All Commentary articles – Page 152
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White papersPacte Law: what changes lie ahead for savings in France
The Pacte Law, presented on June 18, 2018 at the French Council of Ministers, should come into force no later than January 2020, after a period of parliamentary debates and the publication of implementing decrees.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: July 2018
Since the beginning of the year, emerging market risky assets have become more volatile.
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White papersSchemes need a clear strategy for managing longevity risk
Increasing longevity is an important risk facing the trustees of defined benefit pension schemes. By offering a promise for life to members, they bear the risk that members live longer than expected.
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White papersCIO Insights: Key investment convictions for the short and long term
Long-term investing is about the belief that fundamental value exists and that asset class returns tend to mean revert to their equilibrium level and rotate around it, within regimes.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: July 2018
Investors have experienced generally low returns so far this year, due to the clouds currently gathering on the horizon, and the approach to risk assets is being characterised by increased caution.
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White papersItaly: Troubled waters and complex challenges ahead but no Italexit on the roadmap!
In just a few days, investors have shifted from perhaps excessive complacency to excess pessimism about Italian politics.
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White papersItaly: Fundamentals are the compass amid political twists
A new Government: After three months of deadlock, 5Star Movement and the League agreed on a redesigned Government formation.
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White papersPolitical Event Risk Raises Stakes for Sudden Price Moves
Major political event risk, ranging from elections in Mexico, Brazil and the U.S., to Brexit and NAFTA negotiations, could swing equity, bond, FX and ags markets.
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White papersFrance: Significant promises kept, but the most crucial reforms will take time
One year on from his election victory the French president has already lived up to some of his campaign promises, most visibly regarding labour market regulation and taxation, actions that have generally been welcomed by international financial commentators.
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White papersHow to play the oil price swings
Oil price: We confirm our target price for the next 12 months in the range of $60-70 per barrel.
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White papersStrategic Relative Value: Q2 2018
Even modest upward interest rate adjustments can be disruptive to risk markets when they collide with slowing economic growth, shifting monetary regimes, and geopolitical shocks.
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White papersItaly towards new elections
On May 27th, the designated Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte gave up his mandate to form a Government.
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White papersAlternative Risk Premia: What You Need To Know
Long bull markets in both equities and bonds have rewarded investors for backing traditional risk premia—notably the equity risk premium, the term premium and the credit premium.
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White papersSeeking to enhance diversification? Time to explore currency strategies
Forex strategies rely on a portfolio manager’s ability to exploit differences in the relative values of the world’s major currencies. To do this, specialists combine fundamental analysis and quantitative models to identify the currencies that seem over- or undervalued.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views: June 2018
We have entered into a regime of diminished returns. Sensitivity to news flow is, and will continue to be, very high, as markets try to adjust to new financial and economic conditions.
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White papersProfit trend and cycle analysis: a long-medium-short term sanity check
Profits fluctuations are often related to the economic business cycle as they are a crucial driver for investment decisions and ultimately are an important engine for economic growth.
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White papersItalian political transition following unclear paths. Wise to wait and see
The political situation in Italy is still uncertain, with some indication, but no formal appointment of the Prime Minister. We may witness a somewhat unusual state of affairs over the next few days, a sort of “technical government” of no parliamentary extraction, subject to a political contract.
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White papersU.S. Pullout of Iran Nuclear Deal: What Next for Oil, Business?
The United States has pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal in a move that could have wide-ranging implications for oil markets, trade and the Middle East peace process. Read about the potential impacts.
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White papersFed vs. ECB. Towards a stronger decoupling of monetary policies?
US and European economies both continue to expand but at different paces. While US growth will likely pick up this year, boosted by an expansionist fiscal policy, the Eurozone cycle probably peaked last year.
