All United States articles – Page 33
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White papersA New Era for Small Caps?
After a decade of lagging market results, stocks of small companies seem poised for a resurgence. Small company stocks have generally disappointed investors in recent years, not because of their fundamentals, but due to the relative strength of large companies since the Global Financial Crisis. The difference is reflected in the combined multiple (or valuation) expansion of large caps and multiple contraction of small caps, even as the latter generated stronger earnings growth over more than a decade.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - July/August 2024
Topic of the Month: How long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
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White papersU.S. election: Policy and positioning
Heading into a contentious U.S. election season, investors need to avoid the noise and remain focused on the factors that will drive markets in the period ahead, including U.S. trade policy (particularly with China), geopolitics (particularly any impact on oil markets), and fiscal deficit management (given the CBO projection that the U.S. budget deficit is set to rise to 122.4% of GDP by 2034).
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White papersHow long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
The pace of disinflation in most advanced economies is following a similar path, albeit with differences in sticky components. Central bank policy rates are unlikely to diverge significantly (our baseline), but this does not rule out the ECB and the BoE cutting rates faster than the Fed, especially given their weaker growth outlook. The impact of this scenario would be steeper yield curves in the Eurozone and the UK, but not substantially weaker exchange rates, as some fear. A bigger risk to European exchange rates stems from (unanticipated) energy price shocks rather than lower relative interest rates. We explore why.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2024
US mega caps significantly outperformed the rest of the US markets in the first half of the year, driven by better-than-expected economic activity, AI exuberance and superior earnings. Looking ahead, we see a potential for a rally-broadening, which will not be linear and is likely to have multiple legs.
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WebinarWebinar replay : The evolution of convenience culture and property markets
Register to watch the webinar replay of Nuveen Real Estate’s Head of U.S. Retail and Mixed-Use, Katie Grissom, on the discussion of the retail comeback, how consumers are shaping the future of retail and the resilience of property fundamentals with moderator Wendy Pryce, Lead U.S. Real Estate Specialist.
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White papers2024 U.S. election: The importance of staying invested
It can be easy for investors to let their political persuasions impact their long-term financial judgment. However, allowing the outcomes of elections, particularly ones as polarized as what investors are facing this fall, to trigger an adjustment to portfolio allocations or even a withdrawal from markets entirely, has historically ...
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White papersPositioning for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Calls from senior members of the Democratic party finally became too great this past weekend, with President Biden bowing out of the 2024 U.S. Presidential race. He will not be seeking a second term.
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White papersElection 2024: Economics, policy and positioning for a soft landing
The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year, fueled by the Federal Reserve embracing optimism about inflation without sacrificing growth. During Q2, however, evidence of still sticky inflation has reduced the number of expected rate cuts, weighing on market sentiment and resulting in more modest equity gains.
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White papersThe Artificial Intelligence revolution: sector perspectives
We believe that Artificial Intelligence (AI) could have over the long-term a positive impact on productivity and GDP growth. However, the impact will not be linear across sectors, especially in the early phases. Those companies that are already investing heavily in AI technologies are the most likely to see benefits to revenues and/or profitability, but disappointments will happen given increased and new competitive pressure as well as the emergence of questionable business cases in light of the involved costs.
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White papersBiden’s exit from the presidential race opens a phase of uncertainty
Biden exit from the race: Current US President Joe Biden announced on Sunday that he will not seek re-election and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. Senior members of the Democratic party have expressed their support for Kamala Harris. Donations for the campaign have begun to rise after Biden’s decision.
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White papersMaking sense of infrastructure debt
The capital expenditure required to support anticipated growth in power demand while also reducing carbon emissions will necessitate significant amounts of debt financing going forward. Don Dimitrievich, Portfolio Manager for Nuveen Energy Infrastructure Credit, explains the evolving infrastructure debt opportunity set and the EIC team’s approach to thematic investing in IPE’s recent July/August 2024 report.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation Q3 2024
We are not expecting a U.S. recession in 2024. We are looking for credit spreads to remain rangebound in the near future, and we prefer high carry while considering downside risks. Consumers and housing fundamentals continued to be solid, while CLOs fundamentals weakened further. Commercial real estate fundamentals are stable, but performance divergences are wide. We are neutral for both corporate equity and cash investments.
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White papersAre We There Yet? The Road to Recovery for CRE
Stickier than expected inflation and robust economic activity have delayed and diminished expectations for rate cuts in 2024.
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White papersTo Understand the Macro, Study the Micro
Right now, second-quarter earnings reports may be a better guide to the economic outlook than official statistics.
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White papersEquity Market Outlook 3Q 2024
Financial headlines suggest that vigorous debate has returned to equity markets. In our 3Q Equity Market Outlook, we highlight key aspects of this shift and discuss what they might portend for markets over the next six to 12 months.
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White papersU.S. Election: Near-Term Turbulence, Long-Term Questions
A close election could see increased U.S. equity volatility followed by a relief rally, while resulting policy impacts could take time to play out and may be affected by fiscal constraints.
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White papersReal estate déjà vu - Has life sciences real estate become the next logistics sector?
A bit more than a decade ago, in 2011, a (at the time) somewhat obscure real estate sector was in the initial stage of its S-shaped growth trajectory. Its share in global real estate investment portfolios was less than 10% and concentrated in the US. This was the industrial (logistics) sector.
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White papersImpact investing: The continued resilience of U.S. affordable housing investments
As the investment environment in real estate continues to navigate challenges, investors are seeking ways to diversify allocations to affordable housing. Impact investment strategies such as affordable housing have long been known for delivering positive social and environmental changes, however, the economic benefits of U.S. affordable housing remain misunderstood by many investors.
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White papersReal Estate Debt: Navigating the New Frontier
The Fed’s campaign against inflation, changes in bank regulations and stress in the office sector have collectively created an attractive investment environment for real estate debt investors, in our view. Commercial mortgages are offering yields not seen since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). While capital market conditions are operating effectively for low-risk mortgages, they remain mostly dislocated for higher-risk mortgages, thereby presenting compelling investment opportunities.
