All United States articles – Page 25
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White papers
July CPI report: The case for a September Fed pause is building
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflation continues to make meaningful progress toward the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target.
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White papers
US credit rating downgrade: investment implications
On 1 August, Fitch Ratings, one of the three main independent debt ratings agencies, downgraded US debt from an AAA rating to AA+ with a stable outlook.
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U.S. Real Estate: Fundamentals Under Pressure as Values Correct
The commercial real estate market downturn persists, but unlike prior downturns, this one has not been accompanied by an economic recession. The Barings Real Estate team discusses how this backdrop is presenting both challenges and opportunities in the U.S. real estate market.
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How expensive is the US equity market?
Regardless of whether investors currently have a bearish or bullish view on equities, the big question concerns valuations. Our latest edition of Simply put considers whether US equities are prohibitively expensive at the moment.
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Podcast
What Should We Do with All of this Office Space?
From Wall Street economists to local taxi drivers, everyone is talking about the challenges facing U.S. office real estate. How big is the problem? What are the potential solutions? And will there be investment opportunities along the way? Barings’ Dags Chen weighs in.
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Onwards or upwards?
The US Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to reach a 22-year high this week.
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The 60/40 portfolio: Regaining its appeal - Quick takes on capital markets
With rising stock/bond correlations reducing diversification benefits, the 60/40 portfolio suffered a historically bad run in 2022.
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Podcast
Opportunities in Structured Products
Jin Im, associate portfolio manager for the Investment Grade Fixed Income team at Allspring Global Investments, and Rob Absey, head of Insurance Solutions, discuss structured products, often referred to as securitized assets or securitized products, and the value and importance these assets can have in overall investment portfolios.
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White papers
Sunshine in the U.S.—For Now
In this monthly series, we take a quick, comprehensive look at current macroeconomic themes that matter to clients.
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The End of the Great Moderation: Forecasting in Elevated Uncertainty
In a global environment with more complexity and uncertainty, we have adopted a probabilistic, scenario-based approach to forecasting macroeconomic and market outcomes.
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The sequential real estate opportunity on the horizon
Higher interest rates, bank failures and office sector gloom have prompted bleak headlines. Are we yet at the point where these factors present opportunities?
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Is there a recession on the horizon?
This week’s edition of Simply put focuses on a quant conundrum related to our indicators: our US growth indicator remains firmly at low levels. Is it a false signal? Should we reconsider the indicator itself?
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White papers
Behind the gate: The anatomy of a data center
Data centers are the cornerstones of our digital world. And yet few people have ever been inside one. You can’t walk up to the lobby and ask for a look around. But in this short paper, we’ll give you a peek inside.
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Investment Real Estate, More Than Office
Investment real estate consists of more than office buildings.
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White papers
Fed moving to a pause with a very data-dependent approach
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal fund rate by 25bp but dropped future guidance. Chair Powell claimed that the Fed is far away from hitting its inflation target, but acknowledged that the tighter credit conditions for households and businesses could affect economic growth.
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Podcast
All the Credit, EP.42
Exploring trends in growth, pricing, market share, and more across major players in the big brewing industry.
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White papers
The Fed Senses the Light at the End of the Tunnel
PGIM Fixed Income’s views on the July FOMC meeting, which could mark the end of the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking cycle and may give way to a fine-tuning phase.
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White papers
11 … or will it be 12? (Or more?)
The Federal Open Market Committee just decided to increase the federal funds target rate by 0.25%, resulting in a new target of 5.25% to 5.50%.
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White papers
How do rising interest rates affect natural capital investments?
To address persistent U.S. inflation, the Federal Reserve initiated a series of rate hikes in March 2022. By May 2023, the key short-term interest rate had increased by 5.0%, reaching its highest level in 16 years.
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White papers
Fixed Income Outlook – Shifting narratives
Market narratives have been shifting rapidly. We have gone from speculation that rate hikes by US Federal Reserve had begun to ‘break’ the financial system, to imminent recession and imminent rate cuts, to a resilient US economy, to weak domestic demand and deflation in China, and slumping growth in the eurozone amid continued central bank policy tightening.