All Emerging Market Debt articles
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2025 Outlook Insights
Our portfolio managers share their views on what opportunities and surprises 2025 might bring across equity, fixed income and convertible bond markets.
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Emerging Markets Debt Under Trump 2.0
EMD has been more resilient after November’s election than it was after the 2016 result—so, what has changed, and will this resilience last?
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Emerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in emerging markets (EM), especially given widespread disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to significantly ease rates throughout the year.
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Fixed income: New challenges for the easing cycle
Following an extraordinarily friendly market for fixed income in 2024, our fixed income teams assess the outlook for 2025.
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2025 Global Fixed Income Outlook
The results of the U.S. presidential election are on many investors’ minds heading into 2025. What are the potential implications for global fixed income markets?
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EMD: A credible long-term asset allocation candidate
Using cluster analysis and regression techniques, this paper highlights the importance of active management and bottom-up fundamental research in effectively navigating the multifaceted emerging market debt (EMD) landscape.
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Rates never sleep
A strong quarter for bonds as a patient, diversified approach is rewarded.
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EM Debt: Time to Load Up?
A number of factors have converged to create a potentially compelling opportunity in EM debt. And with prices at attractive levels relative to history, now may be a good time to consider an allocation to the asset class.
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Positioning EMD ahead of the US election
If Kamala Harris wins November’s vote, the status quo is unlikely to change significantly, but should Donald Trump triumph the implications for foreign policy are likely to be far-reaching.
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Emerging Markets: How Structural Shifts are Leading to Strong Tailwinds
Prior to the onset of COVID-19, much had been written about the appeal of emerging market debt (EMD), touting the yield advantage as well as its lower correlation to other fixed income asset classes. EMD has underperformed since then, leaving investors in Switzerland and beyond to wonder if and how EMD fits into their asset allocation. After a difficult start to the 2020s, we believe EM debt is now poised to outperform as headwinds from sharp increases in interest rates and slower growth are now reversing course. Thus, the tailwinds from lower rates, higher growth, and improving credit quality are setting the table for positive EM performance going forward.
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Supporting the Clean Energy Transition: Opportunities in Emerging Markets Debt
Emerging markets are missing out on the wave of clean energy investment seen since 2020, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA): “Global clean energy investment has risen by 40% since 2020, reaching an estimated $1.8 trillion in 2023, but almost all the recent growth has been in advanced economies and in China. By contrast, other emerging and developing economies account for less than 15% of total investment, despite being home to 65% of the world’s population and generating about a third of global gross domestic product.”
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Capitalising on the EM private credit opportunity set
Polina Kurdyavko, Head of BlueBay EM Debt, explains the key elements in implementing a successful private credit strategy and discusses how select exposure can offer investors an attractive risk-reward balance.
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Frontier markets: Tapping into untapped potential
What is a ‘frontier market’? And why should investors be looking at this exciting area of EM? Mohammed Elmi, Lead Portfolio Manager, EMD, provides his view.
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What does India’s benchmark inclusion mean for investors
Indian government bonds have been added to the global emerging market bond index, providing foreign investors access to India’s $1.3 trillion government bond market. The move could improve capital flows into the country, as well as stabilise yields.
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Seizing value in emerging market debt
Despite recent challenges, emerging market economies remain robust and are delivering positive growth. India is leading the charge, benefiting from secular demographic trends like a growing working-age population as well as resilient domestic demand. As China’s share of global growth declines, India is stepping in to fill the gap. More broadly, EM growth projections have been revised upward by the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO), benefiting from country-specific factors.
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Bond Voyage: A journey into fixed income
In this summer edition of Bond Voyage, we discuss topical themes in liquidity, emerging-market debt, investment-grade credit and global sovereign bonds.
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The Next Chapter in EMD: Static vs. Dynamic Allocations
This installment of our Emerging Market Debt series takes a sequential approach to providing our perspective on achieving optimal EMD exposure.
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Dispelling the myths around emerging market debt
Things in emerging markets are not always what they seem. In December 2023, Argentina elected as president Javier Milei, a rabble-rousing populist fond of brandishing a chainsaw on the campaign trail. Milei had a radical agenda, including dollarising the economy and abolishing the central bank – just the kind of policies that alarm investors.
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Emerging Market Debt at State Street Global Advisors
State Street Global Advisors has been running indexed EMD strategies for almost two decades and our experience and expertise has underpinned the growth of this franchise. EMD assets under management at State Street climbed from about $5 billion at the end of 2015 to $40.5 billion at the end of March 2024.
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EM Sovereign Debt: Spreads Are Tight… So What?
A superficial look at EM sovereign spreads suggests they may be too tight to offer attractive upside. We disagree, and here’s why.