All Commentary articles – Page 157
-
White papersIs Government Shutdown a Prelude to Debt Ceiling Debate?
The economic impact from the partial government shutdown is expected to be minimal, but the markets will take notice if the debt ceiling becomes an issue.
-
White papersAfter Multiple Hikes, Could Fed Resort to Cutting Rates Next?
The Fed might be at the crossroads of whether to continue raising interest rates or stand pat in 2019, with some expectations for even a rate cut in 2020.
-
White papersPhase Transitions: Major Changes for Markets to Navigate
From the rising cost of capital to the trade war and key demographic changes, markets have to navigate through a series of phase transitions in 2019.
-
White papersEvent Risk Enters Phase 3: What's At Stake in 2019?
Event risk outcomes could be dragged out in 2019 as issues like the trade war and questions over when the Fed might halt rate hikes simmer in markets.
-
White papersGlobal Perspectives: 2019 Outlook
The new year brings new challenges and new opportunities for investors. The investment professionals of Principal Global Investors look at the regional macroeconomic outlooks and examine the major asset classes.
-
White papersMarket Volatility: Headwinds, from Trade War to Rates, in 2019?
Markets could face headwinds in 2019 from the lag effects of major events that took place in 2018, from the trade war to rate hikes and corporate tax cuts.
-
White papersPost-G20 Market Implications for U.S. – China
The G20 meeting yielded the U.S.-China trade war cease-fire and the Russia-Saudi Arabia pact to curb oil output. How will they pan out in 2019?
-
White papersMajor Market Themes to Watch in 2019
How will markets perform in 2019 after a tumultuous 2018? CME Chief Economist, Blu Putnam outlines key themes to watch.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Outlook Q4: Distortion, Divergence and Diversification
Volatility has plagued equity markets globally in 2018—most notably emerging markets and US equity markets. As the US economic expansion officially crossed the nine-year mark in 2018, many investors started to wonder when the cycle would change—and what the catalyst might be.
-
White papersQuarterly Allocation Views: Taking Solace from the Longer Outlook
Every year, when we publish longer-term capital market expectations, it is always interesting to reflect on how our views evolve over different time horizons. Today, with increased market volatility, divergent economic performance and looming trade wars, can we take solace in a constructive longer-term outlook?
-
White papers2019 Capital Markets Expectations: Supportive Environment for Asset Returns
We believe global stocks have greater performance potential than global bonds, supported by continued global growth.
-
White papersStrategic Relative Value: Q4 2018
The investment climate is becoming more challenging as previous easy monetary conditions are being reversed. Risk/return expectations need to be re-evaluated, but investment opportunities still exist around the world.
-
White papersGlobal Investment Views: December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
-
White papersGlobal Trade War: Where Do we Stand Now? What Impacts?
A few days before the important meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, it is important to have a clear view on the trade dispute between the two countries and on the potential impacts of a trade war.
-
White papersItaly moves towards an Excessive Deficit Procedure, but a change of attitude is in the air
This large and unprecedented deliberate breach of the so-called “preventive arm” measures therefore calls for moving Italy into the “corrective arm” of the Stability and Growth Pact.
-
White papersInescapable investment truths for the decade ahead
Our inescapable truths are the economic forces and disruptive forces we think will shape the investment landscape over the years to come.
-
White papersMorocco: moderate economic risks
Growth is expected to slow down compared to 2017 but should stabilise at around 3% this year and in 2019.
-
White papersWhat lies ahead for the US economy and markets?
The robust performance of the US economy in 2018 has led to the supremacy of US risk assets compared to the rest of the world. Moving towards the end of the year and into 2019, global investors have started to raise questions about whether the US economy and business sector will continue to shine, how inflation will evolve, and which direction the Federal Reserve will take going forward.
-
White papersUS Midterm election: A divided Congress opens two possible scenarios
Key takeaway: In the midterm election Democrats win the House and the GOP (Grand Old Party) strengthens its position in the Senate.
-
White papersAsset Class Return Forecasts: Q4 2018
We stick to the view that 2018 will be the peak of the global economic cycle. 2019 will most likely be a year of deceleration albeit with still above trend growth, before a further slowdown of growth towards potential in 2020.
