All Emerging Market Debt articles
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White papersTariffs and credit markets
In the US, the Trump administration’s imposition of tariffs on imports from trading partners across the world has seen markets plunge. Here is what we are thinking as a credit desk and how we are approaching portfolios
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White papersEmerging Market Debt Outlook: All Roads Lead to the US
This year, we are looking to the US to drive the market’s direction. We believe the US economy will continue to soften, which will spur the Fed to cut rates three times. In other words, that soft landing that we were expecting last year will likely materialise this year. When rates are lower, the USD typically weakens. And this creates a goldilocks scenario for Emerging Market Debt.
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White papersEmerging markets private credit: an attractive, alternative approach
With the private credit industry growing at pace, Mihai Florian, EM Debt Senior Portfolio Manager at RBC BlueBay, explains why EM corporates are in a stronger position than their DM peers and why a long, established track record in EM investing is key to understanding this nascent asset class.
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White papersAt a time of rapid global change, what does Asian EMD offer investors?
Once considered a niche of a niche, emerging market debt has come to the fore as a way to access the world’s most dynamic region. Here’s where we see the opportunity
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White papersPositioning for a potential Russia-Ukraine war ceasefire
The Trump administration has initiated talks with Russia on a broad range of security issues, including a potential ceasefire agreement. These developments could have significant geopolitical and economic implications. It is important to emphasise that the process remains fluid – at times an agreement may seem imminent, while at others, negotiations appear to stall.
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White papersPrivate Debt Opportunities in Emerging Markets: Insights for Building Insurance Portfolios
Private debt markets in emerging economies may offer unique opportunities. They can help insurance-industry investors to seek yield enhancement, diversification and less-correlated returns compared to traditional public debt.
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White papersLocal-Currency Frontier Bonds: EMD’s New Horizon
High yields, surprisingly low volatility and strong diversification benefits are attracting investor interest.
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White papersFixed Income 2025: Roadmap
It’s a very dynamic time for fixed income. Get the game plan for 2025’s winners and losers.
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White papersEM leaders drive fiscal policy improvements: EMD report Q1 2025
With sovereign and corporate credit spreads at multi-year lows, we remain constructive on Emerging Market Debt (EMD) in 2025.
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White papersRobust fundamentals should prop up emerging market debt
Many emerging market economies have robust fundamentals: strong external demand, stabilising inflation and monetary policy easing, While their GDP growth is expected to outpace that of their developed market peers, there could be some headwinds in the first few months of 2025 from renewed uncertainty around the US Federal Reserve’s rate cutting cycle, the Trump administration’s policy agenda, the outlook for geopolitics and a strong US dollar.
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White papers2025 Emerging market debt outlook: Stick to income and relative value in a disruptive year
As 2024 is now behind us, we are reflecting on a year of political and geopolitical upheaval which culminated in the election of Donald Trump in the U.S., whose disruptive agenda hangs over emerging market (EM) investors’ heads. In this outlook, we flesh out our current view of the world, as seen from an EM lens, and highlight a few key investment themes.
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in EM, especially given continued disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to ease rates throughout the year. However, the incoming US administration poses several risks to EMs.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q1 2025
The fourth quarter ended with higher bond yields as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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White papersHow to make sense of Emerging Market Debt in a global portfolio
Despite potential short-term volatility stemming from geopolitical events, we believe the current environment presents one of the most favorable opportunities for EMD in the past decade.
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White papersVolatility, velocity and vigilantes
Volatility is how markets express uncertainty, and 2024 offered its share of ups and downs.
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Webinar2025 Outlook: Global Fixed Income Webinar
From high yield to emerging markets debt to investment grade credit, what will 2025 hold for global fixed income investors? Our panel of experts weighs in on the opportunities and risks ahead.
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White papersEM Local Debt: Time to Shift the Perspective?
EM local debt has historically offered higher yields than the comparable U.S. risk-free rate, and recently has begun to exhibit more stability as well—which presents a compelling case for investors.
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White papers2025 Outlook Insights
Our portfolio managers share their views on what opportunities and surprises 2025 might bring across equity, fixed income and convertible bond markets.
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White papersEmerging Markets Debt Under Trump 2.0
EMD has been more resilient after November’s election than it was after the 2016 result—so, what has changed, and will this resilience last?
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White papersEmerging market debt outlook for 2025: Ready for Trump 2.0?
Looking ahead to 2025, the macro environment, in theory, sets the stage for a friendly backdrop in emerging markets (EM), especially given widespread disinflation, which should allow most major central banks to significantly ease rates throughout the year.
