All Fixed Income articles – Page 96
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White papersSignificant risk transfer (SRT) credit opportunities
Apart from very specific parts of the SRT market, such as social housing and capital call facilities, most SRT deals are exposed to corporate or consumer risk. We expect defaults to spike in the short term in most transactions, with greater variability in corporate deals than in consumer deals.
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White papersA Lot Of Bad News Already Priced In US Assets: A Gradual Approach To Exploit Market Dislocations
The US economy has entered a recession, induced by the social distancing and quarantining measures introduced to tackle the pandemic crisis. To monitor how deep the recession will be, we use both traditional macroeconomic data (eg, weekly retail sales, jobless claims) and big data (e.g., dining out, travel and box office sales, travel numbers and google searches for ‘recession’ and unemployment statistics). Both sets of variables suggest an unprecedented collapse in domestic demand.
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White papersCovid-19 update: European high yield market moves
March was a rollercoaster ride for European high yield investors. The market had fallen 20% by the middle of the month, and had recovered to be down 15% since the start of the year as of 5 April.
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White papersWhen coupons are king: the case for global high-yield credit
With markets in freefall, high-yield bonds have been particularly affected and credit spreads recently rose above 1,000bps for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. But in risk lies opportunity and the market rout means that high yield is trading at attractive valuations. At a time when listed companies are cutting dividends, we believe that high yield’s income-generating qualities means that it has the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns earlier on in the market’s recovery.
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White papersCredit Risk Sensitivity To Carbon Price
In order to meet the objectives set by the Paris Climate Agreement, global greenhouse gas emissions must be drastically reduced. One way to achieve this goal is to set an effective carbon price. Although beneficial for the climate, a rapid increase in this price can have a significant financial impact on corporate firms.
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White papersDo Banks Have a Liquidity Problem?
Many Institutions are in strong financial shape, while recent issuance reflects prudence in the face of crisis.
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White papersCredit Dynamics
Senior credit professionals Ashok Bhatia, Deputy CIO in Fixed Income, David Brown, Co-Head of Global Investment Grade Fixed Income, Susan Kasser, Co-Head of Private Credit and Joseph Lynch, Global Co-Head of Non-Investment Grade Credit discuss the market implications and potential opportunities arising from the recent unusual market dynamics.
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White papersCovid-19 and European asset-backed securities
Stress testing demonstrates resilience of asset class
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White papersA Tale of Two Markets
March was the worst of times for financial markets, and yet the best of times for primary issuance of investment grade credit.
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White papersEM Debt: When Prices Decouple from Fundamentals
Dr. Ricardo Adrogué discusses how the global pandemic has impacted emerging markets, including implications for sovereign and corporate debt markets, as well as interest rates and currencies.
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White papersInvestment Grade Credit Markets Make an About-Face
As investment grade markets pivot sharply, with spreads reaching their widest level in over a decade, investors turn disproportionately toward quality and liquidity.
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White papersHigh Yield: Finding Value in a Landscape Rife with Risk
Concerns surrounding COVID-19, lower oil prices and a global recession have weighed heavily on markets—including global high yield bonds and leveraged loans. While value opportunities are emerging, the landscape is punctuated with risks that must be carefully navigated.
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White papersChina Recovers
China was the first economy to be struck down by COVID-19, but that means it is the first to recover—and its onshore bond and equity markets may be a good place to get exposure.
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White papersInvestment Grade Credit: Open For Business
The new-issue market remains available to investment-grade corporate credit, thanks to the swift and sizable monetary support from the Federal Reserve.
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White papersMuni bond myths and realities: Bonds are trading, leverage isn’t bad, and widespread defaults don’t look likely
Following a long, unprecedented period of stability and price appreciation, municipal bond funds experienced equally unprecedented volatility and outflows in early March as the COVID-19 pandemic, broader market selloff and economic uncertainty led investors to hit the panic button.
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White papersThematics Views - The Eurozone’s Quantum Leap: On The Road To Debt Mutualisation
The Eurozone’s architecture does not allow it to contain all the risks arising from the current shock. Recourse to an European Stability Mechanism (ESM) credit line without strong conditionality is a de facto first step towards debt mutualisation. Looking ahead, this could pave the way to a European budget and a common debt.
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White papersCentral Banks Are Entering A New Regime: Unlimited Support
Coordinated actions by central banks and governments have a clear objective to prevent a sharp rise in bankruptcies. We are confident in central banks’ ability to address the liquidity crisis as central banks have entered a new regime: unlimited support. However, we have no strong convictions on the depth of the coming solvability crisis.
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White papersEMD Market Update
Gorky Urquieta, Co-Head of the Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Debt Team, discusses the factors that contributed to the sell-off of EMD assets over the past month and how the team is positioning portfolios in this volatile market environment
