Amundi Asset Management

2019 Top 400 ranking: 9http://www.amundi.com

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Amundi

Cross Asset Investment Strategy: May 2018

While in 2017 financial markets largely ignored geopolitical risks, as they were more inclined to read the Goldilocks narrative, this mood now appears to be changing. 

In an environment that is already becoming more volatile, amid less accommodative central banks, demanding valuations, endogenous/technical new features of the market (liquidity deteriorating, crowded trades), a significant shift in fundamentals is not required to trigger market movement. A butterfly may do the trick. At the time of writing, geopolitical events are dominating the news flow. These new tensions come at a time when trade frictions continue to be in the spotlight. On top of this, there are multiple hot political flashpoints.

The first is the US/China relationship, where the focus is now on the practices in technology and intellectual property transfers. The second front relates to the US and Russia, given new sanctions and, most importantly, increasing tensions in Syria and instability in the Middle East. Regarding financial markets, the geopolitical noise is translating into frequent swings, inflows into perceived safe-haven assets (gold, sovereign bonds) and higher oil prices, with the consequence of added uncertainty in monetary policy actions. Central banks, in fact, are already facing the conundrum of how quickly to remove accommodation, as some recent economic data and surveys highlight some moderation of activity while inflation risk appears to be on the upside, potentially amplified by geopolitical and trade tensions. We see three key ways in which investors can navigate through this ‘fog’.

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Head Office
90, boulevard Pasteur
Paris
75015
France
Company website:
http://www.amundi.com
Year Founded:
2010
No. of investment offices worldwide:
6

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  • Trade War Escalation And Impact On World Trade And Economic Growth

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    White papersWed, 18 Sep 2019

    Trade tensions re-escalated during the summer. Starting on 1 September, the US Administration introduced new tariffs and China retaliated simultaneously. More tariffs are likely from the US side, including an increase in tariffs already in place from 25% to 30% and new tariffs on the last tranche of imported goods from China. Concerning extra-tariffs measures, in August the temporary licences granted to US companies to operate with Huawei were extended upon their expiration but, so ...

  • Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019

    Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019

    White papersWed, 18 Sep 2019

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  • Global Investment Views - September 2019

    Global Investment Views - September 2019

    White papersWed, 4 Sep 2019

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    White papersTue, 27 Aug 2019

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