All Credit articles – Page 7
-
White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2023
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited.
-
White papers2024 investment outlook: Selectivity remains the key
Views from the TIAA General Account: What are your expectations for growth, inflation and interest rates in 2024?
-
White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - December 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 14 December 2023
-
White papersMacroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - December 2023
Following 3.1% growth in 2023, we expect global growth to slow to 2.4% in 2024, well below the IMF’s expectations of 2.9% in 2024 and the historical (2000–19) average of 3.8%. The weaker performance of advanced economies is one of the main reasons for this divergence. Indeed, we expect them to decelerate from 1.5% this year to 0.7% in 2024, while the IMF forecasts advanced economy growth at 1.4% next year.
-
White papersHigher rates will start to bite the corporate sector in 2024
The impact of rate increases on businesses is expected to intensify in 2024. Businesses haven’t been impacted much by higher rates so far because they have used the cash they collected during Covid and refinance needs have been limited. However, refinancing needs will rise in 2024 Small and medium sized companies and lower rated HY issuers will be most impacted. The spillover from higher rates will be more limited for IG companies.
-
White papersShifting Focus: 2024 Insurance Investment Outlook
As US insurance investors turn their eyes toward 2024, they’ll face a macroeconomic backdrop in transition. With this in mind, their efforts should include maintaining duration positioning, diversifying risks, emphasizing quality as credit conditions begin to soften, identifying relative value opportunities and balancing private allocations with liquidity considerations.
-
White papersTracking the Transition from Tighter Policy to Corporate Spreads
We explore the historical transmission from tighter monetary policy to corporate bond spreads and the respective investment implications under our “weakflation” scenario.
-
White papersThe Balance Between Corporate Profit Margins and Economic Resilience
This blog shares our views on the relationship between corporate margins and different U.S. economic growth scenarios using our corporate profit model to estimate performance.
-
White papersEuropean High Yield: A Clear Case for Active Management
Passive European high-yield strategies may not be as cheap as they appear, and may pose more risk than you think.
-
PodcastAll the Credit, Ep. 46 - Realities in Rates
A discussion on the end of the hiking cycle, the impact of fiscal deficits on long-term rates, and the interplay between rates, curve shape, and the economy.
-
VideoThe Inside Track - Public and Private Markets Outlook; Episode 3: The Credit Continuum
(08:27) In this short video, experts from our public and private markets teams share their outlook on credit markets.
-
White papersMoment of truth
A hard or soft landing could throw a harsh light on corporate fundamentals in 2024. In the second set of breakout sessions from our Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November, attendees learned of the potential in unconstrained credit, the opportunity in investment grade and the crucial role fixed income can play in the sustainability transition.
-
White papersInsight across the fixed income spectrum
Federated Hermes’ Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November, included sessions on the future of money markets, the prospects for emerging market debt, and the attraction of private credit.
-
White papersNot your average credit cycle
Geopolitics, hard landings, falling consumer confidence and corporate belt-tightening could all be part of the investment picture in 2024. That was the message from Federated Hermes’ Fixed Income Forum in London on 14 November.
-
Podcast2024 Public Fixed Income Outlook
From high yield and investment grade credit to emerging markets and securitized debt, what will 2024 hold for fixed income investors? Our panel of experts weighs in on the opportunities and risks ahead.
-
White papersFour Reasons High Yield is More Resilient Today
The high yield bond market has undergone a fundamental shift over the last decade, with today’s higher-yielding, higher-quality market looking particularly resilient in the face of a potential downturn.
-
White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2023
Recent geopolitical events and macroeconomic progresses are rising uncertainty on the global outlook and led to some adjustments on the short-term trajectory within our simulation horizon.
-
PodcastAll the Credit, Ep. 45 - Value Through Headwinds: What’s Next for European Banks?
What’s next for the European banking sector and insights into its relative attractiveness during a time of economic fragility for the EU.
-
White papersShorter versus longer-dated bonds: Is there a role for both in investor portfolios?
Money market and short-dated (one-to-five-year) bond yields are the highest they have been since the end of the 2008/2009 global financial crisis.
-
White papers360° Fixed Income Report, Q4 2023: Debt, deficit, dispelling doubts
In our latest fixed income report, 360°, the credit team provide an overview of the key themes shaping the fixed income narrative and their outlook for the remainder of 2023 and beyond.
