Outlooks – Page 97
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White papersMarket Commentary - Swoosh Recovery vs. Liquidity Splash
The exit from the lockdowns is proceeding cautiously. If anything the number of new cases globally has picked up over the past week, flirting with 100k on 15 May, the highest since 16 April (see our latest Facts and Figures, including new modelling). Scientists keep warning about the risk of relaxing social distancing too quickly. In the meantime the global economy struggles – we slightly cut our 2020 global growth forecast from -3.5% to -4%. The risks are skewed to the downside. The WHO reiterated concerns about a deadlier second wave this autumn and winter.
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White papersWhat We Already Know About The Recovery
And why bonds and stocks may not be pricing in such different outcomes.
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White papersCOVID-19 Science and Economics
In the second installment of our COVID-19 series, we discusses the scientific and economic implications of the path to recovery with research analyst Camilla Oxhamre Cruse, who has a Ph.D. in medicine and M.Sc. in biochemistry, and global strategist Olga Bitel.
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White papersWhat We Can Learn from China’s Rapid Normalization
China is further along the coronavirus curve than much of the rest of the world and is on a fast path toward normal. We think its experience bears close watching—not only because China is a major contributor to global economic activity, but also because there will likely be important takeaways for the rest of the world as other countries plan their own reopenings.
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White papersThe Historical Impact of Economic Downturns on Private Equity
An assessment of private equity return patterns in two recent significant downturns.
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White papersPE Investing at Market Inflections
Faced with the uncertainties of the COVID-19 crisis and demands for portfolio rebalancing, investors may be tempted to cut their private equity programs or re-think plans to expand them. In this short video interview, John Buser, Executive Vice Chairman—NB Alternatives, looks back to the dotcom era and the Great Financial Crisis to explain why he thinks they should stay the course.
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White papersEquity Investing as We Approach a “New Normal”
Richard Nackenson, Neuberger Berman Equity Senior Portfolio Manager, discusses how investor psychology has changed over the past month and where he is finding investment opportunities as we approach a “new normal.”
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White papersCoronavirus – weekly update – 13 May 2020
Worldwide COVID-19 cases crossed the 4.3 million mark and the death toll is closing in on 300,000 as of 13 May. The focus is now increasingly shifting to monitoring new cases and fatalities in a second wave that might follow hot on the heels of exit from lockdown.
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White papersMake the most of the Uncleared Margin Rules extension
On April 3, BCBS-IOSCO announced a one year extension to the final implementation phases of the uncleared margin rules (UMR), citing the ongoing market disruption across the globe resulting from COVID-19. This prompt action still requires approval by local regulators so firms may have to wait for final confirmation of the updated timeline.
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White papersHolistic Liquidity Measures During Covid-19: Supply, Demand, and Market Conditions
In late February and early March 2020, global markets experienced an unprecedented health crisis which increased both economic uncertainty and market volatility.
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White papersMarket weekly – Seize the opportunities with active equity strategies
After the recent strong rally in developed equity markets, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Guy Davies, chief investment officer active equity strategies, discuss the outlook and where we see opportunities.
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White papersThe New Purpose of a Corporation; or, What We’ve Known All Along
Without a doubt, the coronavirus is shaking the financial industry like never before. This is not the first time the world has faced a pandemic of this scale, nor is the first time that policy makers, business leaders and pundits have asked: “Is it different this time around? Are we at a turning point?”
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White papersInvestment grade credit: how cheap are credit spreads?
From the middle of February to late March was one of the worst periods of performance for risk markets in general and for investment grade (IG) credit in particular. This was in response to the Covid-19 crisis and was marked by both the speed and extent of the spread widening.
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White papersThe Day After #2 - Learn The Rules Like A Pro, So You Can Break Them Like An Artist
The vanishing – and probably for long – of most of the established economic rules is a crucial consequence of the crisis. Liberal democracies were living under these rules since the advent of the “Washington Consensus” and the ideological revolution of the 1980s.
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White papers(Weekly Pandemic) Market Commentary - Exit strategy goes live
Now is a key moment in the Covid-19 crisis, as the lockdowns end. Countries that have opened up early have not seen any significant relapse. But the number of new cases globally has picked up, and selected US States are easing up restrictions too early. V-shaped recovery? Non-sense. Vs ...
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White papersEmerging Markets After The Coronavirus
The investment case appears battered, but even lower returns may look good when the world gets back to normal.
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White papersCoronavirus – weekly update – 06 May 2020
As of 6 May, the global COVID-19 case-load has crossed the 3.7 million mark and the number of fatalities exceeds a quarter of a million people. Notwithstanding the usual caution around data comparisons across countries or through time, we highlight the following key features:
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White papersGuiding Principles for an Effective Board - Insights from Engagement
Investors care deeply about how well a company board is functioning. Getting this aspect of governance right makes it more likely that material risks and opportunities will be well managed. It follows that an effective board is best placed to secure a company’s long-term success.
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White papersThe day after #1 Covid-19 the invisible hand pointing investors down the road to the 70s
Without a doubt, the Covid-19 pandemic is shaking the financial industry like never before. But this is not the first time the world has faced a pandemic of this scale, nor is it the first time that public policymakers, business leaders and pundits have asked: “Is it different this time around? Are we at a turning point?”.
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White papersInvesting today for a better tomorrow
Bonds to help build solar energy farms or finance water reclamation projects… In today’s world, green business is good business. Why not invest where your money can make a positive impact on society and the environment?
