All Fixed Income articles – Page 90
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White papersHave a look at our book - 2020 Edition
The book you have in your hands is the 2020 edition of Amundi Research papers. This book represents a selection of the working papers and discussion papers which seem the most representative of our work for the past 12 months. Some of the papers have already been published in academic reviews, others are scheduled to be published, others have been the subject of presentations at international conferences, others are the result of collaborations with academic institutions developed in through chairs.
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White papersCIO EMEA Outlook 2021: Knowns And Unknowns After A Tumultuous Year
At the beginning of the year we were threatened with excitement, be that trade wars or ongoing political upheaval in the Europe and the US. None of us were prepared for a global pandemic.
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White papersChina Credits: Default Outlook From an Onshore Perspective
Changing government policy could impact default levels in 2021.
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White papersClimate Alignment Principles: How to invest in line with a +1.5 ̊C goal
As efforts to deliver on the Paris Agreement galvanise, investors are beginning to switch from simple commitments to tangible actions. We are increasingly asked by clients: “How can we invest in line with the 1.5°C goal?”
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White papersSustainability-Linked Bonds: Nascent Opportunities For ESG Investing
Since the creation of green bonds, many new labels have emerged, including social bonds, sustainability bonds, and recently transition bonds, not to mention water, blue or adaptation bonds. Despite the standardisation efforts led by the International Capital Markets Association (ICMA), creativity in self-labelling has increased the number of labels. Whereas the type of activities financed by these various bond labels differ, they are all anchored to the same initial concept and to a pledge by issuers that the proceeds will be dedicated to a predetermined list of eligible projects. These are ‘use-of-proceeds’ bonds.
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White papersThree Reasons Loans May Be Poised for Strong Performance
It’s not as simple as ‘when rates rise buy loans; when rates fall buy bonds.’ Indeed, a combination of several factors has set the stage for loans to potentially deliver attractive total returns going forward.
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White papersMulti-sector fixed income – The outlook for US and eurozone debt in 2021
Yields of sovereign developed market debt have fallen to record lows in 2020. Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, and Olivier De Larouzière (OL), head of multi-strategy fixed income, discuss the outlook for bonds in 2021.
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White papersEmerging Markets Corporates: High Yield Default Outlook 2021
After a moderate spike in defaults, we anticipate an improving financial environment for the next year.
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White papersResponsible Investing Expands Further With Green Convertible Bonds
While investors have been aware of the merits of investing responsibly for a long time, the Covid-19 crisis is likely to increase the focus on ESG principles, which should play a critical role in the emergence from the crisis. In this context, green bond financing has recently spilled over to convertible bonds, with 2020 seeing a record level of new issuance for the asset class.
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White papersECB enters era of informal yield curve and spread control
The ECB is expanding its pro-growth and pro-inflation asset purchases and allowing the buying programme to run for longer. The objective is to safeguard favourable financial conditions as the eurozone grapples with the economic fallout of the COVID crisis. In effect, the ECB is encouraging investors to search for yield, particularly in those markets for risk assets where the ECB is active.
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White papersGlobal Insights – Outlook for 2021
Primed by continued global monetary stimulus and exuberant global fiscal spending, and further boosted by the fading of the tail risks that had plagued markets through 2020, capital markets are facing one of their best backdrops in years. 2021 could turn out to be the year that the overdue cyclical rotation, 10 years in the making, finally materializes and, importantly, takes hold. Make no mistake, there is still a high level of uncertainty going into 2021.
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White papersCOVID, climate and Black Lives Matter: The stories that defined 2020
We select some of our key pieces of content in a year of unending drama.
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White papersCalifornia Wildfires and Credit Risk
Widespread destruction has reinforced the value of climate assessment in credit analysis.
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White papersWill Washington Deliver a Holiday Miracle?
U.S. initial claims increased amid rising COVID cases, adding more fuel to the stimulus negotiations fire growing in Congress. China activity data for November should improve, and the Bank of England is expected to remain dovish given the pandemic and Brexit.
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White papersGlobal IG: Don’t Underestimate Changed Behaviours
We came into 2020 on the back of one of the longest expansion phases ever, with increasingly loose monetary policy extending the growth cycle. Because of that growth and low interest rates, companies had been gearing up and corporate leverage was actually relatively high going into the pandemic.
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White papersDebt deliveries: US consumers bat on in fading light
The US consumer has long been in the top order of the global economy but, as Fiorino discovers, the days of debt-fuelled hit-outs on tame pitches could soon be over.
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White papersPortfolio allocation in times of uncertainty
The temptation to react to every headline, every market move is often irresistible. Never more so than in an environment that screams uncertainty. But experience shows that successful investors have learned to stick to their strategies, regardless of bright, shiny objects that threaten to distract.
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White papersFixed Income: Security Selection A Key Driver Of Outperformance
The US Federal Reserve’s aggressive response to the coronavirus pandemic has driven yields on safe-haven debt to near zero, leaving “low-risk” portfolios increasingly susceptible to interest rate-driven price volatility.
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White papersFacts and Fantasies about the Green Bond Premium
The green bond market has increased exponentially since the first issuance in 2007. Nevertheless, we continue to observe a large imbalance between supply and demand because of the huge appetite from institutional ESG investors. The purpose of this study is then to determine if green bonds present lower yields than conventional bonds in the secondary market. This yield difference is known as the green bond premium or greenium.
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White papersSeeking income – the case for investing in private corporate debt
Pension funds with current cashflow requirements depend on a steady stream of payouts, but face a number of unique challenges in their search for income against a backdrop of lower-for-longer yields and volatile investment conditions brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.
