Outlooks – Page 94
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Market Perspectives - Covid paralysis recedes as political risk rises
After a buoyant August for risk assets, the rally is likely to flatten out. Rising new infections into the autumn, a levelling recovery pace and diverse political risks (US politics, Brexit, geopolitics) will keep a lid on risk sentiment.
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A voting season like no other
Companies and investors went into the 2020 voting season reeling from the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. With many companies opting for virtual shareholder meetings, how did investors ensure their concerns about climate change, diversity and human rights risks were addressed?
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Top 10 with… Interview with Roland Hantke on Multi-Managers Infrastructure
Infrastructure is undergoing a seismic shift. Several years ago infrastructure funds would raise around USD 30-40 billion per year. Today this number is at the USD 100 billion3 mark and growing. Roland Hantke, Head Multi- Managers Infrastructure (MM INFRA) explains to us how infrastructure has evolved as an asset class and how MM INFRA is well positioned to cater for increasingly specialized client requirements.
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Investing in Emerging Markets Asia amid rising global tensions
With the United States and China locked in an increasingly heated rivalry, Europe must pick a side. What are the investment implications?
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The day after the crisis: implications for long-term investors
In a recent piece of paper1 long-term investors found a broad analysis of the most relevant post-crisis elements they need to consider in order to make a more informed decision about their investments: central banks support, inflation situation, deglobalisation trend, low-carbon transition and inequality assessment were the main features to consider.
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Traiana on the buy-side’s increasing adoption of post-trade technology
Head of Product Strategy for CME Group’s Traiana, Steve French, talks to HFM Asia editor Tom Duffell about the buy-side and post-trade technology.
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An earning season better than expected but the valuation issues has not yet been resolved…
There was a substantial decline in Q2 earnings but they turned out to be better than expected; their decline being ultimately less pronounced than during the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008-2009, whereas the current recession is much more severe.
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Markets scenarios & risks - September 2020
We marginally amend the narrative of our central and alternative scenario on the back of recent development. Recent data confirm a slower recovery path in line with our central scenario. We therefore increase the probability of our central scenario from 60% to 70% while reducing the likelihood of the upside alternative scenario from 20% to 10%.
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Macroeconomic picture - September 2020
A new Covid-19 outbreak in several states in July and August imposed more caution in reopening the economy, slowing recovery momentum. The labour market remain distressed. In the coming quarters, the US economy is expected to continue along a gradual and progressive recovery path, underpinned by easy monetary policy and a delayed new round of fiscal support.
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NASDAQ 100-S&P 500 Volatility Ratio at Peak Levels
The cost of NASDAQ 100 options has ballooned relative to S&P 500 options over the past three years as the tech-heavy index leads the recovery in equities. Read the latest article from CME Group Senior Economist, Erik Norland.
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Global Investment Views – September 2020
The appetite for risk assets has remained strong over the summer lull. This summer season has seen both the confirmation of existing themes and the emergence of new ones. On the former, the decoupling between the real economy and financial markets has proved persistent.
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Impact Opportunities: H1 2020 Report
A concentrated, fundamental global equity strategy, the Federated Hermes Impact Opportunities Equity Fund seeks to generate value by investing in companies that create positive, sustainable change and strong long-term investment returns.
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Market Conditions and Opportunities in Private Credit
Matthew Bird, Managing Director for our Private Debt team, provides an update on how the Private Debt markets are managing through the COVID-19 crisis, how the team has been managing portfolios since March, and what investors could anticipate in the months ahead.
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Fixed Income: Saving for sunnier days
Dr. Sonal Desai examines findings from the Franklin Templeton-Gallup Economics of Recovery Study survey’s second pulse.
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Nowcasting the US Economy with Alternative Data
The pandemic has altered some consumer and business behavioral patterns in major and likely long-lasting ways, and it is critical to track these behavioral changes and assess whether they could last or whether there will be a return to pre-pandemic habits and patterns.
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2020 US Election: What the Polls Could Mean for Policy and Markets
The field is set for the 2020 US presidential election, and markets are turning their focus to November’s contest. Of course, we can’t predict the electoral result for the presidency or Congress, and even the market’s reaction is unclear. However, given the stakes of this election, investors would be well advised to track a few key themes.
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Pushing on an Open Door – Covid 19 is Intensifying Long Term Macro Trends
The COVID-19 pandemic has had historic—and nearly immediate—repercussions for society, the global economy and policy. The aftereffects will last for many years, reinforcing long-term trends including deglobalization, populism and mounting debt. How will governments tackle the debt overhang—and how do these trends impact our macro views?
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Growth versus Value: Balancing the Risks
Across Europe, measures implemented to contain the Covid-19 pandemic are being gradually lifted. The infection rates on the continent show different dynamics with some exceptions. At the same time, the capital markets are recovering. Therefore, we are currently at the crossroads between crisis and recovery.
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Sustainable mythbusting
Getting the facts straight on sustainable index investing investing
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Coronavirus throws down a challenge for credit analysis
The dramatic impact of COVID-19 has created a challenge for even the most experienced credit analysts. The effects have gone far beyond those seen in the technology bubble of the early 2000s, the Enron scandal a year later, the 2008/2009 financial crisis, and in what now seems like a small blip the commodity crash of 2015/2016.