All Commentary articles – Page 54
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White papersEuropean Fixed-Income Outlook: Stay High Quality in 2023
European bond-market performance was among the worst on record in 2022, as Europe ran the gamut of geopolitical, economic and market storms. While problems persist and we expect further periods of volatility, we believe the worst impact on markets is past and that investors will find opportunities in 2023—particularly in investment-grade and select high-yield credit.
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VideoWhy Value Now?
(1:58) Client Portfolio Manager, Nicole Vettise explains why value could be a good place to be in the current market environment, highlighting some key considerations for value-style investors.
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White papersBBBs in the ‘Old Normal’
A key investment-grade sector retains its appeal, but selectivity may be important.
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White papersProspects for emerging equities are encouraging
Next year is likely to be a relatively lacklustre one for global equities. But that would still be a major improvement on the dismal 2022.
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White papersWhat 2023 holds for equities and bond investors
2023 will be a year when the investment environment slowly gets back to normality. Inflation will come down – even if not quite as fast as the market seems to expect. Economies will struggle for growth, but manage to stave off a deep downturn.
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White papersOutlook for Equities: Growth Stocks Are “Coiled Springs”
High inflation and interest rates brought significant pain to growth equities in 2022. Today, their de-rated valuations and resilient earnings fundamentals are presenting an attractive opportunity to patient investors.
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White papersOutlook 2023
The leaders of our investment platforms welcome the New Year with their views for 2023.
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White papersInfographic – Investing as the economy enters a new configuration
What should investors expect at a time when central banks are fiercely fighting inflation, economies are slowing and geopolitics and global economic integration are in turmoil? Check out this infographic for our views on monetary policy, equities and bonds, and sustainability in 2023 – in short, on investing in an age of transformation.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - January 2023
We see risks on all fronts, but with a little less intensity at the beginning of the year. As such, we lowered the probabilities from 30 to 25%.
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White papersA strained German economy can be good news for Europe
The energy crisis resulting from the war in Ukraine has altered profoundly Europe’s economic performance and prospects. Countries have been affected unevenly, based on how dependent they are on Russian gas and oil.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2023
An economic backdrop characterized by high risk of policy mistakes and strong regional divergences calls for a prudent stance in risk assets, especially now that markets are priced for perfection, leaving little room for any negative surprise.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook 2023: Finding Equilibrium
2022 was an ugly year for investing. As central banks battled inflation, interest rates soared and recession fears mounted. Equity and fixed-income markets broke with convention and fell in tandem. Nearly every bond-market sector suffered historic losses, leaving almost nowhere for investors to hide.
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White papersEquity Outlook: Rebuilding Conviction in Stocks for a Changing World
For 40 years, steadily declining inflation and interest rates buoyed equity returns. That changed abruptly last year. Investors must now adjust expectations to a new macroeconomic and market landscape that will require a fresh mindset to reach long-term goals.
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White papers2023 Outlook: Long-term perspective on markets and economies
There’s a new reality taking shape in global markets.
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PodcastWhat Goes Up Must Come Down…Right?
As we wrap up on the past year, many would agree that the predominant market trend that impacted investors would have to be inflation. In 2022, inflation levels rose to the highest we have seen in four decades. How did we get here?
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White papersAsia Pacific Market Perspective 04 2022
Asia Pacific Growth Positive In 2023, Benefit Of China Re-Opening To Be Visible By Q2
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White papersEscape From Flatland
A two-dimensional, return-and-volatility view of investments may not allow you to see important risks.
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PodcastSolving for 2023: How the Tables Have Turned
As we conclude another year of volatile markets, geopolitical turmoil as well as record-setting inflation getting added to the mix, one could say that 2022 was truly an eventful year. But as we reflect on the pivotal events that occurred, what lessons can investors take away as we prepare for the year ahead? Could there be an end in sight for the volatility? And what asset classes might investors want to delve into in the coming year, now more than ever?
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White papersPrivate real estate appreciation moves negative as re-valuation starts
US private real estate returns weakened considerably in 3Q 2022 as higher interest rates continued to have a major impact on market pricing and appraised values. This trend is expected to continue in the remainder of 2022 and into the opening quarters of 2023. This is leading to a dramatic slowdown in returns from the record levels seen less than a year ago.
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White papersA downturn is ahead, but pinpointing when and where is the real question
Around this time last year we expected high yield markets to rebound after an August reboot. However, as at the end of October we were looking at our global high yield benchmark losing 15% from the start of 2022. Against this, we did correctly predict that the global yield market would outperform gilts and sterling credit, and that emerging market debt would be a key area of weakness, delivering returns well below the US and European regions.
