All United States articles – Page 26
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Homebuilder buys nearly 130 lots south of Tampa
Casa Fresca will build entry-level homes on the properties in Riverview and Apollo Beach.
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US housing: slowdown or meltdown?
Brandywine Global examines the differentiated factors, including unique supply and demand conditions, that currently still support housing prices and should prevent any softening from becoming a full-blown collapse.
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July 26-27 FOMC Review: Maintaining a Hawkish Course
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 75bp to 2.25-2.50%, the second consecutive 75bp rate hike. The Fed rate decision was widely expected. With today’s rate hike, the fed funds rate is within the 2 to 3% range of estimates of the long-term “neutral” rate. However, as Chair Powell reminded us during his press conference, policy needs to go beyond neutral into restrictive territory this year in order to reduce inflation.
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Rising rents matter more to REITs than rising rates
Despite the prospect of near-term volatility, REITs are well positioned to help mitigate higher interest rates, sticky inflation and challenging economic conditions, in our opinion.
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Will the Fed’s QT Trigger a Financial Crisis as Growth Slows?
The outlook for Quantitative Tightening will likely depend on the Fed’s commitment to the tool, and, at the first sign of trouble, it may be quick to course correct.
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Can “Friendshoring” Replace the G-20?
Any vision of closer commercial integration among U.S. allies and partners must be as inclusive as possible.
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On my mind: Are we there yet?
Are we there yet? Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hedged himself carefully at the July press conference; markets heard it as confirming expectations that we are closing in on the terminal rate and that the Fed will likely start cutting again as early as March of next year. Our Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai is not so sure—here are her thoughts:
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*Mid-year outlook takeaways – Chronicle of a recession foretold*
Investor surveys, and now the US yield curve, indicate a high likelihood of a recession in the US. The question seems not whether there will be a recession, but when. Economist forecasts and earnings growth estimates, however, suggest a recession is not so certain. With growth already slowing more quickly than expected, markets are assuming central banks will not hike policy rates as much as was thought. But inflation may not fall enough to make that possible.
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Farewell, Forward Guidance
The ECB went big, ending the era of negative rates by raising interest rates 50bps. The central bank is focused on ensuring an even transmission of monetary policy and unveiled its new anti-fragmentation tool.
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Whiplash!
Hard economic data has remained strong, but recession risks are on the rise. Combined with limited forward guidance from Central Banks, this has left markets to have to decipher what each data print will mean for monetary policy and the path of rates.
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Accelerated Migration Post-Pandemic Drives Real Estate Returns - Q2 2022
The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic largely accelerated many location changes that began before March 2020. Nationwide, some migratory patterns related to American industry and demographic shifts became more pronounced by type of region, metro, and location − some areas experienced unprecedented booms, while others reported sizeable declines.
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Economic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We see increasing likelihood of a recession, but even if we avoid one, we think the coming months are going to feel like a recession as the decline in stock market valuations in the first half of the year are likely followed by a decline in corporate earnings in the second half.
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Blog
The Extending Chain Reaction of Dollar Dominance
Strength in the U.S. dollar historically leads to anticipation about its effects on commodity prices and the prospects for the emerging markets. However, as monetary policy rates diverge and Europe’s energy crisis intensifies, the dollar’s significant appreciation against the Japanese yen and the euro points to an extending chain reaction.
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Braving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors
Stock markets around the world have entered bear territory. The MSCI ACWI slid over 20% for the six months ended June 30, 2022. Today, many investors are focused on the likelihood of recession and more pain ahead.
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White papers
Accelerated migration post-pandemic drives real estate returns
The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic largely accelerated many location changes that began before March 2020. Nationwide, some migratory patterns related to American industry and demographic shifts became more pronounced by type of region, metro, and location − some areas experienced unprecedented booms, while others reported sizeable declines.
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White papers
The U.S. Federal Reserve is about to Raise Rates: Keep Calm
With widespread inflation persisting in many western economies, the United States, United Kingdom and to a lesser degree, the Eurozone are moving up the curve of hawkish monetary policy. Emerging from the pandemic-induced lockdowns, the initial burst of inflation was largely driven by so-called base effects as prices were being compared to artificially low prices in 2020 due to the dramatic disruption of aggregate demand.
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Hines Investment Perspectives - U.S. Overview
We began this year with the expectation that the world and real estate markets would normalize, on the back of a more controlled pandemic and the reopening of most economies and markets. Little did we know that the first quarter would welcome us with a war in Eastern Europe, rising inflation, increased cost of debt and the prospects of a recession looming in the United States.
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Laws of Economics Strike Back
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income believes further hawkish surprises lie ahead, as even the current expected policy path would leave real interest rates negative well into next year. Their latest Fixed income views explore the implications for investors.
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Enhancing customer experience on the Indiana Toll Road and building pathways to a diverse ability talent pool
Customer and community stewardship are high on the agenda at Indiana Toll Road Concession Company (ITR), the company managing the 157-mile-long toll road stretching across Northern Indiana in the US.
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Real Estate Outlook – US, Edition 2 - 2022
Growing economic uncertainty based on weaker consumer sentiment and inflation concerns increases the importance of focusing on durable income growth across real estate sectors, metros, and product types. Continued strong industrial and apartment return performance is anticipated, but at a lower margin than 2021, given interest rate pressures. We expect a deteriorating performance for office and a gradual strengthening in retail performance through 2022.