All Credit articles – Page 8
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PodcastAll the Credit, Ep. 45 - Value Through Headwinds: What’s Next for European Banks?
What’s next for the European banking sector and insights into its relative attractiveness during a time of economic fragility for the EU.
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White papersShorter versus longer-dated bonds: Is there a role for both in investor portfolios?
Money market and short-dated (one-to-five-year) bond yields are the highest they have been since the end of the 2008/2009 global financial crisis.
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White papers360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.
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White papersThe Ubiquity of Plastic Packaging and its Investment Implications
Inordinate plastic packaging waste but limited alternatives highlights the distinction between sustainable management of ESG impacts and financial credit risks.
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White papersNo Regrets: The ECB Keeps Policy on Hold
Inflation in the euro area is falling and the economy is rapidly weakening. Against that background, the ECB kept rates on hold at its policy meeting on October 26.
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PodcastFixed on ESG, Ep. 18 - Plastic Packaging Predicament: The Best-Worst Option
A conversation on the implications of plastic packaging and what investors should consider when it comes to the plastic packaging sector.
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White papersFixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
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VideoSearching for stability within private credit
Worries over interest rate, inflation and economic growth have been rattling financial markets yet demand for private credit has continued to grow. Randy Schwimmer explains why the trends that are expected to emerge should accelerate this demand either further.
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White papersInvesting in alternative credit: perspectives on opportunities and risks
Even as traditional fixed income yields appear more attractive, institutional investors continue to explore alternative credit asset classes as a way to potentially improve the risk/return profile of their portfolios.
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White papersNot all high yield is created equal
The high yield bond market has matured from its humble beginnings and is now a diverse $1.793bn marketplace for companies to achieve their capital financing needs. As it has matured, its credit quality has also increased. Today, nearly half of the high yield market is classified as BB – the highest quality credit rating. At the same time, the proportion of the weakest credits has also reduced.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2023: Staying Airborne
Tight monetary policy is slowing growth, but we see room to avoid a hard landing in the U.S. while Europe and China remain key risks on a global basis. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, shorter maturities offer opportunity, with potential for modest duration extension in the two- to seven-year range. Within credit, we favor enhancing quality and are finding particular value in securitized markets.
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White papersPosition portfolios for a policy turn
While it is tempting to sit in still high yielding cash, we suggest adding traditional fixed income sectors. Higher income helps investors wait for the end of the rate hiking cycle, and longer duration helps position a portfolio for potential rate declines. We advocate a diversified multisector approach, focused on higher-quality credits across sectors. Active management remains critical, as credit spreads will likely widen in the coming months.
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White papersSwiss credit: approximating bond returns
What ingredients go into calculating expected bond returns? Quite a few it turns out. Using a practitioner’s method, we outline one approach to approximating returns for bonds and bond portfolios.
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White papersIdentifying ‘rising stars’ amid a darkening fundamental outlook
Despite the uncertainty facing corporate credit investors, several bright spots remain. So-called ‘rising stars’ – where credit quality and ratings are transitioning from high yield to investment grade – are undoubtedly viewed as such, and at this stage of the cycle, this is an area of the fixed income spectrum which could provide an important source of alpha for investors.
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PodcastThe Investment Podcast: The state of play in European private credit
Risk assets have repriced over the past year due to financial-market volatility and higher-than-usual levels of uncertainty surrounding issues such as terminal rates, inflation, geopolitics and economic growth. Consequently, we believe private credit currently offers unusually high potential returns while retaining its traditional defensive characteristics of low duration and security.
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White papersESG in private credit: A key differentiator?
Although ESG integration is still relatively nascent in the private debt sphere, advances are being made as lenders take into account the long-term risks entailed with debt issuance.
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VideoBonds are Back And so is Risk
The search for yield is over. The risk-management challenge has just begun.
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White papersConsidering potential opportunities in Significant Risk Transfer
A Significant Risk Transfer (SRT) transaction is a first or second loss protection purchased by a bank on a diversified pool of core lending assets, for example, loans to large corporations, as well as SMEs. Although the origins of the SRT market date back to the 1990s, it has only existed as recognised today since the introduction of Basel II in 2007. Here, we explore why now could be a good moment for patient investors to consider SRT transactions, and why this potentially compelling opportunity could be short-lived given where we are in the economic cycle.
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White papersCIO views: ideas for ‘back-to-school’ returns
As Q3 progresses and many children return to classrooms after the holidays, our CIOs present their ‘back-to-school’ investment outlooks. Even as long-term investment trends continue to play out – the environmental transition, higher-for-longer interest rates, a greater cost of capital and demographic change – there is client demand for performance in the shorter term. What tactical exposures can investors implement to improve returns in the next six months?
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White papersThe future of private credit
Private credit is now widely recognized as an alternative asset class that can deliver stable, uncorrelated returns for institutional investors.
