All United States articles – Page 29
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Has the dollar hit its high-water mark?
A weaking dollar raises questions on the future trajectory of Fed monetary policy.
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Emerging market debt: Darkest before dawn
We expect the US dollar to peak in Q4 2022 and if and when this happens, it will mark a significant downgrade in the strength of headwinds affecting EMD.
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Fed hikes by a little less, but promise more to come
After hiking its policy rate by 75 basis points at each of the prior four meetings, the Fed took its foot off the brakes a bit, raising rates by only 50 basis points at its final meeting of the year. Inflation concerns remain, despite a string of softer data, but risks to higher prices and slower growth now appear more balanced than they have for several years.
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Portfolio Implications of a Positive Stock-Bond Correlation World
US stock-bond correlation has been negative for much of the past 20y. However, regime change – related in part to fiscal and monetary policies and the broader macroeconomic landscape – can occur, with implications for portfolio performance and construction.
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U.S. markets outlook for 2023
The S&P 500 Index recorded its worst year in more than a decade in 2022, falling 13.1% through to 30 November. And investors face more market volatility in the year ahead as the macroeconomic environment poses headwinds for many companies.
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Looking ahead: U.S private credit in an age of scarcity
For over a decade, including through COVID-19, the tide of capital has flowed mostly in one direction: into markets. That’s because since the Great Recession of 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates low. Public credit, both loans and bonds, benefited from this support. But as we look ahead to 2023, it is important to shift our gaze and examine the impact of rate hikes and quantitative tightening on capital markets and private credit.
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Bullish on bonds in 2023
The next 12 months are poised to be a comeback year for fixed income, says Gene Tannuzzo, with a focus on quality and credit selection critical to achieving the desired outcomes.
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Private Real Estate Investing Amid Macro Uncertainties
COVID has been a “black swan” event that severely disrupted a normal market cycle and our daily lives starting in 2020.
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Will US employment hold its ground?
In the latest instalment of Simply put, where we make macro calls with a multi-asset perspective, we observe that the Federal Reserve’s aim to raise unemployment in its fight against inflation is starting to pay off, but will the central bank also be able to contain the upcoming recession?
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Macro outlook – The clouds around the inflation peak
The inflation shock has defined 2022. Not primarily because as usual, by eroding purchasing power and corporate margins it has hampered consumption and investment – private spending has been remarkably resilient actually in the developed world given the circumstances – but because it has marked the end of an era for monetary policy.
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2023 Outlook: Global Real Estate - 2
In this roundtable discussion, our experts across real estate debt and equity discuss how they are navigating today’s challenges and weigh in on where investors can turn to find attractive returns.
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Don’t be Fooled by Your Office Building Appraisal
The sooner investors can recognize that prices in the U.S. office space are not where benchmarks have indicated, the sooner they can move forward with assessing and capitalizing on opportunities in the sector.
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Semiconductors: The Darkness Before the Dawn
Given the headwinds of a cyclical downturn in demand, high inventories, and rising tensions between China and the U.S., the semiconductor sector is being challenged. But there are a growing number of reasons to be optimistic about the share prices over the medium term.
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Asset Manager News
GTIS Partners’ Brazil Funds Continue to Rank Among Most Sustainable Private Equity Real Estate Funds in South America
GTIS Brazil Real Estate Fund Ranked Number 1 in South America for Eighth Consecutive Year. Firm Highlights ESG Commitments with Diversity in Action Initiative, Releases 2021 Corporate Sustainability Reports
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Pensions Watch | Issue 22: What’s been happening and what’s on the horizon in the world of pensions
Given the ever-greater regularity of unanticipated impactful events with equally unpredictable tipping points, we look at the importance to pension scheme fiduciaries of risk management. In particular, we consider the need for both more inventive scenario analysis and stress testing of schemes’ resilience against a multitude of ever-present and emerging risks allied to more nimble governance.
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Asset Manager News
Quinlan Development Group and GTIS Partners Announce Opportunity Zone Joint Venture for Brooklyn, NY Residential Development
Quinlan Development Group (“QDG”), a multi-generational real estate investment company with a track record of developing over 3.5 million square feet of real estate and over one billion dollars of assets currently under management, and GTIS Partners (“GTIS”), a global real estate investment firm that manages approximately $4.3 billion in real estate with a U.S. focus on residential and industrial/logistics investments, announced today the formation of a joint venture and the acquisition of 374 4th Avenue for the development of a class-A mixed-use residential development located in the Gowanus neighborhood of Brooklyn, NY (the “Project”).
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Divergences and Pivots
The exuberant response to last Thursday’s inflation data suggests markets are primed for the “pivot”—but could they be extrapolating too far?
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Markets bounce on hopes US inflation has peaked
The US inflation rate cooled to 7.7% in October, weaker than many forecasts, to hit its lowest level since January.
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‘Tis the season to be jolly? The retail outlook says otherwise
The economic outlook looks neither calm nor bright for UK and US non-food retailers this Christmas amid weak consumer confidence across the sector.
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Central banks ramp up rates in shadow of recession
US Federal Reserve raised rates by 75bps for fourth time in a row this week, while the Bank of England’s 75bps hike was its largest for three decades.