All Commentary articles – Page 158
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White papersBig Tailwinds Are Backing Emerging Market Assets
As global growth firms up, many emerging market economies are powering ahead of the developed world. In aggregate, emerging economies are expected to grow by 4.1% in 2017, with developed markets growing by just over 2%. These superior growth dynamics aren’t the only tailwinds supporting emerging market (EM) assets.
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White papersUK Election Result Compounds Brexit Uncertainty
Britain’s election has produced a messy result, with no party securing an outright majority. The hung parliament adds further uncertainty to Brexit talks with the European Union(EU), though it probably won’t affect the UK’s short-term economic outlook.
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White papersPopulism: Here Today, Still Here Tomorrow
Today’s populism has grown rapidly, but its roots run deep. We expect that the social and economic trends that have caused it will last long after the current crop of populist leaders has faded from the scene. Investors should take notice.
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White papersWill Downbeat Labor Report Give the Fed Pause?
May’s labor-market report disappointed, with every meaningful indicator lower than expected and down from last month. But we don’t believe it’s weak enough to stop a June rate hike or knock the Fed off track.
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White papersAsset Allocation Monthly: May 2017
We have recently increased our equity rating to favour from neutral on the back of lower political risk and positive earnings developments.
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White papersThe emerging markets cloud receding
As US rhetoric on trade protectionism softens, investors are focusing on emerging markets’ fundamental attractions once more as productivity improvements and fast-growing young populations are driving superior economic growth.
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White papersHow should investors approach US infrastructure?
Improving and expanding US infrastructure involves more than building roads and bridges.
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White papersTrumponomics: What could go right?
When it comes to policy, there are things that can go right and things that can go wrong – particularly so with Trumponomics.
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White papersThe Cost of Trigger-Happy Investing
Brexit, Trump. There were plenty of big surprises last year. The one that may matter most for investment portfolios is how financial markets responded.
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White papersOur Convictions: May 2017
We have repeatedly mentioned how financial markets have tended to overestimate the risks of European elections, underestimate the fears of the Brexit and overestimate hopes on Trump’s economic policy.
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White papersFrench Presidential Elections: Macron president - risks disappear...Back to fundamentals
The second round of the presidential election provided the name of the winner: E. Macron is the next president of the French Republic (66% of the votes).
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy: May 2017
The purpose of this article is to present the state of affairs on the polls, the priorities of the French and to recall the program of the two candidates as well as the major issues: to obtain a parliamentary majority for E. Macron, to obtain a parliamentary majority and to clarify her position on Europe for Marine Le Pen.
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White papersEconomic Insights: April 2017
The free trade negotiations of the late 1980s and 90s that lowered world trade barriers plus the opening up of countries of the former Soviet Union in 1989 led to a massive, positive, global labor supply shock.
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White papersTechnology, emerging markets, and the path to financial security
Just like the developed world, emerging markets populations are aging and looking for a secure retirement.
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White papersPractical applications of Smart Beta
How Amundi Smart Beta solutions can meet concrete investors’ needs
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White papersUsing factor investing to navigate choppy, low-return markets
Describing factors and how to implement them in portfolio construction
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White papersPositioning Value in Portfolio Construction
Value investing is well used by investors, and has been the subject of extensive academic research. Yet recent years have shown that value factor has not behaved as expected.
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White papersTrump unnerves Asia
The new US administration’s trade and foreign policy threatens to unsettle relations with Asia-Pacific nations. It is commonplace to say that the election of President Donald Trump has created uncertainty and nervousness among both US’s allies and its rivals.
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White papersSoutheast Asia’s credit stability
Credit rating agencies are optimistic that Southeast Asian countries will weather the fallout from developments in other regions. Southeast Asia appears vulnerable to several forces it can do little to control.
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White papersShenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect opens for traffic
Offering a bridge for international investors accessing China’s ‘new economy’, policymakers are confident in Stock Connect’s future. China’s recent policy initiatives to attract international investors to its equities markets have struggled.
