All Commentary articles – Page 57
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White papers
How to Calculate the Most Important Number You Need to Know
For better or worse, the path of this year’s U.S. Consumer Price Index will determine the level of markets.
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White papers
Affordable housing, for long-term impact and growth
Definitions help investors assess the prospects and risks of real estate on a consistent basis, none more so than with regard to Living real estate. As highlighted elsewhere in our Outlook 2023, we are sure that ‘affordability’ is key to successful Living investment strategies and must be a focus for responsible long-term investors.
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Lower for longer, no longer.
Changing Yields, Property Valuations, and Investment Opportunities
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The low volatility anomaly – Still going strong after 50 years
Half a century ago, it became clear that investing in higher risk equities is not necessarily rewarded with higher returns. This low volatility anomaly goes against the traditional belief that there should be an extra reward for taking more risk. The anomaly persists to this day. There is now a range of investment strategies seeking to capture the benefits of the anomaly, including our own.
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Macro Matters - Better than feared. Worse than hoped.
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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A framework for navigating uncertainty
Uncertainty over inflation and central bank policy is likely to remain high during the first half of 2023 with a wide distribution of potential outcomes. Despite this, analysis shows that bonds already price in most of the downside risk and are expected to deliver favourable outcomes across a number of scenarios, as highlighted in the chart below.
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Podcast
Navigating Secondaries Amid Choppy Markets
Private equity investors continue to experience a complex market environment, facing many macro headwinds and prolonged uncertainty.
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White papers
The Investors Have Left the Building
Is money rushing to exit from non-traded real estate because there is more attractive value in listed real estate?
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China’s structural growth - From opportunities to challenges with risks
After more than 40 years of economic reforms, China is arguably moving from an era of growth opportunities to one of growth challenges, characterised by reform fatigue, resistance to change and diminishing returns on investment. Looking ahead, what will drive China’s long-term growth?
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White papers
Bonds are back: credit markets focus during 2023
This year, we expect the global economic environment to feature sluggish growth and an extended period of sustained high inflation. For the credit market, it will be a tale of two halves:
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Come Together: Opportunities Among Divergent Views
If there was ever a market environment that called for unbiased views and the ability to pivot, this would be it. With higher volatility, diverging macroeconomic conditions, and heightened uncertainty, investors are wondering what they could be doing differently and where they should stay the course.
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Investment symposium – Macroeconomic themes for 2023
At our annual Investment Symposium, investment teams from across BNP Paris Asset Management debated the macroeconomic themes with the potential to shape markets in 2023, airing diverse perspectives and exploring the implications for portfolios. We share their conclusions on the main topics for the year ahead.
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White papers
CLOs: A Case for Higher-Quality
CLOs continue to offer compelling opportunities for disciplined investors—especially as robust structures provide protection against some of the lingering macroeconomic headwinds.
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Video
Shifting the spotlight: The value of biodiversity
The biodiversity around us is critical. Forests, peatlands and grasslands act as natural carbon sinks that absorb and store CO2. However, the threat to global biodiversity levels is at a tipping point.
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White papers
Opening Bell 2023 – Global Market Outlook
The outlook is looking a lot better than it was, as US inflation turns down and energy prices fall
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Why we see favorable entry points emerging for REITs
Listed REITs have likely priced in a recession; Our analysis points to a recovery next.
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White papers
Fixed income outlook - Sticky inflation
The latest data suggests that the US economy is headed towards a period of below-trend growth, if not outright recession. The effect of monetary tightening on aggregate demand is becoming evident, while supply chain pressures appear to be easing
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Podcast
Climate Postivity and the Mannheim model
What is Climate Positivity and how should a carbon emitting energy company position themselves to stay ahead in a climate conscious world?
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Video
5 Themes for 2023: Blowing hot and cold
After a depressing 2022, markets have got off to a flying start. Should investors ride the wave? Have long-term yields peaked? Is the recession risk fairly priced in equities and High Yield credit? Can we still count on the Fed put? Will portfolio diversification start working again?
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Outlook 2023: Blowing hot and cold
Our Annual Outlook provides our key views and investment implications for the coming year