All Commentary articles – Page 57
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The case for alternatives in uncertain markets
Investor demand for alternative real estate sectors in Europe continues to remain at record levels. Sectors once viewed as niche have established themselves as part of well diversified real estate portfolios, with specialised strategies such as student accommodation, build-to- rent, life sciences and healthcare now regularly featured among the top of investor’s sectoral wish-lists.
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Rising interest rates and inflation: What should private debt investors expect?
Five key questions for Sandrine Richard, Head of Private Debt at Generali Investments Partners. Sandrine Richard, Head of Private Debt at Generali Investments Partners, discusses the impact of rising interest rates and inflation on private debt investments as well as the approach to this increasingly important asset class at Generali Investments Partners.
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Casting a wide quantitative net to access alpha in China
The vast size and changing dynamics of China’s A-share market offer a relatively untapped yet increasingly appealing opportunity for quantitative investing.
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Positioning for the unknown; Nuveen’s CIO’s 2023 outlook
At this time of year, I’m often asked to predict the year ahead or at least share my expectations for it. My answer is often unsatisfying to those expecting some sort of prognostication. That’s because the one thing I’m 100% sure of is that I can’t predict the future. But knowing what I don’t know allows me and my team to position the General Account for the unknown and make it resilient.
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Nuveen’s 2023 outlook; the peaks and valleys
Entering the fourth quarter of 2022, our outlook acknowledged a hard truth for investors nursing wounds from the steep market downturn: We’re not out of the woods yet.
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Outlook 2022: European real estate
We plot out our expectations for real estate next year and beyond, including why the asset class is pivotal in the fight against climate change, and how investors can turn that in their favour.
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ISA Outlook 2023
The global economy in general – and real estate markets in particular – are currently in the throes of an acute episode with pressure coming from every direction
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Living Wage: Progress and headwinds
In the decade or so since the UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights (UNGPs) were established it has become increasingly accepted that companies have a fundamental responsibility to respect human rights in their operations and supply chains.
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Will US employment hold its ground?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we observe that the Federal Reserve’s aim to raise unemployment in its fight against inflation is starting to pay off, but will the central bank also be able to contain the upcoming recession?
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Investment Institute Outlook 2023
Following a highly challenging year, our expectation for 2023 and 2024 is to finally see inflation retreat against a backdrop of global growth slowing to its softest – barring the pandemic – since 2009. But while we anticipate a challenging road ahead, we expect a slow recovery emerging in 2024.
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REAL ESTATE’S PUBLIC QUADRANTS: Increasingly attractive, as most of the risks are already priced in
Dark clouds of a recession hang over investment markets with the Federal Reserve continuing to tighten monetary policy. Markets are pricing for Fed funds to approach 4.5% by year end, possibly higher in 2023 moving into restrictive territory.
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Podcast
The Investment Podcast: CIO perspectives on 2023 and the inflation equation conundrum
M&G’s CIOs, Fabiana Fedeli, Will Nicoll and Jim Leaviss share their views as we head into 2023, discussing valuation opportunities, the depth of a potential recession – and how much closer we are to the light at the end of the tunnel of rate hikes and rising inflation.
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Podcast
‘Net zero will reorganise value chains’: Höhne-Sparborth joins Hymans Roberston podcast
With the transition to net zero a crucial investment theme, how can investors reduce exposure to climate risk while targeting growth opportunities?
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Macroeconomic Picture - December 2022
United States: Q3 GDP surprised to the upside, lifting 2022 average projections. However, our call for 2023-24 forecast has not changed significantly, with restrictive monetary policy dragging growth well below potential
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Market Scenarios and Risks - December 2022
We maintain the probabilities of our scenarios unchanged. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced-in by markets.
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Lula is back and already scoring goals
Lula netted a goal in Egypt at COP27 in the fight against climate change. However, it was an own-goal on the spending front that unsettled the markets and threw doubt on expectations of a prudently populist policy direction. We still believe Lula’s policies will be of a centre-left nature, with the help of the markets, though risks have risen.
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Recent developments do not change our expectations for the Russia-Ukraine war
The war in Ukraine will continue to dictate Europe’s prospects in 2023. It will shape local and EU politics, energy security, industrial policy, and international relations. In this article, we outline our expectations for the next phase of the war and offer an optimistic prospect for peace negotiations to lead to a cessation of hostilities in the second half of the year.
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When fiscal policy puts the European institutions under pressure
“The new governance proposed by the Commission goes in the right direction, but risks of failing are high.”
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The Asset Allocation Facts Have Changed
Why we think this year’s dramatic rise in bond yields, together with recent signs that inflation may have peaked, demands a radical re-think of asset allocation.
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Hardening Borders: Opportunities in Security, Health and Trade
Seeking the potential beneficiaries of a new age of deglobalization and insecurity.