All Commentary articles – Page 149
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White papersContagion - Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 2Q 2020
As the COVID-19 virus spread around the world, sending markets into turmoil, our Asset Allocation Committee (“the AAC” or “the Committee”) met by video conference because governments were telling citizens not to leave their homes. These are extraordinary circumstances, and they make asset allocation decisions extraordinarily challenging and consequential.
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White papersEM Debt: When Prices Decouple from Fundamentals
Dr. Ricardo Adrogué discusses how the global pandemic has impacted emerging markets, including implications for sovereign and corporate debt markets, as well as interest rates and currencies.
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White papersReal Estate House View - Switzerland
Steady performance despite economic cooling: low interest rate environment keeps investors ’ demand up in real estate and supports overall values.
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White papersReal Estate House View - Europe
While currently gastronomy is claimed to be the solution for vacant retail space (although at lower rents due to lower margins!) the food delivery business will become a space disruptor in the near future. While companies like Uber Eats, Deliveroo and takeaway.com are already visible in public, popular new formats such as shadow kitchens or home delivery of groceries are on the rise.
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White papersReal Estate House View - United Kingdom
Underlying UK property fundamentals robust outside the retail sector: pricing relative to bonds remains attractive with limited good quality supply and no over-leverage-expectation of modest economic growth predicts performance over the next five years driven primarily by income.
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White papersA test of character for Europe
The contagion of the corona virus continues, but at a slower pace. In the first days of April the total number of recorded cases, now well over one million globally, was rising by about 8.5% a day, vs. 12% around 25 March.
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White papersEconomic and Real Estate Outlook in Context of Covid-19 #2
Yesterday was April Fools’ Day, but unfortunately there is not much humor to share in the world as the global novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic continues to devastate countries globally. As of April 1, the number of COVID-19 infections surpassed 900,000 globally with the U.S. now leading the rate of infections.
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White papersMarkets Scenarios & Risks - April 2020
Covid-19 progressively moving global in March was a game changer for the global economy and financial markets. As policies responses to contain the damages of the virus became bolder, we re-assessed the narrative of our base and alternative scenarios. We changed the probability in favour of the upsides scenario to 30% from 15%, while the downside scenario moved from a probability of 30% down to 20% and the central scenario from a probability of 55% to 50%.
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White papersUncorrelated Strategies Market Update
In this short video, Portfolio Manager, Fred Ingham provides an update on current conditions across uncorrelated strategies, offering his thoughts on both the short and longer-term impacts of COVID-19 on asset markets. He also updates on the positioning of Neuberger Berman’s portfolios.
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White papersCoronavirus: the long-term impacts on emerging markets
Beyond the shockwaves, immense uncertainty and eventual recovery, each economic crisis changes the way society and corporations operate, leaving scars but also spurring innovation.
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White papersViral volatility: how Covid-19 is infecting sentiment
The stock markets are characterised by long stretches of calm punctuated by times of crisis – the most recent of which is the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Amid the rapid global spread of Covid-19, worries about economic growth have intensified and equity markets have suffered steep pullbacks.
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White papersPandemic panic: making sense of investor behaviour
The current market shakeout has caused extreme reactions among both consumers and investors. But are we wrong to suggest that investors are behaving irrationally in response to this coronavirus crisis? In this piece, we look at the market moves over the past month and consider how investors can use an active approach to confront their internal biases.
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White papersThematics Views - The Eurozone’s Quantum Leap: On The Road To Debt Mutualisation
The Eurozone’s architecture does not allow it to contain all the risks arising from the current shock. Recourse to an European Stability Mechanism (ESM) credit line without strong conditionality is a de facto first step towards debt mutualisation. Looking ahead, this could pave the way to a European budget and a common debt.
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White papersCentral Banks Are Entering A New Regime: Unlimited Support
Coordinated actions by central banks and governments have a clear objective to prevent a sharp rise in bankruptcies. We are confident in central banks’ ability to address the liquidity crisis as central banks have entered a new regime: unlimited support. However, we have no strong convictions on the depth of the coming solvability crisis.
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White papersCoronavirus – Weekly update – 01/04/2020
This blog is the first of a regular update on our COVID-19 strategy: our assessment of the virus itself and the public health approach for containing it; the economic cost of dealing with the pandemic and the policy responses to mitigate the damage; and ultimately the implications for financial markets and investment strategy.
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White papersESG and climate: When credit becomes sustainable
The worsening health crisis currently spreading around the world has shown us just how extremely vulnerable our biological, environmental and social conditions are. Considerable efforts are being made to prevent the COVID-19 virus from spread- ing, but it is undoubtedly too soon to say how the epidemic will influence international opinions on global issues such as climate risk, personal protection and good governance.
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White papersMarket Volatility | Closing Bell Insights
On this episode of Closing Bell Insights, Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer of Equities, shares his market update and insights after the closing bell, including potential implications for investors.
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White papersEuro Investment Grade Credit Reacts To The ECB’s Bazooka: Selective Opportunities
Covid-19 is expected to severely damage the European economy in the coming quarters. The answer at the European level to this disruption has been strong on the monetary policy side, with the implementation of the temporary Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme of €750bn and targeted longer-term refinancing operations, and at the single country level, with targeted fiscal measures.
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White papersAudio Insight: The Course of COVID-19
Terri Towers, Senior Healthcare Research Analyst looks at the current progression of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as her views on inflection points and treatment timelines.
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White papersMarch Macro Dashboard
The global economy is in the throes of a recession as it battles COVID-19. GDP growth across the Eurozone and U.K. is set to contract in the second quarter. While China is beginning to lift restrictions, Japan is only beginning to crack down on social distancing as cases rise.
