All Commentary articles – Page 149
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Focal Point The Corona virus: What to expect?
The outbreak of the Corona virus (2019-nCoV) is spread-ing fears around the globe and rattling financial markets. Since it likely sprang over to humans in the city of Wuhan in central China in early December 2019, new infections have grown exponentially. By the time of writing, China re-ports 7,711 people infected and a death toll of 170.
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The Cruelest Month May Come Early This Year
The forecasts told us 2020 should be smooth and any turbulence wouldn’t come until later, if it came at all. Yet, we’re one month in and already risk is beginning to loom across three continents’ horizons.
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Focus On Fundamentals: Virus Volatility Provides Entry Points For EM Equities
The coronavirus has been the strongest driver behind the recent volatility in financial markets, providing the trigger for a break in the rally in risk assets, which had been running uninterrupted since October.We should be aware that the trough for markets could be well in advance of the peak of the epidemic, as markets tend to overreact at the beginning of a crisis and then stabilise and rebound, despite the continuation of the negative news flow.
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Secure income and green infrastructure: an unlikely marriage?
How to source stable, long-term cashflows with a strong ESG focus
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Setting the standard for sustainable agriculture
Businesses, governments, and people from all walks of life are increasingly recognizing sustainable and responsible business practices as crucial to confronting some of the world’s most pressing economic, social, and environmental challenges.
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Social Infrastructure in Europe: from Alignment to Contribution to the Sustainable Development Goals
The United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are a powerful organizational and communications tool for institutional investors and asset managers as they are universally accepted across multiple facets of society.
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European property: a rare source of yield
In Europe, the real estate market is one of the few potentially fertile hunting grounds for long-term investors in search of attractive yields.
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Focal Point US outlook: a soft landing supported by the Fed
We expect the US economy to cool this year. Growth will likely ease from 2.2% to 1.6% because of the full effect of tariffs becoming effective during the first half of the year. The lagged impact of the 2019 rate cuts and that of the additional reduction we expect for Q2 will engineer a soft landing of the economy, despite still substantial headwinds. The Fed will take big steps to adapt its monetary policy strategy to a low-inflation, low-interest rates world. The broad view of this strategy should be clearer by summer, but the dovish bias it will most likely produce will be welcomed by markets.
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Coronavirus And The Implications For Emerging Markets
Our emerging markets equity team takes a look at the economic and market implications of the coronavirus.
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Three trends to watch in UK long-income real estate
In an era of low interest rates and rising maintenance costs, the benefits of long-income assets within UK real-estate portfolios are hard to ignore. Tim Perry looks at three key trends that are influencing the UK long-income market.
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Risks Rebalanced - Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 1Q 2020
On Tuesday, January 14, Erik Knutzen, CIO of Multi-Asset Class, Gorky Urquieta, Co-Head of Emerging Markets Debt, and Conrad Saldanha, Senior Portfolio Manager, Emerging Markets Equity, discussed the AAC’s latest views on navigating the current market environment.
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Stable Growth, Policy in Transition - Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2020
With a stable economy likely to provide a positive environment for credit this year, shifts in monetary policy could contribute to more frequent volatility in fixed income markets, while political developments will be an ongoing risk.
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Multi-asset allocation views: Uncertainty clouds the outlook for European assets
Sunil Krishnan considers whether Europe can break out of its economic malaise and the factors investors should watch out for in 2020.
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Investment Case: Continental European real estate
Continental Europe’s real estate market offers investors the scope to tap into a wide opportunity set, capitalise on the region’s economic recovery and reap the benefits of diversification, while keeping risk down to levels consistent with core, income-driven investments.
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Spectrum Asset Management Outlook for 2020
Some macro risks—such as Brexit—appear to be de-escalating, but uncertainties continue; trade war negotiations are likely to overhang sentiment into the United States election.
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EMD in 2020: A year of “alpha,” and the return of the “political economy”
As we end another tumultuous year for emerging markets (EM), it’s a good time to pause and reflect on what the start of the third decade of the 21st century holds for emerging market debt (EMD) investors.
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Delta: our 2020 credit-sector outlook
From electric-vehicle sales to US pharmaceuticals and the strength of European banks, our credit analysts provide their 2020 outlooks for industry sectors.
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Five Multi-Asset Strategies for 2020’s Challenges
The last decade produced great performance across most asset classes. But in the 2020s, we expect investment market returns will be lower and risk harder to manage. Looking forward, a disciplined multi-asset approach will be especially valuable to identify opportunities and help mitigate setbacks.
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On My Mind: Will The US Economy Survive The Politics In 2020?
What might investors worry about? Dr. Sonal Desai, our Fixed Income CIO, covers her expectations for 2020.