All Global articles – Page 123
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2020 Investment Outlook - Be Agile To Cope With Diverging Scenarios
After enjoying stellar performance this year, moving into 2020, investors will increasingly ask whether the global economy will proceed towards a trade war-engineered recession or whether growth will stabilise at a low level and potentially rebound, meaning the cycle could extend even further. In our view, the retreat in global trade is causing a major change in the structure of growth, but does not point to a full-blown recession, especially at a time when cumulative loose policies are gearing up and a partial deal between the US and China is in sight. Monetary and fiscal policy combination, a prominent theme going forward, may extend the current cycle further. While the noise on trade-related issues will be high, a material escalation is unlikely given the upcoming US elections in 2020. However, the path for investors will not be linear. In the short term, market expectations for policy actions have gone too far and need to be adjusted.
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Spotlight on bank regulatory capital - Mechanics of bank portfolio risk transfer transactions
Bank regulators permit banks to meet more stringent post-crisis capital ratios by undertaking ‘risk-sharing’ transactions Banks can manage their regulatory capital on an ongoing basis through whole loan asset sales, full capital structure securitisation or synthetic securitisation The mechanics of these transactions may differ, but all three approaches focus ...
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Two cultures, one aim: quantitative and fundamental collaboration
How genuine collaboration between quantitative and fundamental analysts can enhance stock selection and portfolio construction.
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Real Estate Outlook – Edition 4, 2019
Returns slowing but rate cuts supportive of sector
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Looking into 2020 with Hermes
2020 will be another uncertain year. Brexit will rumble on, bringing further volatility and polarising the UK political dialogue; China and US relations will remain tense and concern markets, despite a possible partial trade deal being secured before the end of 2019; and the US presidential race will likely unsettle world markets.
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Are Negative Rates Really That Negative?
So far, they seem to work in practice, just not in theory. Negative yields seem to have helped extend the cycle, but they carry risks if they linger for too long.
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Case for GDI – A Diversified Approach to Risk-Adjusted Income
Seeking to maximize income per-unit of risk with a dynamic, multi-asset multi-manager solution. The theme of late-cycle volatility, spurred by geopolitical tensions and slowing global growth, has been well documented. Low global interest rates continue to present challenges to meet income needs and control risk.
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Unlocking human capital in emerging economies
All developing countries have a seriously under-tapped resource: their people. That’s important for emerging debt investors to bear in mind.
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360 Webinar: Hermes Flexible Credit
Throughout this webinar series, the Hermes Fixed Income team will discuss key performance drivers of our portfolios, and provide their assessments of risks and opportunities across the credit spectrum.
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EM Debt: Warding Off Headwinds with Active Management
In this Q&A, Barings’ Head of Global Sovereign Debt and Currencies, Ricardo Adroguè, addresses the many risks facing the global economy—specifically China, Argentina and the Middle East—and explains why a skilled active manager is critical to performance.
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ABS: Uncovering Opportunities Beyond the (IG) Index
Amid an ongoing search for yield and with a number of potential risks on the horizon, there may be benefits to exploring opportunities outside of traditional corporate and government bonds—such as certain parts of the asset-backed securities (ABS) universe.
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The world’s renewable energy transition has begun
The world’s renewable energy transition has now begun and is only going to accelerate from here as governments, consumers and investors recognise that switching to more sustainable energy is not only essential to stop climate change, but makes sound economic sense too.
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Hermes Impact Report, Q3 2019
Measurement is one of the key pillars of impact investing – alongside intentionality and additionality – that distinguishes it from other traditional forms of investing. However, in a rapidly growing market, impact measurement is not a straightforward science.
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Realistic Assumptions For ESG Integration
Environmental, social and governance aspects are becoming increasingly important. More than 2,000 investors – with almost USD 90 trillion in assets under management – have signed the UN Principles for Responsible Investment (UN PRI). At the same time, this raises a question: what impact do ESG factors have on a portfolio?
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The link between defensive stocks and ESG
How can investors build a portfolio of stocks that can withstand tough economic conditions?
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Credit and sustainability: ignorance is risk
The need for companies to adapt to long-term structural trends is not new. They have been doing it for centuries. However, today the challenges created by sustainability are more urgent than ever. In particular, sustainability-driven change is unparalleled in scale and speed.
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When investments in Infrastructure Debt embrace ESG standards
The requirement to develop, maintain, upgrade infrastructure projects is constant, even increasing worldwide, and so reflected into a funding demand.
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Employment, Earnings & Trade Momentum Ease Market Fears
Labor market seems in good health, earnings continue to beat expectations and a trade deal could occur in December.
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The alignment of Shariah and sustainable investing
There are more similarities between sustainable investing and Shariah investing than commonly realised. Why has one languished while the other soars?
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Trying to square the circular economy
With climate change continuing to rise up the political and societal agenda, increasing calls are being made for a global ‘Green New Deal’. Steve Waygood explores what this would look like and why we must start to treat the economy and environment as one.