All Fixed Income articles – Page 46
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White papersHow the ECB’s climate tilt favours ice cubes
The European Central Bank is gradually decarbonising its corporate bond holdings in a move that will be beneficial to borrowers with clear net-zero targets. We expect increased spread differentiation between transition leaders and transition laggards, and consider how the design of our TargetNetZero strategy is well-positioned to capture the opportunities.
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White papers1-2 November FOMC meeting: debating a downshift, not a pivot
As widely expected, on 2 November, the Federal Reserve hiked the Federal Funds rate by 75bp, to 3.75-4.00%. The action marked the fourth consecutive 75bp rate hike this year. Investors initially interpreted the accompanying statement as dovish by selling the dollar and buying US Treasuries and equities.
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White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2022
We reiterate the main driver affecting the current and forward-looking macro environments is a combination of sustained inflation, mounting recession fears and geopolitical developments. Price stability has become the paramount goal and even more complicated to reach, therefore CBs will make sure high inflation will not be entrenched in economic agents’ long-term expectations.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - November 2022
Tightening monetary policy and slowing economic growth lead us to keep a cautious stance on risk assets, in light of potential liquidity and refinancing issues, particularly in low quality credit. We prefer US IG (over HY) segments and selectively like EM hard currency debt.
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White papersNot a Pivot
Inflation is resilient and rates keep rising. Our central Stagflation Shock scenario, with persistent inflation and slower growth, continues to play out, though there is mounting evidence inflation may be resistant to policy tightening. Smaller hikes would indicate success, not a pivot in central banks’ resolve.
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White papersNew reality for investors: 5 big trends changing markets
There’s a new reality taking shape in global markets.
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White papersMoving ESG investing forward
When Ivo Knoepfel coined the term “ESG investing” in his landmark 2004 UN report, “Who Cares Wins,” he unleashed an almost inconceivable rise of sustainable investing. With this rapid growth in ESG has come the insatiable demand for ESG data. According to SustainAbility, an ESG consultancy, the number of ESG ratings and rankings providers has grown from about 20 in 2000 to over 600 by 2020. Even with recent market consolidation, this number has grown since then.
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White papersESG considerations in securitised fixed income
At Thornburg, we feel a fully integrated investment approach is the most effective way to incorporate ESG factors into securitized fixed income analysis.
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White papersBonds that build back better
Some might argue that building a sustainable economy is a technological problem. It isn’t. The world is sufficiently stocked with greenhouse gas-reducing technologies such as renewable fuels, carbon capture and energy storage. What it lacks is capital.
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White papersThe BoE vs UK Government: a harbinger of policy clashes elsewhere?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we examine the recent liquidity crunch in the UK and consider whether similar policy policy-driven conflicts between governments and central banks could trigger further market crises.
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White papersRecession watch: triggers, outlook and what next for central banks
While recession risk is clearly elevated around the world, they are notoriously hard to predict with any accuracy, in terms of timing, duration or impact.
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White papersA dovish pivot from the ECB: Euro bonds back in focus
The ECB has reiterated its strong commitment to fighting inflation, which it says remains ‘far too high’ and will stay above target for an extended period.
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White papersUnearthing opportunities in Asian credit markets
2022 has been a challenging year for fixed income, with global investment grade bonds down 14% over the past 12 months. Investment grade corporate bonds in Asia have outpaced US and global bonds, mainly due to their shorter duration.
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White papersNavigating dark clouds across emerging markets debt
It has been an unrelenting year of negative headlines, with a war in Ukraine, inflation concerns and recession fears jolting investors into a frenzy. Capital Group Investment Director David Cheng sat down with Portfolio Manager Luis Freitas de Oliveira to discuss his thoughts on the challenging macro backdrop, the investment implications for emerging markets debt (EMD) and how, in his view, the asset class remains investable amid the growing headwinds.
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White papersThe unequal impact of inflation: How governments are responding
Inflation has risen to multi-decade highs in most international economies, both developing and emerging. Most recently it has been driven by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which has significantly impacted food and energy prices. However, beyond the headline measures of inflation, the effect of rising food and energy prices typically has a greater impact on lower-income countries, households and individuals.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - November 2022
Central banks (CBs) are trying to work out how far they should go in terms of their aggressive tightening talk. We see four main factors to consider when assessing whether we will see pivots from CBs: (1) The still strong job market does not support a shift in stance from the Fed.
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BlogEuropean High Yield—Planning for Yields to Peak Soon
In the first of a series of European high yield posts, we assess the sector’s compelling characteristics and compare them to our expectations for monetary policy and inflation.
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BlogEuropean High Yield in the Era of Inflation
In our third post on the opportunities in European high yield, we place this year’s jump in yields in the context of our expectations for inflation to peak soon and decline thereafter.
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BlogBenign Defaults to Buoy European High Yield
The second post in a series on European high yield demonstrates that default concerns and forecasts require context regarding the macro backdrop and how these projections are constructed.
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White papersIG Credit: Strong Fundamentals, But Inflationary Pressures Grow
Current yield and spread levels, coupled with companies’ durable credit profiles, suggest that IG corporate credit continues to look attractive—but a number of risks remain on the horizon.
