic Outlook showed revisions (+0.3% Global) that primarily affected the US, China and Emerging Markets (EM). These revisions were based on expectations of less economic scarring from the recent crisis, insufficient fiscal adjustment supporting short-term growth and less effective monetary policy transmission compared to the past.
