All Global articles – Page 124
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White papers
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 - 2019
Our medium-term baseline scenario is that of a late business cycle slowdown supported by the dovish U-turn of central banks. We expect economic growth to move below potential for most developed economies in 2020, a trend that will be further exacerbated in 2021 by a deteriorating cyclical environment and still anaemic global trade. Nevertheless, growth is expected to stay in positive territory.
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Our Analysts Talk Quality
Focusing on both offensive and defensive quality helps our analysts identify durable businesses in the pursuit of better portfolio outcomes.
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ESG for Sovereigns: One Size Does Not Fit All
ESG has risen to the forefront of many investment strategies over the last decade. At Barings, our EM Sovereign Debt team takes a country-by-country approach, assessing ESG factors in the context of sustainability and—ultimately—creditworthiness.
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Disruptive Technology: Keeping Pace With the Pace of Change
Barings equity analysts, Matthew Ward and Colin Moar speak with Dr. Christopher Smart of the Barings Investment Institute about their recent whitepaper, “How Will Technological Disruption Strike Next?”
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The Circular Q3 2019: keeping you in the sustainability loop
As responsible-investment activity heats up, we sample temperatures across the market to pinpoint flaring activity
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High Yield: deep diving needed due to a more uncertain outlook
Global growth has been slowing since 2018, due to a combination of factors, including trade wars – with consequently slower global trade – past US Fed tightening, and rising geopolitical risks. This slowdown has become more pronounced in the last couple of quarters, especially in the most open economies, such as Europe and some EM, while the US economy has remained relatively more resilient despite losing momentum.
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Greening Fixed Income markets: a challenge of today and tomorrow
Policymakers around the world continue to implement comprehensive strategies to foster sustainable finance.
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APEC Provides the Trick, While the Fed Gives the Treat
The Fed cuts rates for the third time but turns less dovish, U.S. And European earnings are beating estimates and the APEC summit gets canceled.
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Wells, Wires, and Wheels - EROCI and the tough road ahead for oil
Oil needs long-term break-evens of $10-$20/bbl to remain competitive in mobility. In this report we introduce the concept of the Energy Return on Capital Invested (EROCI), focusing on the energy return on a $100bn outlay on oil and renewables where the energy is being used specifically to power cars and other light-duty vehicles (LDVs). For a given capital outlay on oil and renewables, how much useful energy at the wheels do we get?
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360° – Fixed Income report, Q4 2019
Distortions in credit markets mean that opportunities for open-minded investors lie beneath the surface, but they are few and far between. An inquisitive, active approach is needed to discover pockets of value and navigate storm clouds that linger on the horizon.
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Emerging Markets Charts & Views - A Tug Of War Between Weaker Growth And Looser Policies
Emerging economies have faced a backlash in the last few months as a consequence of the global economic weakness and the uncertainty related to global trade. This weighed on the performance of EM equities in the third quarter, although they recovered somewhat in September. EM debt proved more resilient, supported by investors’ appetite for yield. Idiosyncratic events (Argentina, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, to name a few) also impacted the overall more fragile environment for EM.
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Remastering Volatility: Reducing Noise in Equity Allocations
Volatility is a challenge that has vexed equity investors for decades and has been amplified in today’s low interest-rate environment. As many investors reach for higher-return assets to help meet future obligations, they are likely to be more exposed to the higher inherent volatility that stocks add to an allocation. In this paper, we examine the root causes of volatility to provide a holistic perspective on risk-management solutions for the current complex environment. Distinguishing between market risk, factor risk and stock-specific risk can help investors identify the most appropriate strategic solutions to combat volatility and ensure that they are compensated for the risk in their equity portfolios.
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Connections and communities
Today, a handful of urban centres are pulling away from their rivals – creating more innovation, more growth and more jobs. Those changes have deep implications; understanding them and what they mean for local communities takes joined-up thinking.
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How Will Technological Disruption Strike Next?
Investors have been scrambling to identify industries about to feel the brunt of all those dynamic forces that have gained momentum since the emergence of the Internet in the late 1990s.
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Earnings Kick Into Gear as Brexit Drama Heightens
With 34% of the S&P 500 reporting earnings, so far profits aren’t as bad as expected; risk of a no-deal Brexit recedes and positive signs from the U.S.-China Trade War.
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Three Reasons to Invest in Risk Assets… & Five Risks
Markets still have room, but the clouds are gathering. Last year’s scars remain fresh for many investors as they navigate toward the end of the year.
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Stewardship: the 2020 vision
We call for a seismic change in the way the investment management industry operates: from one that has for too long focused on short-term returns, at the expense of sustainable wealth creation. In our view, successful stewardship needs to be at the heart of business purpose and inextricably linked to investment decision-making. In order for this to happen, we need a “new normal” in the relationship between asset manager and the companies in which they invest.
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Powering the future: how demand for renewables is disrupting energy markets
From the cost of renewables to exciting new technologies, we discuss the disruptive power of renewable energy.
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A High-Income Survival Guide for Late-Cycle Markets
It’s easy to get spooked in late-cycle markets. But we think there’s a way to de-risk your portfolio and still generate a decent level of income—no magic spells necessary.
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Emerging Markets Debt: Taking a Hard (Currency) Stance
EMD performance was muted in Q3, but valuations remain attractive and emerging economies are growing at a measured pace. We continue to favor hard currency assets, which are benefitting from lower rate expectations.