All United States articles – Page 33
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White papers
Rising rents matter more to REITs than rising rates
Despite the prospect of near-term volatility, REITs are well positioned to help mitigate higher interest rates, sticky inflation and challenging economic conditions, in our opinion.
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White papers
Will the Fed’s QT Trigger a Financial Crisis as Growth Slows?
The outlook for Quantitative Tightening will likely depend on the Fed’s commitment to the tool, and, at the first sign of trouble, it may be quick to course correct.
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White papers
Can “Friendshoring” Replace the G-20?
Any vision of closer commercial integration among U.S. allies and partners must be as inclusive as possible.
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White papers
*Mid-year outlook takeaways – Chronicle of a recession foretold*
Investor surveys, and now the US yield curve, indicate a high likelihood of a recession in the US. The question seems not whether there will be a recession, but when. Economist forecasts and earnings growth estimates, however, suggest a recession is not so certain. With growth already slowing more quickly than expected, markets are assuming central banks will not hike policy rates as much as was thought. But inflation may not fall enough to make that possible.
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White papers
Farewell, Forward Guidance
The ECB went big, ending the era of negative rates by raising interest rates 50bps. The central bank is focused on ensuring an even transmission of monetary policy and unveiled its new anti-fragmentation tool.
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White papers
Whiplash!
Hard economic data has remained strong, but recession risks are on the rise. Combined with limited forward guidance from Central Banks, this has left markets to have to decipher what each data print will mean for monetary policy and the path of rates.
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White papers
Accelerated Migration Post-Pandemic Drives Real Estate Returns - Q2 2022
The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic largely accelerated many location changes that began before March 2020. Nationwide, some migratory patterns related to American industry and demographic shifts became more pronounced by type of region, metro, and location − some areas experienced unprecedented booms, while others reported sizeable declines.
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White papers
Economic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We see increasing likelihood of a recession, but even if we avoid one, we think the coming months are going to feel like a recession as the decline in stock market valuations in the first half of the year are likely followed by a decline in corporate earnings in the second half.
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Blog
The Extending Chain Reaction of Dollar Dominance
Strength in the U.S. dollar historically leads to anticipation about its effects on commodity prices and the prospects for the emerging markets. However, as monetary policy rates diverge and Europe’s energy crisis intensifies, the dollar’s significant appreciation against the Japanese yen and the euro points to an extending chain reaction.
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White papers
Braving bear markets: 5 lessons from seasoned investors
Stock markets around the world have entered bear territory. The MSCI ACWI slid over 20% for the six months ended June 30, 2022. Today, many investors are focused on the likelihood of recession and more pain ahead.
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White papers
Enhancing customer experience on the Indiana Toll Road and building pathways to a diverse ability talent pool
Customer and community stewardship are high on the agenda at Indiana Toll Road Concession Company (ITR), the company managing the 157-mile-long toll road stretching across Northern Indiana in the US.
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White papers
Real Estate Outlook – US, Edition 2 - 2022
Growing economic uncertainty based on weaker consumer sentiment and inflation concerns increases the importance of focusing on durable income growth across real estate sectors, metros, and product types. Continued strong industrial and apartment return performance is anticipated, but at a lower margin than 2021, given interest rate pressures. We expect a deteriorating performance for office and a gradual strengthening in retail performance through 2022.
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White papers
What is the impact of Covid and the Ukraine crisis on fiscal policy?
The past two years have brought not one but two generation-defining events – Covid and the war in Ukraine. Together, they will leave a far-reaching economic and societal legacies.
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White papers
NCREIF review and outlook: Q1 2022
Stellar private real estate returns continue; but poised to decelerate
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Video
Introduction to the Neuberger Berman US Real Estate Securities Fund
In this short video, Steve Shigekawa, Senior Portfolio Manager, introduces the Neuberger Berman US Real Estate Securities Fund, highlighting some of its distinctive characteristics.
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White papers
Fighting inflation: What the latest Fed move means for investors
The first month of summer came in hotter than expected. Data released in June showed that annual headline CPI inflation—previously thought to be cooling—had touched a new 40-year high.
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White papers
Stock-Bond Correlation: A Global Perspective
The correlation between stock and bond returns has been reliably and persistently negative for the last two decades across Developed Markets (DM) – matching the US experience. During this regime, stocks and bonds have hedged one another, dampening overall portfolio risk for a given level of equity allocation.
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White papers
14-15 June FOMC meeting: Fed becoming worried about inflation expectations
The FOMC statement was hawkish. The Fed stated the Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2% goal, signifying it is not afraid about being hawkish until inflation comes down. While the FOMC downgraded the impact from the Russia-Ukraine war on the US economy, it was more confident that this is exerting upward pressure on inflation.
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White papers
Reimagining Supply Chains: The Investing Challenge
From carmakers to smartphone manufacturers, companies around the world are reorganizing their supply chains amid a wave of disruptions. Equity investors will need to sharpen their analytical tools and engagement skills to determine which businesses are proactively adapting to a new reality.
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White papers
The Fed Makes Inflation Fighting Priority Number One
The Fed raised its benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points yesterday, to a range between 1.50% and 1.75%, and signaled stronger inflation-fighting measures ahead. We think that policy path will eventually cool inflation—but at a greater cost to economic growth than the Fed expects. And financial markets will likely stay volatile for a while.