The Fed has turned hawkish, and the market is now pricing several more hikes. Our fixed income team isn’t convinced. Core U.S. inflation is still drifting lower, most of this year’s yield move has come from real rates rather than inflation expectations, and the disinflation case remains intact — all of which argues for a shorter path than consensus expects.
Local currency emerging market debt (EMD) has matured into one of the most diverse opportunity sets in global fixed income. Issuance has grown, liquidity has deepened, yield curves have developed, and the ownership base has broadened across domestic and international investors. For many emerging economies, a functioning local bond market and credible monetary policy are now signals of economic development rather than aspirations.
Systematic credit is still a small part of fixed income, but its portfolio role is growing. For credit allocators, it can offer a disciplined and differentiated source of diversification.