All Emerging Market Debt articles
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White papersEmerging-Market Corporates: Renowned for Resilience
Emerging-market (EM) corporates have a track record of resilience across market cycles. For over a decade, EM corporate bonds have allowed for participation in rising markets, while exposing investors to less downside during market downdrafts. This is due to an especially pronounced inherent barbell structure that balances interest-rate risk with credit risk, providing independent sources of return that are negatively correlated to each other.
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White papersUnleashing the potential: Navigating local currency EMD with active management
EMD has become increasingly appealing to a broader investor base as the asset class has developed. Issuance has increased, thereby improving liquidity.
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White papersAI Meets EMD: Short-Term Match, Longer-Term Friction?
Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to provide a tailwind for commodity and manufacturing exporters in emerging markets. That said, the emerging market (EM) service sector’s lower contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP), as well as a lack of research and development, and the presence of infrastructure and AI private investment bottlenecks, could cap productivity gains over time versus developed markets. We explore the dynamics in this article.
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White papersEmerging market debt: strength and selectivity amid global shifts
Emerging market fundamentals remain robust, but broader global macroeconomic developments are leading us to a more selective approach to positioning portfolios.
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White papersEmerging market local-currency bonds continue to look bright in 2026
Despite our reduced conviction in a weaker USD for 2026, we believe emerging market (EM) local-currency bonds remain well-positioned. Ongoing disinflation in EM economies not only supports EM currencies but should also enable some EM central banks to cut interest rates in 2026. We believe EM FX can perform well even with a sideways USD given the healthy state of external accounts in most EM countries.
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White papers2026 Emerging Market Debt Outlook: Strengths Endure
For all the shifts in macroeconomic risk factors that swayed market sentiment last year, most credit markets delivered on expectations for carry-driven returns in 2025. Emerging market (EM) debt was an exception, recording strong excess returns in addition to carry driven by supportive market technicals along with fundamentals that have withstood macroeconomic risks.
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White papersIn Credit Weekly Snapshot – Enough is enough
The Japanese yen was in the spotlight this week, with the exchange rate prompting ‘verbal intervention’ by the US and speculation that physical intervention – from both the US and Japan – will follow. Read on for a breakdown of fixed income news across sectors and regions.
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White papersDynamic global fixed income: Investing across the cycle
Despite a year of numerous challenges, the global economy has been resilient and valuations across major asset classes remain elevated. Against this backdrop, some economic signals are now indicating potential softness, which could challenge these stretched valuations.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives
Fixed Income Perspectives outlines the current macro and market views from across Capital Group’s extensive fixed income team and offers insights on investors’ bond exposure against an ever-changing backdrop.
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White papersWill EMD outperformance continue in 2026?
Emerging market debt (EMD) is heading into 2026 bolstered by a supportive backdrop, underpinned by structural reforms and credible monetary policy at leading EM central banks.
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White papersQ4 2025 Emerging Markets Debt Review and Outlook
Emerging markets debt (EMD) delivered strong performance during the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2025, supported by a favorable global macroeconomic backdrop, easing U.S. monetary conditions and renewed investor demand for higher-yielding fixed income assets. Declining global interest rates, U.S. dollar weakness and supportive commodity dynamics were specifically beneficial for EM assets, supporting robust total returns across both hard and local currency spaces.
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White papersFive themes for EM debt in 2026: a year of greater divergence
Looking into 2026, we see five themes driving our outlook for emerging market debt.
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White papersReasons to Revisit EM Corporate Debt: A Short Duration Approach
A short-duration allocation to emerging market (EM) corporate debt offers the potential for attractive carry, incremental yield and portfolio diversification—while reducing interest rate sensitivity and preserving flexibility to reposition as monetary conditions evolve.
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White papersGlobal Fixed Income: Themes to Watch in 2026
Tight spreads meet elevated all‑in yields as policy uncertainty, AI capex, and uneven growth set the stage. We see selective opportunities across High Yield, CLOs, IG Credit, and EM Debt—with 2026 shaping up as a year for rigorous credit picking.
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VideoWhere do we see opportunity in emerging markets debt in 2026?
Emerging market fixed income is heading into the new year with strong momentum. With solid YTD performance and favourable macro trends, Mohammed Elmi, Senior Portfolio Manager explains why the team continue to feel optimistic for the asset class in 2026.
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White papersHow emerging market debt is adapting to a sea of change
Emerging market debt (EMD) has historically been viewed as a tactical allocation, but structural improvements in policy credibility, fiscal discipline, and market depth now position it as a core component of a diversified portfolio. We think EMD is attractive for investors looking for a stable allocation to an asset class that is supported by strong growth, increasing credibility, and diversification.
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White papersMarket Outlook - Fixed income: Monetary policy should bolster markets
Fixed income markets should benefit from continued central bank easing in 2026. We expect lower interest rates in the US as policymakers respond to weaker labour market trends, and lower rates in Europe because of further declines in inflation.
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White papersWhat is driving EM corporate debt outperformance?
Emerging market (EM) corporate debt has delivered robust returns YTD and has outperformed its developed market (DM) counterparts. What factors are at play and where do we see value?
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PodcastWhy Hard Currency Emerging Market Debt is Back in Focus
Emerging market debt has weathered a long stretch of tight financial conditions—marked by a strong US dollar, higher global rates, and uneven post-pandemic recoveries. With the dollar softening and policy rates beginning to ease, investors are warming up to hard currency EM debt as a potentially attractive source of diversification and carry.
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White papersUS debt and dollar dominance
The US has long defied conventional economic wisdom by sustaining persistent fiscal and trade deficits without triggering a dramatic sell-off in government bonds or a collapse in its currency.
