Outlooks – Page 101
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White papers
Private debt can flourish in a crisis - because it can adapt
Private debt’s flexibility to adjust terms and inject capital where needed means it can work with borrowers to get through difficult times, while also securing better returns for investors.
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White papers
COVID-19, comp and doing the right thing: Why corporate values have never been more critical
With annual general meetings now taking place virtually, shareholders, employees and suppliers have had to adjust to lockdowns. While some of the immediate impacts will be phased out with the opening of the economy, stewardship priorities and corporate values may change forever.
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White papers
Commodities in the wake of the pandemic: unlocking potential
Like all asset classes, commodities were severely impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic. As the crisis starts to recede and we move into the second half of 2020, now is the moment to take stock.
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White papers
Are There Realistic Alternatives to Stocks?
No smooth path? Our Allocation Views focus on the macroeconomic backdrop and whether bonds should play a larger role considering the risks in recovery.
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White papers
Emerging Market Debt Opportunities Monthly Review
Perspective from Franklin Emerging Market Debt Opportunities team.
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White papers
The New Emerging Market Landscape: The Single Commodity Focus has Shifted
As emerging markets cope with the COVID-19 epidemic, Franklin Templeton’s Emerging Markets Equity team considers three new realities they see in the emerging markets today.
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White papers
The day after #7 - Climate change post Covid-19: A crisis at a crossroad
This year was supposed to be the year in the fight against climate change. Instead, 2020 has become the year of the coronavirus pandemic.
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White papers
Big oil – Staring down the barrel of an uncertain future
After three months of convulsions, the global oil industry appears to be stuck between a rock and a hard place when contemplating its future. Oil majors need to decide how best to tackle the factors that are raising an increasingly large question mark over their business model, explains Mark Lewis, Global Head of Sustainability Research at BNP Paribas Asset Management, in a new briefing paper.
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White papers
Evidence and ambition: The new rules of engagement on climate change
Mirza Baig explains why far-off commitments on climate change by energy companies and their lenders are no longer enough, and why COVID-19 has catalysed rather than derailed investor engagement on the issue.
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White papers
Market weekly – Factor investing in equities – Lessons from the COVID-19 crisis (podcast)
Our multi-factor equity strategy seeks to tilt portfolios towards value, quality, low volatility and momentum stocks. During the recent rally in developed equity markets, exposures to these factors did not perform as might have been expected. In this week’s podcast, Grégory Taieb, quantitative investment specialist, and Laurent Lagarde, head of quantitative equity portfolio management, talk to Daniel Morris, senior market strategist, about the particularities of the recent rally and the outlook for factor investing in equities.
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White papers
The Great Instability: Five lessons from COVID-19
The Great Instability: this is the label we chose last year to describe the fragile nature of the global economy and wider society, looking at 2020. It’s a label inspired by the contrast with a very different period known as the Great Stability – a dim but not so distant past, in the years leading up to the Great Financial Crisis, when it appeared as if the economy had achieved its state of ‘nirvana’. A global pandemic was not exactly front of mind when we settled on ‘The Great Instability’; still, it fits quite neatly into the overarching concept. After all, the world was already, and will remain, a volatile place.
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White papers
5G Dis-Connectivity
Geopolitical and trade tensions may fragment the 5G supply chain, but while that could make the theme more complex to navigate, it is unlikely to diminish its importance.
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White papers
Market Commentary – Financial repression and the sovereign carry trade
Chinese data on Monday may vindicate hopes of a V-shape recovery. Yet we warn against extrapolating 1/ an early bounce driven by pent-up demand and 2/ Chinese trends to the broader economy. The ‘swoosh’ scenario for the global economy remains very credible.
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White papers
Beyond the box-ticking: what really makes a board function well?
At the end of April, EOS at Federated Hermes published a white paper ‘Guiding Principles for an Effective Board – Insights from Engagement’. These five principles focus on the human, relational and behavioural aspects of boards, rather than the usual standardised data sets, which don’t tell the full story.
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White papers
Quarterly Economic Outlook: we’ve never had it so loose
The US and UK are already running highly negative interest rates, when QE is considered, according to a report by the International business of Federated Hermes. It says that true, QE-adjusted policy rates are now as low as -10% in the US, and -6% in the UK or around -12% and -8% in real (inflation-adjusted) terms.
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White papers
No Liftoff on the Horizon
The Fed Funds rate is set to remain at its zero-lower bound for several years, while the BOE and BOJ assess current policy next week, and more trade deals appear on the horizon.
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White papers
Weekly investment update – 10 June 2020
Hot spots in Latin America, India and the Middle East / Brazil charts its own course / will the US see a second wave / caution: US jobs data / more stimulus from the ECB and a German package
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White papers
Cinderella science?
Why portfolio construction holds the key to resilient investment outcomes
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White papers
Have traditional safe havens lost their edge?
COVID-19 has reminded investors of the importance of defensive positions within portfolios during times of stress. But are the ‘safe havens’ of the past still up to the task?