All Commentary articles – Page 59
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - October 2022
We maintain the content and probabilities of our scenarios. Note that some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced-in by markets. It would take a combination of risk factors for the downside scenario to materialise. The downside is counterbalanced by an upside scenario, that of a rapid decline in inflation due to an easing of gas prices and/or to the combined tightening of global monetary policies, the impact of which can be underestimated.
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White papersToo early for a Fed pivot
The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth. The more resilient the US economy proves to interest-rate hikes, the more aggressively the Fed will have to tighten monetary policy, thereby increasing the risk of recession. We have gone from ‘bad news is good news’ to ‘good news is bad news’.
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White papersTLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation
TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters. So far, banks have repaid a small amount of liquidity, while the ECB’s recent decision on remuneration of excess reserves has helped keep current excess liquidity abundant, aiming at a smooth transmission of its monetary policy.
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White papersRelaxed financial markets look at Lula’s comeback
The first electoral round was won by former President Lula. However, the incumbent, Bolsonaro, performed better than expected. Their economic agendas differ on a number of issues, while risks are more asymmetric under each candidate. Either could benefit from a robust macroeconomic scenario.
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Research ReportReal Estate Perspectives - October 2022
With a deteriorating economic outlook, against a background of geopolitical tensions and high inflation, Europe faces a growing risk of recession.
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Asset Manager NewsGLP Releases Annual ESG Report
Singapore, 11 October 2022 – GLP today announced the release of its annual global environmental, social and governance (“ESG”) report detailing its vision and efforts to reduce environmental impact, address climate change, support local communities, promote diversity, uphold corporate governance and more.
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White papersDiversification with opportunity – European real estate
European real estate offers investors the opportunity to diversify their existing portfolio while participating in long-term trends. Swiss private investors, for example, usually focus on the domestic real estate market. However, institutional investors have recognized the opportunities and advantages of European real estate in recent years and have started to introduce foreign investments into their existing portfolios.
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White papersCLOs: Up in Quality
Against a challenging macro backdrop, CLOs look attractive given the strong structural protections and incremental yield on offer—but there is a case to be made for staying up in quality.
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PodcastU.S. Commercial Real Estate: A Time for Fear or Greed?
As negative headlines come fast and furious, commercial real estate investors are faced with a question: Is now a time to get defensive, be opportunistic, or prepare for the worst?
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White papersESG Viewpoint – Can mining be a responsible investment?
Its environmental and social impacts can make mining hard to square with a responsible investment approach. As the world shifts away from fossil fuels – a move that increases demand for ‘transition metals’ – we explore the need to think again.
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White papersThe Meeting Room: Asia ex-Japan, September 2022
Join Jonathan Pines and Sandy Pei for the latest Federated Hermes Meeting Room: Virtual Portfolio Briefing on Asia ex-Japan.
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White papersMarkets on edge despite Bank of England intervention
Sweeping UK government tax cuts sent shockwaves through financial markets as investors and economists queried the wisdom behind the plan.
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PodcastEpisode 3 of RedevCast now live!
In this episode, Redevco’s Development Manager, Robert Bakker and Project Architect, Eke Wondaal from Rijnboutt share their vision behind an urban redevelopment, where we will add 45 residential units to an outdated, but well-located and central retail property in the city centre of Groningen, the Netherlands.
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White papersWhen markets resist recession risk, macro analysis is pivotal
Asset prices are seemingly defying the global economic gloom, making analysis of macro indicators important in understanding how market conditions might evolve. In the latest quarterly edition of Simply put, we explain our current multi-asset portfolio positioning and the integration of a new, proprietary real-time macro overlay into our investment process.
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White papersCentral Bank Watch: To neutral and beyond
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income (FTFI) Central Bank Watch is a qualitative assessment of the central banks for the Group of Ten (G10) nations plus two additional countries (China and South Korea).
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White papersSovereign Fixed Income: An update on our ESG scores
Country institutions and income inequality have contributed to various problems with food insecurity, as well as impacting their ability to deal with it. Templeton Global Macro take a closer look and highlight five country case studies.
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White papersFixed income investing: the active advantage, in times of interest rate sensitivity
Active fixed income strategies may offer investors numerous advantages over passive index strategies, providing enhanced risk-adjusted performance potential. Investors are still seeking risk-managed returns in the current high inflation and rising rate environment, and we believe active management for fixed income can better help investors pursue their goals.
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White papersDigital Assets: Investing in digital loans with data science
Digital lending platforms (also called marketplace lenders) have offered borrowers quicker access to credit, and often at better terms, than loans from traditional channels.
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White papersEconomic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We put out a cautious Equity Market Outlook three months ago, and after a quarter of worsening economic data and inflation trends we are now even more focused on low beta and high earnings quality.
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White papersChina: This Time is Different
The Chinese economy is facing its hardest test in over two decades, and it will not come out of it easily.
