1) Liquidity: This is the overriding factor, which is normally the case in markets. It is no surprise that markets are rallying like it’s QE, because this is QE! The Treasury General Account (TGA) has been run-off to the tune of c$500bn over the last few months driven by the U.S. hitting the debt ceiling. When this happens, the country is unable to raise enough debt to fund itself.
Explore the shifting dynamics in global financial markets with our latest videos on European fixed income opportunities. From the macroeconomic tailwinds driving flows to Europe to the unique growth opportunities, discover how Neuberger Berman can help you navigate this evolving landscape.
Emerging Markets (EM) may be uniquely positioned to help portfolios with income and return potential within a world of many changes. One supportive tailwind for Emerging Markets Debt (EMD) is the fading of U.S. exceptionalism — a period when U.S. economic growth and asset returns attracted enough of the world’s capital to more than compensate for the potential negative effects of large trade and fiscal deficits. Additionally, slower U.S. growth can prompt investors to seek higher yields elsewhere, increasing capital flows into EM. In our opinion, the diversification characteristics of EMD in all its forms, from sovereign, corporate and local, should be considered as a useful tool in portfolio construction.