All Currency articles – Page 6
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White papersFed to End Diet
The Fed’s program to shrink its bloated balance sheet post-quantitative easing is drawing to a close earlier than planned as liabilities pose constraints.
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White papersIndia: Rupee Faces Significant Risks from April Elections
Indians go the polls in April to elect a new leadership. Can Prime Minister Modi’s party win an outright majority or will India have a coalition government?
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White papersMarket Perspectives - Patience is a virtue
Sunny spots are rare this winter. Economic data in in Europe and China have continued to underwhelm. Key euro area indicators including PMIs, Ifo and Sentix are at multi-year lows, following a sharp contraction in industrial production in Q4. China reported a slump in trade and the slowest annual growth in three decades.
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White papers
China: Looking at Growth Past the Trade War
China’s growth is decelerating, it is loaded with debt and is involved in a high stakes trade war with the United States. Despite these issues, China’s economy appears to be holding up better than one might have expected. In fact, China’s growth could even accelerate in 2019 in response to aggressive monetary easing.
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White papersCross-Asset Investment Strategy: Is Turkey really out of the woods?
After having narrowly escaped a balance of payments crisis last spring, there are questions surrounding the Turkish economy, not to mention the many (geo)political tensions. Throughout this period, the currency has continued to experience strong downward pressures, leading to a surge in inflation. Recently, the markets seem to be recovering hope.
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White papersTime to increase risk exposure: start with emerging markets and credit
The excess of pessimism at the end of 2018 resulted in a sharp decline in financial markets and renewed volatility. According to our analysis, market participants priced in twice the slowdown risk that economic fundamentals justified.
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White papersMarket Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
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White papersFocus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2018
This year has proven to be challenging for portfolio construction, as well as regarding returns. To put this into perspective, for 2009-17, our analysis shows that each year, on average, 76% of major asset classes (including different regional government bonds, equity, inflation-linked, currency and commodities) recorded positive performances.
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White papersFrom G20: Short-Term Relief, But It Is Not The Final Word On Trade Disputes
The latest G20 demonstrates some temporary progress in the US/China relationship. An increase of tariff rates in January 2019 was put on hold and the possibility for an additional tranche of tariffs for the rest of US imports from China ($267bn) is also further delayed, at least. China has found the right entry point to give some concessions to the US on sensitive topics for President Trump.
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White papersChina & Brazil: Currencies on Diverging Paths?
The election of a new leader in Brazil and the escalating Sino-U.S. trade war could send their currencies, the real and yuan, on diverging paths.
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White papersCan CME Bitcoin Futures Be Used Effectively by Crypto-Fund Managers?
See how investors can use CME Bitcoin futures to establish benchmark equity index exposure and develop alpha-generating strategies.
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White papersWhy investors are wrong about the role of the dollar
A new theory about the US dollar is challenging the way economists and markets think about currencies.
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White papersManaging emerging market currency exposures
Conventional wisdom says long-term investors in emerging market assets will bene t from the respective currencies appreciating as these economies grow. Hedging this risk makes little sense as it would wipe out a potential source of returns.
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White papersBanking problems impede India’s reforms
There has generally been a positive response to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s structural reforms, but there has been an investment slowdown in the medium-term, and recent scandals, huge bad loans and ATM cash shortages imply a banking system that is in crisis – to the tune of $210 billion.
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White papersWhat to know about investing in China
There used to be a lot of concern around China’s old industrial economy, but supply-side reforms have curtailed excess capacity.
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White papersWhy sustainable growth supports ASEAN equities
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations is in a cycle of high-quality, balanced economic growth, with China leading the way.
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White papersAsset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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White papersEuro-Dollar Caught in a Fiscal-Monetary Tug-of-War
The exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar has been trading in a narrow range for the past eight months due to monetary and fiscal policies on both sides of the Atlantic pulling in opposite directions.
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White papersThe inflation pendulum
It’s not good to have too much or too little inflation, but trying to get a huge pendulum the size of the US economy to settle in the middle is very difficult.
