All Fixed Income articles – Page 94
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GIAM Macro & Market Research - Market Commentary
Yesterday evening the ECB surprisingly launched its new QE program “to counter the serious risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the outlook for the euro area posed by the outbreak and escalating diffusion of the coronavirus, COVID-19.” At the March 12 policy meeting President Lagarde made clear that the response to the crisis should be “fiscal first and foremost”. However, the dramatic developments since then – with specifically sovereign euro area bond spreads rising strongly – induced further ECB action.
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Covid-19 update - Current credit market perspectives
The rapidly expanding footprint of the new Covid- 19 coronavirus, has shaken investor confidence, with significant falls in global equity markets as investors focus on the likely recessionary impact on global growth, as well as the direct sectoral impacts in key areas such as tourism, retail, autos and at company level on supply chain exposures to China. This has also fed into global credit markets.
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High Drama in High Yield
Coronavirus and the OPEC price war combine for a one-two punch to high yield markets.
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Distressed Debt: Capturing Late-Cycle Value
Barings’ Stuart Mathieson and Bryan High discuss how recent macro events and credit market dynamics are impacting the outlook for distressed debt.
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The credit-market breakup: it’s not V, it’s U
What should fixed-income investors read into the recent moves in markets and how should they respond in the near, medium and longer term? In an atmosphere of uncertainty, we consider how a bias towards higher-quality credit and a flexible approach to protecting against the downside can help investors weather any further turbulence.
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Update on Global Non-Investment Grade Credit Markets
We unpack the short-term and long-term, transitory and permanent impacts of recent news on the high yield and loan markets.d markets.
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Corporate Hybrid Bonds Introduction
In this short video, Senior Portfolio Manager, Julian Marks offers an overview of corporate hybrid bond markets and outlines the philosophy and approach adopted across Neuberger Berman’s portfolios. He provides examples of the kinds of issuers the team typically consider and reviews current market conditions.
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Super Tuesday: Why It Is Important And What To Expect For Us Assets
On 3 March, 14 US states will hold primaries for the Democratic presidential nomination. Following Senator Bernie Sander’s good start and Senator Joe Biden’s landslide win on 29 February, the field is now narrowed to a two-person race.
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Pricing ESG risk in sovereign credit: an emerging divergence
In 2019, we partnered with research house Beyond Ratings to demonstrate a robust relationship between environmental, social and governance (ESG) scores and sovereign credit-default swap (CDS) spreads. In the second instalment of this two-part paper, we consider whether the results differ for developed and emerging markets.
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Asia Quarterly Bulletin Winter 2020
The region’s bonds stand out in a world of low and negative yields, but investors need to be picky.
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Sharpe Thinking
This week we launch a new monthly review that aims to make sense of the factors driving financial markets. Sharpe Thinking will include timely, active insights from our portfolio managers, analysts and economists, delivered to you by the Investment Office – our independent oversight body that ensures our strategies perform in the best interest of clients.
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Flexible credit: the upside of downside protection
Flexibility always has a place, but its capacity to provide downside protection makes it particularly important given the advanced age of the credit cycle. In the fourth instalment of a five-part series, we explain why credit investors cannot afford to just rely on rates and diversification for protection. We also consider the robust suite of tools needed to preserve capital during market sell-offs and help protect our ability to take risk when opportunities are greatest.
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South Africa Inflation
South African inflation came out higher in January: 4.5% yoy compared to 4% in December but is in the middle of the inflation target (3-6%) of the South African Central Bank (SARB). This acceleration in inflation is mainly explained by a sharp rise in transport prices linked to base effects of fuel prices (+ 13.7% in January against 2.4% the previous month).
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February 2020 - European loan market - review and outlook
European loans returned 5.0% in euro terms in 2019, making another strong year and the asset class’s best performance in 2016. In tandem with wider markets, the year was not without its wobbles, most markedly in October, but all quarters delivered positive returns and loans found their footing in the fourth quarter, as economic and political concerns dissipated and as progress towards a US-China trade deals was made, just as a decisive result in the UK elections inspired confidence in a clearer position on Brexit.
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Global high yield outlook: Be confident, but not complacent
Last year was a strong year for global bond markets, which were supported by the accommodative stance of the main central banks and strong investor demand. US, European and EM high yield (HY) bonds all returned more than 14% swapped into US dollars. The performance was led by the higher-quality segments of the market, such as BB-rated bonds, as well as the strong performance of CCC bonds in Europe. This was due to the search for yield across credit products, helped by positive risk sentiment.
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Fixed-income investing in unprecedented times
In a live recording from our Fixed Income Forum 2020, we assess the macroeconomic and market drivers for this asset class – and conclude that we are in unchartered territory.
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Are CLOs Unfairly Vilified?
Despite the late-cycle environment, we believe the recent negative headlines on CLOs are somewhat overstated, and do little justice to the many benefits of the asset class—which has delivered impressive risk-adjusted returns and low defaults over time.
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Checking in on BBBs
Improved credit conditions are reflected in spreads, but volatility may create opportunities.
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Seeking riches with the tide far out: 360°, Q1 2020
What is our current view of fixed-income markets? And where do we see the best relative value? In our latest edition of 360°, Andrew ‘Jacko’ Jackson, Head of Fixed Income, and his team of specialist investors considers the areas that have the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns.