All United States articles – Page 31
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White papersUnited States: a green industrial policy in the making
The US Congress’s August approval of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) came as a surprise to most observers. With the mid-term elections just months away and no majority in Congress, no one expected new legislation to be passed. Yet, the Democrats and Republicans managed to reach a compromise. We discuss below the measures announced to promote the environmental transition, which is the centrepiece of the act.
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PodcastU.S. Commercial Real Estate: A Time for Fear or Greed?
As negative headlines come fast and furious, commercial real estate investors are faced with a question: Is now a time to get defensive, be opportunistic, or prepare for the worst?
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White papersInvestment Opportunities in Private Commercial Mortgage Investments
At approximately $5.2 trillion, just over half the size of the U.S. corporate bond market, the U.S. commercial mortgage market is home to a variety of attractive investment opportunities.
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White papersExpectations of Fed pivot begin to gain traction
Central banks have tightened policy aggressively this year in a bid to quell inflation, but concerns are growing about how much further they can hike borrowing costs in the face of slowing growth.
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White papersPolicy Excesses and Market Discipline
We are seeing bond investors standing up for themselves against policymakers, and while equity investors are experiencing pain from this struggle, the end result may be a more sustainable, fundamentals-based market.
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White papersEconomic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We put out a cautious Equity Market Outlook three months ago, and after a quarter of worsening economic data and inflation trends we are now even more focused on low beta and high earnings quality.
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White papersUpheaval in the global FX regime
The global FX regime of the last 20 years has been characterised by a distinct pattern of capital flows. At its core, Asian countries (mostly China) recycled their current account surpluses into USD-denominated FX reserves, in order to weaken their domestic currencies and preserve export-led economic models.
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White papersPreparing portfolios for the unexpected
Asset valuations are undergoing a considerable reshuffle in 2022, from bonds to equities to commodities. This vast reshuffling of the cards reflects a rapid rise in interest rates and especially in long-term real rates. The rise in real rates is unprecedented since the establishment of inflation-linked bond markets in the late 1990s, and triggering deep concern as US 10-year real yields approach 1.5%.
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White papersCitywatch = The top 2% most attractive to businesses and people
Our research team analyzed more than 4,000 cities and identified the top 2% we believe are most attractive to people and businesses, today and in the future. California’s Inland Empire is one of those cities.
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White papersMaking Up Lost Ground
Another 75bps and more hawkish talk from Jerome Powell. Markets reacted swiftly to signals that more large increases are coming—more than they had priced in. See how this frontloading by central banks aligns with our central scenarios and expectations for the coming year.
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White papersTop 5 takeaways for infrastructure
The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 is the most important US clean energy legislation in recent history. The bill gives investors unprecedented policy visibility that was previously lacking. Energy tax credits have been expanded to investments such as standalone energy storage, clean transportation, hydrogen etc., opening up new investment opportunities.
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White papersSemi Equipment: Laying Foundations for the Future
Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan was largely publicized—not just because of its geopolitical significance, but because it also underscored Taiwan’s importance to the global tech industry.
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White papersStrong foundations: The case for real estate securities
Listed real estate offers access to high-quality assets with strong growth potential, providing an efficient, liquid vehicle for investors seeking the unique benefits of real assets.
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White papersHold the Inflation Victory Lap
Inflation still appears to be the biggest source of potential volatility in the market, and we think that’s because it will remain the dominant economic story for the foreseeable future.
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White papersCan U.S. midterm elections move the market? 5 charts to watch
In a year when soaring inflation, the war in Ukraine and a bear market have commanded headlines, the U.S. midterm elections risked becoming an afterthought. But now the election is coming back into focus. And with good reason.
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White papersPrivate debt prepares to ride out the storm
Churchill’s Jason Strife participates in a Private Debt Investor roundtable discussion with other leaders in the U.S. private debt industry.
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White papersReal Deal Interview: Matt Scholl
“The sector is an ideal and timely diversifier to our sizable US Portfolio” - Matthew Scholl, Executive Director and Head of Investment Management Americas at Union Investment, regarding the attractiveness of the US Multifamily market.
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White papersWhere Will Job Markets Be Tightest?
Waiting for the U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate to rebound? Demographic trends and the graying population will likely make a full return difficult to achieve.
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White papersThe Climate Has Changed for Infrastructure
Following a year of starkly revealed vulnerabilities in water, energy and supply-chain assets, some game-changing legislation suggests that governments are finally getting serious about infrastructure investment.
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White papersValuations and guidance appear foreboding for U.S. equities
The month-long rally in U.S. equity markets hit stiff resistance in mid-August. Surprising resilience in economic data, including consumer spending, employment and July’s cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index report, helped propel broad-based indexes like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq out of their bear market lows of June and in to bull market territory.
