All Currency articles – Page 7
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Managing emerging market currency exposures
Conventional wisdom says long-term investors in emerging market assets will bene t from the respective currencies appreciating as these economies grow. Hedging this risk makes little sense as it would wipe out a potential source of returns.
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Banking problems impede India’s reforms
There has generally been a positive response to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s structural reforms, but there has been an investment slowdown in the medium-term, and recent scandals, huge bad loans and ATM cash shortages imply a banking system that is in crisis – to the tune of $210 billion.
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What to know about investing in China
There used to be a lot of concern around China’s old industrial economy, but supply-side reforms have curtailed excess capacity.
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Why sustainable growth supports ASEAN equities
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations is in a cycle of high-quality, balanced economic growth, with China leading the way.
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Asset Allocation Update: Strong earnings prompt US equities upgrade
Amid background noise such as ongoing trade skirmishes involving the US, the evolving Chinese economy and geo-political tensions, we have spent time analysing recent market movements and the implications for risk assets.
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Euro-Dollar Caught in a Fiscal-Monetary Tug-of-War
The exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar has been trading in a narrow range for the past eight months due to monetary and fiscal policies on both sides of the Atlantic pulling in opposite directions.
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The inflation pendulum
It’s not good to have too much or too little inflation, but trying to get a huge pendulum the size of the US economy to settle in the middle is very difficult.
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The employment enigma: why is there no inflation?
After years of monetary stimulus, zero interest rates and quantitative easing, the global economy is now experiencing strong, synchronised growth.
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Sparkling performance boosts luxury goods
The past two years has seen a pick-up in luxury goods, as the global economy continues to expand.
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Going global with a consistent small cap strategy
‘Big is best’ is not an adage that we subscribe to with the Threadneedle Global Smaller Companies strategy: we concentrate on high-quality growing companies that we believe are undervalued by the market – and we do so on a global scale.
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Monthly FX Report
Keep up with what the market is saying and what’s happening in our marketplace.
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Replicating OTC FX Market Positions with CME FX Futures
Explore the advantages that CME FX futures offer traditional market practitioners in the OTC FX markets, and how CME FX futures can be used to replicate cost-efficient, manageable synthetic exposure to OTC FX spot, forwards, and swaps.
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The Greenwich Perspective: A Bright Future for FX Futures
Greenwich Associates recently published a paper assessing the value and viability of FX futures as a proxy to the OTC FX market.
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Daisuke Nomoto: Japan - more tailwinds than headwinds for 2018
With GDP on a sustained growth track, supported by structural reforms and the Bank of Japan’s accommodative monetary policy, we maintain a positive outlook for the region.
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Dara J. White: Emerging Markets Outlook for 2018
Emerging markets have previously performed well in periods of rising rates, so while the macro dynamics from the US and elsewhere could be seen as a threat, they shouldn’t necessarily blow EMs off course.
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Reaction: Italian election
The Italian election result looks messy, but we do not believe that the chances of Italy leaving the eurozone have gone up materially.
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Is it too quiet as we head into 2018?
As we look forward to 2018, there’s an illusion of calm in financial markets. But this doesn’t mean that nothing is going on. In fact, opposing forces are simply cancelling each other out.
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Technology and ‘mega-trends’ to drive US equity performance
US equities have outperformed global equities since the beginning of the recovery because the US economy was initially the sole engine of global growth, as European countries wrestled with the Eurozone crisis.
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Asia’s new era of sustainable growth
The huge Chinese economy is experiencing a ‘second awakening’ under President Xi Jinping, with a strong agenda for supply-side reforms and an emphasis on sustainable macroeconomic growth.
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The UK’s demise is overstated
UK equities reached all-time highs in 2017, but relative to world stocks (in US dollar terms) they were laggards.