All Credit articles – Page 3
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White papers
Higher rates will start to bite the corporate sector in 2024
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited. However, refinancing needs will rise in 2024 Small and medium sized companies and lower rated HY issuers will be most impacted. The spillover from higher rates will be more limited for IG companies.
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White papers
Shifting Focus: 2024 Insurance Investment Outlook
As US insurance investors turn their eyes toward 2024, they’ll face a macroeconomic backdrop in transition. With this in mind, their efforts should include maintaining duration positioning, diversifying risks, emphasizing quality as credit conditions begin to soften, identifying relative value opportunities and balancing private allocations with liquidity considerations.
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The Balance Between Corporate Profit Margins and Economic Resilience
This blog shares our views on the relationship between corporate margins and different U.S. economic growth scenarios using our corporate profit model to estimate performance.
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Tracking the Transition from Tighter Policy to Corporate Spreads
We explore the historical transmission from tighter monetary policy to corporate bond spreads and the respective investment implications under our “weakflation” scenario.
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White papers
European High Yield: A Clear Case for Active Management
Passive European high-yield strategies may not be as cheap as they appear, and may pose more risk than you think.
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Podcast
All the Credit, Ep. 46 - Realities in Rates
A discussion on the end of the hiking cycle, the impact of fiscal deficits on long-term rates, and the interplay between rates, curve shape, and the economy.
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Video
The Inside Track - Public and Private Markets Outlook; Episode 3: The Credit Continuum
(08:27) In this short video, experts from our public and private markets teams share their outlook on credit markets.
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White papers
Private Credit: European special situations outlook
The opportunity set in European special situations credit is gearing up to be as fertile and attractive as it has been since the global financial crisis for a number of reasons, according to BSP-Alcentra.
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White papers
Moment of truth
A hard or soft landing could throw a harsh light on corporate fundamentals in 2024. In the second set of breakout sessions from our Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November, attendees learned of the potential in unconstrained credit, the opportunity in investment grade and the crucial role fixed income can play in the sustainability transition.
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White papers
Insight across the fixed income spectrum
Federated Hermes’ Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November, included sessions on the future of money markets, the prospects for emerging market debt, and the attraction of private credit.
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White papers
Not your average credit cycle
Geopolitics, hard landings, falling consumer confidence and corporate belt-tightening could all be part of the investment picture in 2024. That was the message from Federated Hermes’ Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November.
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Podcast
2024 Public Fixed Income Outlook
From high yield and investment grade credit to emerging markets and securitized debt, what will 2024 hold for fixed income investors? Our panel of experts weighs in on the opportunities and risks ahead.
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White papers
Four Reasons High Yield is More Resilient Today
The high yield bond market has undergone a fundamental shift over the last decade, with today’s higher-yielding, higher-quality market looking particularly resilient in the face of a potential downturn.
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White papers
Asset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2023
Recent geopolitical events and macroeconomic progresses are rising uncertainty on the global outlook and led to some adjustments on the short-term trajectory within our simulation horizon.
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Podcast
All the Credit, Ep. 45 - Value Through Headwinds: What’s Next for European Banks?
What’s next for the European banking sector and insights into its relative attractiveness during a time of economic fragility for the EU.
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White papers
360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.
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White papers
No Regrets: The ECB Keeps Policy on Hold
Inflation in the euro area is falling and the economy is rapidly weakening. Against that background, the ECB kept rates on hold at its policy meeting on October 26.
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White papers
Fixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
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Video
Searching for stability within private credit
Worries over interest rate, inflation and economic growth have been rattling financial markets yet demand for private credit has continued to grow. Randy Schwimmer explains why the trends that are expected to emerge should accelerate this demand either further.
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White papers
Investing in alternative credit: perspectives on opportunities and risks
Even as traditional fixed income yields appear more attractive, institutional investors continue to explore alternative credit asset classes as a way to potentially improve the risk/return profile of their portfolios.